Pre-tourney Rankings
UAB
Conference USA
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#117
Expected Predictive Rating+6.8#89
Pace70.4#160
Improvement-0.2#190

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#111
First Shot+0.6#155
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#59
Layup/Dunks+2.3#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#192
Freethrows-0.9#241
Improvement-0.1#184

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#150
First Shot+2.6#93
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#322
Layups/Dunks+0.0#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
Freethrows+1.5#77
Improvement-0.1#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 180   @ Auburn L 74-75 55%     0 - 1 +1.0 +0.3 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2015 295   Alabama St. W 72-70 91%     1 - 1 -9.8 -11.5 +1.6
  Nov 19, 2015 285   @ Troy W 79-63 78%     2 - 1 +11.0 -3.3 +12.6
  Nov 22, 2015 293   Jacksonville St. W 61-55 91%     3 - 1 -5.7 -7.9 +3.2
  Nov 27, 2015 109   Illinois L 58-72 47%     3 - 2 -10.1 -11.1 +0.5
  Nov 28, 2015 61   Virginia Tech L 77-82 OT 29%     3 - 3 +3.9 +1.9 +2.4
  Dec 01, 2015 198   Georgia St. W 64-57 78%     4 - 3 +1.9 -2.9 +5.5
  Dec 05, 2015 121   @ Illinois St. W 74-61 40%     5 - 3 +18.9 +8.2 +11.0
  Dec 13, 2015 292   Seattle W 79-73 91%     6 - 3 -5.6 +11.2 -16.2
  Dec 16, 2015 321   South Carolina Upstate W 96-54 94%     7 - 3 +27.9 +20.5 +9.8
  Dec 19, 2015 215   @ South Florida W 79-68 64%     8 - 3 +10.5 +11.8 -0.8
  Dec 29, 2015 54   Stephen F. Austin W 76-66 36%     9 - 3 +16.8 +7.6 +9.4
  Jan 03, 2016 130   Middle Tennessee W 78-67 64%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +10.4 +11.3 -0.2
  Jan 07, 2016 339   Texas San Antonio W 104-82 96%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +5.3 +15.8 -11.6
  Jan 09, 2016 222   UTEP W 87-80 82%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +0.5 +1.4 -1.6
  Jan 14, 2016 118   @ Old Dominion W 72-71 OT 39%     13 - 3 4 - 0 +7.0 +2.5 +4.5
  Jan 16, 2016 195   @ Charlotte W 74-72 59%     14 - 3 5 - 0 +2.8 +1.2 +1.7
  Jan 21, 2016 277   Rice W 82-70 89%     15 - 3 6 - 0 +1.6 -7.1 +7.7
  Jan 23, 2016 290   North Texas W 78-57 91%     16 - 3 7 - 0 +9.6 +3.4 +7.4
  Jan 28, 2016 181   @ Western Kentucky L 62-69 55%     16 - 4 7 - 1 -5.1 -12.2 +7.1
  Jan 30, 2016 150   @ Marshall W 81-78 48%     17 - 4 8 - 1 +6.8 -6.4 +12.7
  Feb 04, 2016 236   Florida International W 74-69 84%     18 - 4 9 - 1 -2.5 -9.0 +6.1
  Feb 06, 2016 301   Florida Atlantic W 104-67 92%     19 - 4 10 - 1 +24.9 +17.9 +3.8
  Feb 11, 2016 302   @ Southern Miss W 80-77 2OT 82%     20 - 4 11 - 1 -3.3 +0.4 -3.9
  Feb 13, 2016 161   @ Louisiana Tech L 76-85 51%     20 - 5 11 - 2 -6.0 +2.3 -8.0
  Feb 21, 2016 130   @ Middle Tennessee W 77-67 42%     21 - 5 12 - 2 +15.3 +17.6 -1.2
  Feb 25, 2016 150   Marshall W 95-91 69%     22 - 5 13 - 2 +1.9 +5.5 -4.0
  Feb 27, 2016 181   Western Kentucky W 71-67 75%     23 - 5 14 - 2 +0.1 -5.6 +5.7
  Mar 03, 2016 236   @ Florida International W 77-60 68%     24 - 5 15 - 2 +15.4 -1.2 +15.8
  Mar 05, 2016 301   @ Florida Atlantic W 73-70 81%     25 - 5 16 - 2 -3.3 -3.9 +0.4
  Mar 10, 2016 181   Western Kentucky L 77-88 66%     25 - 6 -12.0 -3.5 -7.9
Projected Record 25.0 - 6.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%