Pre-tourney Rankings
Wisconsin
Big Ten
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.9#33
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#39
Pace61.2#341
Improvement+3.2#52

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#63
First Shot+3.9#68
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#105
Layup/Dunks+0.2#151
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#122
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#143
Freethrows+2.0#48
Improvement+0.9#140

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#25
First Shot+5.5#33
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#39
Layups/Dunks+1.3#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#26
Freethrows+1.3#85
Improvement+2.3#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 26.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.3% n/a n/a
Second Round52.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen16.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.9% n/a n/a
Final Four1.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 240   Western Illinois L 67-69 95%     0 - 1 -9.6 +4.8 -14.8
  Nov 15, 2015 119   Siena W 92-65 86%     1 - 1 +27.1 +19.9 +7.7
  Nov 17, 2015 200   North Dakota W 78-64 94%     2 - 1 +8.7 +5.6 +3.2
  Nov 20, 2015 70   Georgetown L 61-71 65%     2 - 2 -2.0 -7.6 +5.5
  Nov 22, 2015 35   Virginia Commonwealth W 74-73 51%     3 - 2 +12.7 +7.3 +5.4
  Nov 25, 2015 335   Prairie View W 85-67 99%     4 - 2 +1.7 +9.0 -7.1
  Nov 29, 2015 8   @ Oklahoma L 48-65 21%     4 - 3 +3.6 -10.2 +12.2
  Dec 02, 2015 38   @ Syracuse W 66-58 OT 41%     5 - 3 +22.4 -0.1 +22.3
  Dec 05, 2015 84   Temple W 76-60 78%     6 - 3 +19.7 +12.6 +8.3
  Dec 09, 2015 114   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-68 86%     6 - 4 -0.5 -7.4 +6.9
  Dec 12, 2015 93   Marquette L 55-57 80%     6 - 5 +1.0 -7.9 +8.6
  Dec 15, 2015 177   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 64-49 92%     7 - 5 +11.2 +1.8 +12.0
  Dec 23, 2015 122   Green Bay W 84-79 87%     8 - 5 +5.0 -4.3 +8.4
  Dec 29, 2015 9   Purdue L 55-61 42%     8 - 6 0 - 1 +8.1 -6.5 +14.1
  Jan 02, 2016 271   Rutgers W 79-57 97%     9 - 6 1 - 1 +12.1 +6.0 +6.9
  Jan 05, 2016 13   @ Indiana L 58-59 25%     9 - 7 1 - 2 +18.0 -1.1 +19.0
  Jan 09, 2016 22   Maryland L 60-63 50%     9 - 8 1 - 3 +8.9 -3.2 +11.8
  Jan 12, 2016 65   @ Northwestern L 65-70 53%     9 - 9 1 - 4 +6.2 +5.5 +0.0
  Jan 17, 2016 2   Michigan St. W 77-76 30%     10 - 9 2 - 4 +18.4 +19.3 -0.8
  Jan 21, 2016 120   @ Penn St. W 66-60 72%     11 - 9 3 - 4 +11.9 +5.1 +7.4
  Jan 26, 2016 13   Indiana W 82-79 OT 45%     12 - 9 4 - 4 +16.2 +5.3 +10.6
  Jan 31, 2016 109   @ Illinois W 63-55 69%     13 - 9 5 - 4 +14.8 -0.6 +16.2
  Feb 04, 2016 69   Ohio St. W 79-68 74%     14 - 9 6 - 4 +16.2 +18.2 -1.0
  Feb 10, 2016 79   Nebraska W 72-61 77%     15 - 9 7 - 4 +15.1 +8.4 +7.9
  Feb 13, 2016 22   @ Maryland W 70-57 29%     16 - 9 8 - 4 +30.7 +12.4 +19.5
  Feb 18, 2016 2   @ Michigan St. L 57-69 15%     16 - 10 8 - 5 +11.2 +0.7 +9.0
  Feb 21, 2016 109   Illinois W 69-60 85%     17 - 10 9 - 5 +10.0 +4.4 +6.7
  Feb 24, 2016 21   @ Iowa W 67-59 29%     18 - 10 10 - 5 +25.8 +11.4 +15.5
  Feb 28, 2016 42   Michigan W 68-57 65%     19 - 10 11 - 5 +18.9 +6.3 +14.1
  Mar 02, 2016 176   @ Minnesota W 62-49 82%     20 - 10 12 - 5 +15.1 +1.4 +15.6
  Mar 06, 2016 9   @ Purdue L 80-91 22%     20 - 11 12 - 6 +9.0 +21.1 -12.7
  Mar 10, 2016 79   Nebraska L 58-70 68%     20 - 12 -5.0 -13.6 +8.9
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 99.3% 99.3% 6.8 0.0 0.1 2.2 24.3 66.7 5.8 0.1 0.7 99.3%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.3% 0.0% 99.3% 6.8 0.0 0.1 2.2 24.3 66.7 5.8 0.1 0.7 99.3%