Pre-tourney Rankings
Marquette
Big East
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#93
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#64
Pace74.0#86
Improvement-0.1#188

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#100
First Shot+4.1#62
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#264
Layup/Dunks+2.1#84
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#26
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#276
Freethrows+1.5#77
Improvement+4.0#20

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#97
First Shot+1.8#115
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#66
Layups/Dunks+1.3#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#293
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#183
Freethrows+2.7#34
Improvement-4.1#340
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.9% n/a n/a
First Round0.3% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 138   Belmont L 80-83 75%     0 - 1 -4.0 -4.8 +1.0
  Nov 16, 2015 213   IUPUI W 75-71 OT 87%     1 - 1 -2.2 -5.3 +2.8
  Nov 19, 2015 21   Iowa L 61-89 28%     1 - 2 -16.0 -11.3 -2.6
  Nov 23, 2015 75   LSU W 81-80 44%     2 - 2 +8.5 -2.6 +11.0
  Nov 24, 2015 86   Arizona St. W 78-73 OT 47%     3 - 2 +11.6 -1.7 +12.6
  Nov 29, 2015 261   Jackson St. W 80-61 91%     4 - 2 +9.9 +3.5 +5.4
  Dec 02, 2015 346   Grambling St. W 95-49 98%     5 - 2 +27.8 +8.8 +15.2
  Dec 05, 2015 336   Maine W 104-67 97%     6 - 2 +20.6 +6.0 +8.7
  Dec 08, 2015 248   San Jose St. W 80-62 90%     7 - 2 +10.0 +3.3 +6.1
  Dec 12, 2015 33   @ Wisconsin W 57-55 20%     8 - 2 +16.8 +1.4 +15.7
  Dec 21, 2015 348   Chicago St. W 91-74 98%     9 - 2 -2.1 +3.1 -6.5
  Dec 27, 2015 318   Presbyterian W 84-66 96%     10 - 2 +4.3 -2.3 +4.7
  Dec 30, 2015 28   Seton Hall L 63-83 33%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -9.6 -11.3 +4.5
  Jan 02, 2016 70   @ Georgetown L 70-80 31%     10 - 4 0 - 2 +0.9 -1.5 +2.9
  Jan 05, 2016 51   @ Providence W 65-64 25%     11 - 4 1 - 2 +13.9 -1.9 +15.8
  Jan 09, 2016 209   St. John's W 81-75 87%     12 - 4 2 - 2 -0.1 -1.6 +0.8
  Jan 13, 2016 5   @ Villanova L 68-83 8%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +6.8 +5.5 +1.2
  Jan 16, 2016 15   Xavier L 66-74 25%     12 - 6 2 - 4 +4.9 -6.5 +12.0
  Jan 20, 2016 170   DePaul L 56-57 81%     12 - 7 2 - 5 -4.5 -11.4 +6.7
  Jan 24, 2016 209   @ St. John's W 78-73 72%     13 - 7 3 - 5 +4.8 -3.8 +7.7
  Jan 27, 2016 283   Stetson W 74-60 93%     14 - 7 +3.1 -4.2 +8.0
  Jan 30, 2016 31   Butler W 75-69 36%     15 - 7 4 - 5 +15.5 +8.4 +7.4
  Feb 03, 2016 28   @ Seton Hall L 62-79 17%     15 - 8 4 - 6 -0.7 -0.5 -0.3
  Feb 06, 2016 15   @ Xavier L 82-90 12%     15 - 9 4 - 7 +10.7 +13.3 -2.2
  Feb 10, 2016 51   Providence W 96-91 2OT 45%     16 - 9 5 - 7 +12.1 +5.6 +5.3
  Feb 13, 2016 43   Creighton L 62-65 43%     16 - 10 5 - 8 +4.8 -6.1 +10.8
  Feb 20, 2016 170   @ DePaul W 73-60 64%     17 - 10 6 - 8 +15.3 +6.6 +9.7
  Feb 24, 2016 43   @ Creighton W 66-61 23%     18 - 10 7 - 8 +18.6 +2.1 +16.7
  Feb 27, 2016 5   Villanova L 79-89 17%     18 - 11 7 - 9 +6.0 +5.7 +1.2
  Mar 01, 2016 70   Georgetown W 88-87 53%     19 - 11 8 - 9 +6.1 +16.6 -10.5
  Mar 05, 2016 31   @ Butler L 74-95 19%     19 - 12 8 - 10 -5.7 -0.5 -3.3
  Mar 09, 2016 209   @ St. John's W 101-93 72%     20 - 12 +7.8 +19.5 -12.7
  Mar 10, 2016 15   Xavier L 72-90 18%     20 - 13 -2.2 +4.4 -6.2
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 0.9% 0.9% 11.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 99.1 0.9%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.0% 0.9% 11.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 99.1 0.9%