Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.9#109
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#112
Pace69.0#197
Improvement+0.4#167

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#112
First Shot+4.5#60
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#310
Layup/Dunks-4.9#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#12
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#43
Freethrows+0.0#171
Improvement-1.6#257

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#127
First Shot+1.0#142
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#113
Layups/Dunks+3.3#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#307
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#315
Freethrows+3.3#24
Improvement+2.0#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 178   North Florida L 81-93 68%     0 - 1 -12.9 -4.9 -7.0
  Nov 15, 2015 158   North Dakota St. W 80-74 63%     1 - 1 +6.4 +4.3 +1.7
  Nov 18, 2015 51   @ Providence L 59-60 20%     1 - 2 +11.9 +2.5 +9.3
  Nov 21, 2015 106   Chattanooga L 77-81 47%     1 - 3 +0.6 +1.5 -0.6
  Nov 23, 2015 348   Chicago St. W 82-79 96%     2 - 3 -13.2 -3.4 -10.0
  Nov 27, 2015 117   UAB W 72-58 53%     3 - 3 +17.2 +2.7 +15.0
  Nov 28, 2015 18   Iowa St. L 73-84 14%     3 - 4 +4.4 +3.4 +1.1
  Dec 02, 2015 36   Notre Dame L 79-84 32%     3 - 5 +3.7 +6.2 -2.5
  Dec 05, 2015 194   Western Carolina W 80-68 80%     4 - 5 +7.0 +4.8 +2.1
  Dec 09, 2015 60   Yale W 69-65 42%     5 - 5 +10.1 +0.1 +9.9
  Dec 12, 2015 331   Illinois-Chicago W 83-79 93%     6 - 5 -8.5 +3.6 -12.3
  Dec 19, 2015 226   South Dakota W 91-79 84%     7 - 5 +5.3 +6.3 -1.8
  Dec 23, 2015 143   Missouri W 68-63 60%     8 - 5 +6.4 -3.6 +10.0
  Dec 30, 2015 42   Michigan L 68-78 35%     8 - 6 0 - 1 -2.1 -4.8 +2.9
  Jan 03, 2016 69   @ Ohio St. L 73-75 25%     8 - 7 0 - 2 +9.0 +5.7 +3.4
  Jan 07, 2016 2   @ Michigan St. L 54-79 5%     8 - 8 0 - 3 -1.8 -8.3 +5.9
  Jan 10, 2016 9   Purdue W 84-70 17%     9 - 8 1 - 3 +28.1 +16.6 +11.3
  Jan 16, 2016 79   Nebraska L 67-78 49%     9 - 9 1 - 4 -6.9 -1.9 -5.4
  Jan 19, 2016 13   @ Indiana L 69-103 9%     9 - 10 1 - 5 -15.0 +1.7 -16.4
  Jan 23, 2016 176   @ Minnesota W 76-71 OT 57%     10 - 10 2 - 5 +7.1 -3.1 +9.6
  Jan 28, 2016 69   Ohio St. L 63-68 OT 45%     10 - 11 2 - 6 +0.2 -9.9 +10.4
  Jan 31, 2016 33   Wisconsin L 55-63 31%     10 - 12 2 - 7 +1.0 -6.8 +7.0
  Feb 03, 2016 271   @ Rutgers W 110-101 3OT 78%     11 - 12 3 - 7 +4.9 +3.9 -1.7
  Feb 07, 2016 21   Iowa L 65-77 22%     11 - 13 3 - 8 +0.0 -3.1 +3.2
  Feb 13, 2016 65   @ Northwestern L 56-58 24%     11 - 14 3 - 9 +9.2 -2.7 +11.5
  Feb 16, 2016 271   Rutgers W 82-66 90%     12 - 14 4 - 9 +6.1 +3.0 +2.5
  Feb 21, 2016 33   @ Wisconsin L 60-69 15%     12 - 15 4 - 10 +5.8 +2.7 +2.0
  Feb 25, 2016 13   Indiana L 47-74 19%     12 - 16 4 - 11 -13.8 -15.4 -2.6
  Feb 28, 2016 176   Minnesota W 84-71 77%     13 - 16 5 - 11 +9.3 +10.2 -1.0
  Mar 03, 2016 22   @ Maryland L 55-81 10%     13 - 17 5 - 12 -8.3 -3.8 -7.1
  Mar 06, 2016 120   @ Penn St. L 79-86 2OT 42%     13 - 18 5 - 13 -1.1 -0.4 +0.3
  Mar 09, 2016 176   Minnesota W 85-52 68%     14 - 18 +32.2 +17.4 +16.2
  Mar 10, 2016 21   Iowa W 68-66 15%     15 - 18 +16.9 +4.2 +12.7
  Mar 11, 2016 9   Purdue L 58-89 11%     15 - 19 -14.0 -3.6 -11.9
Projected Record 15.0 - 19.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%