Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida
Southeastern
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#37
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#46
Pace72.5#112
Improvement-4.6#329

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#88
First Shot+1.9#118
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#58
Layup/Dunks+3.5#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#211
Freethrows+0.8#119
Improvement+0.5#161

Defense
Total Defense+8.0#16
First Shot+7.8#11
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#159
Layups/Dunks+4.7#21
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#229
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#77
Freethrows+1.5#74
Improvement-5.1#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 50.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 50.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four30.2% n/a n/a
First Round37.0% n/a n/a
Second Round15.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 212   @ Navy W 59-41 87%     1 - 0 +17.7 -7.6 +26.5
  Nov 16, 2015 337   N.C. A&T W 104-54 99%     2 - 0 +33.5 +16.4 +14.0
  Nov 21, 2015 44   Saint Joseph's W 74-63 54%     3 - 0 +21.7 +1.3 +20.0
  Nov 22, 2015 9   Purdue L 70-85 30%     3 - 1 +2.0 +3.1 -0.5
  Nov 25, 2015 152   Vermont W 86-62 89%     4 - 1 +21.9 +7.6 +13.5
  Nov 27, 2015 188   Florida Gulf Coast W 70-50 93%     5 - 1 +15.5 -4.8 +20.6
  Dec 01, 2015 103   Richmond W 76-56 82%     6 - 1 +22.1 -1.9 +23.4
  Dec 08, 2015 14   @ Miami (FL) L 55-66 24%     6 - 2 +8.0 -7.3 +14.6
  Dec 12, 2015 2   @ Michigan St. L 52-58 14%     6 - 3 +17.2 -4.2 +20.6
  Dec 19, 2015 82   Oklahoma St. W 72-70 68%     7 - 3 +8.8 +6.2 +2.6
  Dec 22, 2015 273   Jacksonville W 89-65 97%     8 - 3 +13.9 +8.7 +4.5
  Dec 29, 2015 46   Florida St. L 71-73 65%     8 - 4 +5.6 -5.2 +11.1
  Jan 02, 2016 62   Georgia W 77-63 71%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +19.8 +5.6 +13.5
  Jan 06, 2016 91   @ Tennessee L 69-83 60%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -5.1 -8.8 +5.4
  Jan 09, 2016 75   LSU W 68-62 75%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +10.6 -7.1 +17.5
  Jan 12, 2016 16   @ Texas A&M L 68-71 25%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +15.7 +5.8 +9.8
  Jan 16, 2016 67   @ Mississippi W 80-71 52%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +20.1 +9.9 +9.9
  Jan 19, 2016 73   Mississippi St. W 81-78 74%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +7.8 +2.7 +4.9
  Jan 23, 2016 180   Auburn W 95-63 92%     13 - 6 5 - 2 +28.1 +14.4 +11.2
  Jan 26, 2016 25   @ Vanderbilt L 59-60 29%     13 - 7 5 - 3 +16.3 -5.8 +22.1
  Jan 30, 2016 6   West Virginia W 88-71 34%     14 - 7 +32.9 +23.2 +9.6
  Feb 03, 2016 66   Arkansas W 87-83 73%     15 - 7 6 - 3 +9.3 +10.2 -1.2
  Feb 06, 2016 7   @ Kentucky L 61-80 19%     15 - 8 6 - 4 +2.1 -0.8 +1.4
  Feb 09, 2016 67   Mississippi W 77-72 73%     16 - 8 7 - 4 +10.2 +2.5 +7.5
  Feb 13, 2016 81   Alabama L 55-61 77%     16 - 9 7 - 5 -1.9 -12.2 +10.1
  Feb 16, 2016 62   @ Georgia W 57-53 50%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +15.6 -2.2 +18.2
  Feb 20, 2016 45   @ South Carolina L 69-73 OT 43%     17 - 10 8 - 6 +9.5 +3.9 +5.7
  Feb 23, 2016 25   Vanderbilt L 74-87 51%     17 - 11 8 - 7 -1.5 +7.8 -9.5
  Feb 27, 2016 75   @ LSU L 91-96 55%     17 - 12 8 - 8 +5.5 +7.3 -1.1
  Mar 01, 2016 7   Kentucky L 79-88 36%     17 - 13 8 - 9 +6.2 +4.5 +2.3
  Mar 05, 2016 143   @ Missouri W 82-72 76%     18 - 13 9 - 9 +14.3 +7.4 +6.3
  Mar 10, 2016 66   Arkansas W 68-61 63%     19 - 13 +15.2 -3.1 +18.1
  Mar 11, 2016 16   Texas A&M L 66-72 34%     19 - 14 +9.8 +2.8 +6.9
Projected Record 19.0 - 14.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 50.4% 50.4% 10.6 0.0 0.5 2.3 12.9 33.8 1.0 49.6 50.4%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 50.4% 0.0% 50.4% 10.6 0.0 0.5 2.3 12.9 33.8 1.0 49.6 50.4%