Pre-tourney Rankings
Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#283
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#302
Pace74.1#84
Improvement+4.9#17

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#189
First Shot+1.6#128
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#320
Layup/Dunks+1.7#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#221
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#131
Freethrows-0.2#189
Improvement-0.3#194

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#336
First Shot-4.9#318
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#340
Layups/Dunks-7.3#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#147
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#135
Freethrows+1.2#88
Improvement+5.2#8
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2015 103   @ Richmond L 85-108 8%     0 - 1 -15.1 +1.5 -13.7
  Nov 17, 2015 323   @ The Citadel L 93-94 52%     0 - 2 -9.5 +2.2 -11.6
  Nov 20, 2015 6   @ West Virginia L 62-103 1%     0 - 3 -19.3 -7.8 -6.1
  Nov 26, 2015 312   Bethune-Cookman W 83-70 59%     1 - 3 +2.8 -3.7 +5.1
  Nov 27, 2015 185   East Carolina L 73-93 27%     1 - 4 -21.5 -2.1 -19.1
  Nov 30, 2015 236   @ Florida International W 81-75 27%     2 - 4 +4.4 +4.6 -0.4
  Dec 02, 2015 173   Central Florida L 85-94 34%     2 - 5 -12.6 +10.4 -22.8
  Dec 05, 2015 167   @ Tennessee St. L 54-74 17%     2 - 6 -17.6 -15.9 -1.7
  Dec 14, 2015 167   Tennessee St. L 90-93 2OT 33%     2 - 7 -6.4 +4.9 -10.9
  Dec 19, 2015 132   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 89-95 11%     2 - 8 -0.8 +13.3 -14.0
  Dec 22, 2015 216   @ Georgia Southern L 58-78 24%     2 - 9 -20.5 -17.0 -3.2
  Jan 06, 2016 178   North Florida L 79-97 34%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -21.8 -8.8 -11.5
  Jan 09, 2016 188   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 53-82 19%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -27.6 -19.0 -9.0
  Jan 14, 2016 321   South Carolina Upstate W 89-86 OT 72%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -11.1 -0.6 -10.8
  Jan 16, 2016 223   NJIT L 56-74 44%     3 - 12 1 - 3 -24.5 -18.3 -6.6
  Jan 21, 2016 279   @ Lipscomb L 87-92 37%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -9.7 -5.4 -3.4
  Jan 23, 2016 258   @ Kennesaw St. W 84-79 32%     4 - 13 2 - 4 +1.8 +5.1 -3.5
  Jan 27, 2016 93   @ Marquette L 60-74 7%     4 - 14 -5.2 -5.7 -0.1
  Jan 30, 2016 273   @ Jacksonville L 60-75 36%     4 - 15 2 - 5 -19.2 -20.5 +2.7
  Feb 01, 2016 178   @ North Florida W 86-82 17%     5 - 15 3 - 5 +6.0 +4.8 +1.1
  Feb 06, 2016 273   Jacksonville L 88-96 OT 58%     5 - 16 3 - 6 -18.1 -4.3 -12.4
  Feb 11, 2016 223   @ NJIT L 70-74 24%     5 - 17 3 - 7 -4.6 -4.2 -0.4
  Feb 13, 2016 321   @ South Carolina Upstate L 83-85 51%     5 - 18 3 - 8 -10.3 -1.6 -8.5
  Feb 18, 2016 258   Kennesaw St. L 82-92 54%     5 - 19 3 - 9 -19.0 -1.7 -16.6
  Feb 20, 2016 279   Lipscomb L 74-77 60%     5 - 20 3 - 10 -13.5 -6.8 -6.6
  Feb 22, 2016 312   Bethune-Cookman L 94-96 OT 69%     5 - 21 -15.1 -2.4 -12.3
  Feb 25, 2016 188   Florida Gulf Coast W 80-73 37%     6 - 21 4 - 10 +2.5 +6.2 -3.5
  Mar 01, 2016 223   @ NJIT W 82-67 24%     7 - 21 +14.4 +3.8 +9.6
  Mar 03, 2016 279   @ Lipscomb W 96-75 37%     8 - 21 +16.3 +9.7 +4.4
  Mar 06, 2016 188   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 78-80 OT 19%     8 - 22 -0.6 +1.8 -2.3
Projected Record 8.0 - 22.0 4.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10 100.0% 100.0
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%