Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+18.9#5
Expected Predictive Rating+19.4#2
Pace66.3#273
Improvement-3.4#304

Offense
Total Offense+10.4#11
First Shot+10.8#2
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#212
Layup/Dunks+5.0#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#208
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#45
Freethrows+2.1#46
Improvement+0.5#162

Defense
Total Defense+8.5#12
First Shot+7.2#14
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#57
Layups/Dunks+4.6#24
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#270
Freethrows+3.5#21
Improvement-3.9#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 15.5% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 71.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 98.6% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round97.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen75.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight48.8% n/a n/a
Final Four28.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game15.4% n/a n/a
National Champion7.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 269   Fairleigh Dickinson W 91-54 99%     1 - 0 +27.4 +0.8 +22.9
  Nov 17, 2015 79   Nebraska W 87-63 91%     2 - 0 +28.1 +9.8 +16.8
  Nov 20, 2015 155   East Tennessee St. W 86-51 96%     3 - 0 +32.8 +14.7 +20.0
  Nov 22, 2015 99   Akron W 75-56 93%     4 - 0 +21.7 +4.6 +17.6
  Nov 26, 2015 89   Stanford W 59-45 88%     5 - 0 +20.3 -8.7 +29.4
  Nov 27, 2015 55   Georgia Tech W 69-52 81%     6 - 0 +26.7 +7.1 +21.3
  Dec 01, 2015 44   @ Saint Joseph's W 86-72 70%     7 - 0 +27.6 +22.8 +5.6
  Dec 07, 2015 8   Oklahoma L 55-78 55%     7 - 1 -5.3 -10.7 +6.0
  Dec 13, 2015 250   La Salle W 76-47 99%     8 - 1 +20.7 +11.5 +13.6
  Dec 19, 2015 4   @ Virginia L 75-86 36%     8 - 2 +11.6 +22.7 -12.6
  Dec 22, 2015 270   Delaware W 78-48 99%     9 - 2 +20.3 +12.0 +13.2
  Dec 28, 2015 245   Penn W 77-57 98%     10 - 2 +12.3 -2.6 +13.9
  Dec 31, 2015 15   Xavier W 95-64 72%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +43.9 +29.1 +15.3
  Jan 02, 2016 43   @ Creighton W 85-71 69%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +27.6 +17.4 +10.0
  Jan 06, 2016 28   Seton Hall W 72-63 79%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +19.4 +5.6 +13.8
  Jan 10, 2016 31   @ Butler W 60-55 63%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +20.3 -3.0 +23.8
  Jan 13, 2016 93   Marquette W 83-68 92%     15 - 2 5 - 0 +18.0 +12.1 +5.9
  Jan 16, 2016 70   @ Georgetown W 55-50 78%     16 - 2 6 - 0 +15.9 -4.8 +21.5
  Jan 20, 2016 28   @ Seton Hall W 72-71 60%     17 - 2 7 - 0 +17.3 +14.7 +2.6
  Jan 24, 2016 51   Providence L 76-82 OT 86%     17 - 3 7 - 1 +1.1 +1.9 -0.3
  Jan 31, 2016 209   @ St. John's W 68-53 95%     18 - 3 8 - 1 +14.8 -8.5 +21.7
  Feb 03, 2016 43   Creighton W 83-58 85%     19 - 3 9 - 1 +32.8 +21.3 +13.8
  Feb 06, 2016 51   @ Providence W 72-60 72%     20 - 3 10 - 1 +24.9 +4.2 +20.1
  Feb 09, 2016 170   @ DePaul W 86-59 93%     21 - 3 11 - 1 +29.3 +15.9 +14.0
  Feb 13, 2016 209   St. John's W 73-63 97%     22 - 3 12 - 1 +6.9 +5.5 +1.8
  Feb 17, 2016 84   @ Temple W 83-67 81%     23 - 3 +25.5 +16.1 +9.3
  Feb 20, 2016 31   Butler W 77-67 81%     24 - 3 13 - 1 +19.5 +8.9 +10.9
  Feb 24, 2016 15   @ Xavier L 83-90 51%     24 - 4 13 - 2 +11.7 +12.9 -0.7
  Feb 27, 2016 93   @ Marquette W 89-79 83%     25 - 4 14 - 2 +18.8 +12.2 +5.7
  Mar 01, 2016 170   DePaul W 83-62 97%     26 - 4 15 - 2 +17.5 +18.2 +1.8
  Mar 05, 2016 70   Georgetown W 84-71 85%     27 - 4 16 - 2 +21.0 +8.5 +11.5
  Mar 10, 2016 70   Georgetown W 81-67 85%     28 - 4 +22.0 +16.0 +6.8
  Mar 11, 2016 51   Providence W 76-68 80%     29 - 4 +18.0 +13.7 +4.7
  Mar 12, 2016 28   Seton Hall L 67-69 70%     29 - 5 +11.3 +2.3 +9.1
Projected Record 29.0 - 5.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.3 71.0 27.6 1.4 100.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.3 71.0 27.6 1.4 100.0%