Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#273
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#262
Pace74.6#76
Improvement+2.1#92

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#267
First Shot-1.4#223
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#316
Layup/Dunks-3.6#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#80
Freethrows-2.5#322
Improvement+1.0#139

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#272
First Shot-3.4#274
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#193
Layups/Dunks-2.3#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#334
Freethrows+0.9#105
Improvement+1.1#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.6% n/a n/a
First Round2.4% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 260   @ Appalachian St. L 68-76 35%     0 - 1 -11.2 -11.2 +0.5
  Nov 17, 2015 46   @ Florida St. L 79-98 4%     0 - 2 -5.5 +3.0 -6.4
  Nov 27, 2015 132   Purdue Fort Wayne L 63-71 19%     0 - 3 -5.7 -14.2 +8.8
  Nov 28, 2015 212   Navy L 65-71 35%     0 - 4 -9.3 -8.0 -1.2
  Nov 29, 2015 210   @ UNC Greensboro L 69-71 25%     0 - 5 -2.2 -2.5 +0.2
  Dec 05, 2015 293   @ Jacksonville St. W 86-82 45%     1 - 5 -1.8 +6.8 -8.8
  Dec 12, 2015 272   @ South Carolina St. L 74-81 39%     1 - 6 -11.2 -6.8 -4.1
  Dec 16, 2015 215   @ South Florida L 75-88 26%     1 - 7 -13.5 -2.6 -9.7
  Dec 21, 2015 350   Florida A&M W 68-66 89%     2 - 7 -18.3 -11.4 -7.0
  Dec 22, 2015 37   @ Florida L 65-89 3%     2 - 8 -9.5 -0.1 -8.7
  Dec 29, 2015 300   Marist W 69-68 68%     3 - 8 -11.1 -12.6 +1.5
  Dec 31, 2015 312   Bethune-Cookman W 74-70 72%     4 - 8 -9.1 -7.6 -1.6
  Jan 02, 2016 184   @ Western Michigan L 72-76 20%     4 - 9 -2.4 -1.5 -0.8
  Jan 09, 2016 178   @ North Florida L 68-83 19%     4 - 10 0 - 1 -13.0 -14.0 +1.9
  Jan 14, 2016 258   Kennesaw St. W 83-70 57%     5 - 10 1 - 1 +4.0 +0.6 +2.7
  Jan 16, 2016 279   Lipscomb W 76-73 63%     6 - 10 2 - 1 -7.5 -6.1 -1.5
  Jan 21, 2016 223   @ NJIT L 63-83 27%     6 - 11 2 - 2 -20.6 -13.4 -6.1
  Jan 23, 2016 321   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-68 54%     7 - 11 3 - 2 +0.7 -2.4 +3.0
  Jan 27, 2016 188   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 78-69 21%     8 - 11 4 - 2 +10.4 +3.1 +7.0
  Jan 30, 2016 283   Stetson W 75-60 64%     9 - 11 5 - 2 +4.1 -13.5 +16.2
  Feb 01, 2016 188   Florida Gulf Coast W 83-80 29%     10 - 11 6 - 2 +1.4 +13.7 -12.1
  Feb 06, 2016 283   @ Stetson W 96-88 OT 42%     11 - 11 7 - 2 +3.0 +1.6 +0.0
  Feb 11, 2016 279   @ Lipscomb L 92-93 40%     11 - 12 7 - 3 -5.7 +9.0 -14.6
  Feb 13, 2016 258   @ Kennesaw St. L 69-90 35%     11 - 13 7 - 4 -24.2 -11.2 -11.4
  Feb 18, 2016 321   South Carolina Upstate W 81-76 75%     12 - 13 8 - 4 -9.1 -6.7 -2.8
  Feb 20, 2016 223   NJIT L 58-73 47%     12 - 14 8 - 5 -21.5 -17.3 -4.2
  Feb 25, 2016 178   North Florida L 80-81 37%     12 - 15 8 - 6 -4.8 -5.8 +1.1
  Mar 01, 2016 279   Lipscomb L 89-92 OT 63%     12 - 16 -13.5 -4.8 -8.2
Projected Record 12.0 - 16.0 8.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 4.6 95.4
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 16.0 4.6 95.4 0.0%