Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern
Big Ten
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.2#65
Expected Predictive Rating+8.6#70
Pace61.5#337
Improvement+0.0#182

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#68
First Shot+4.1#63
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#134
Layup/Dunks+1.6#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#37
Freethrows-2.6#325
Improvement-1.9#272

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#80
First Shot+3.5#70
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#161
Layups/Dunks+5.5#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#225
Freethrows+0.0#169
Improvement+1.9#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 307   Umass Lowell W 79-57 96%     1 - 0 +9.3 -0.7 +10.5
  Nov 18, 2015 189   Fairfield W 79-72 88%     2 - 0 +2.5 +1.6 +0.7
  Nov 20, 2015 123   Columbia W 83-80 OT 79%     3 - 0 +2.9 +8.4 -5.4
  Nov 23, 2015 3   North Carolina L 69-80 13%     3 - 1 +9.2 +6.6 +2.3
  Nov 24, 2015 143   Missouri W 67-62 75%     4 - 1 +6.4 -2.5 +9.1
  Nov 28, 2015 326   New Orleans W 90-63 97%     5 - 1 +12.3 +7.1 +4.4
  Dec 01, 2015 61   @ Virginia Tech W 81-79 OT 36%     6 - 1 +13.8 +7.3 +6.3
  Dec 05, 2015 309   SIU Edwardsville W 81-56 96%     7 - 1 +12.1 +9.0 +4.7
  Dec 13, 2015 348   Chicago St. W 77-35 99%     8 - 1 +22.9 +5.6 +22.5
  Dec 15, 2015 341   Mississippi Valley W 78-48 98%     9 - 1 +12.7 -4.1 +15.6
  Dec 19, 2015 170   @ DePaul W 78-70 OT 72%     10 - 1 +10.3 +4.4 +5.7
  Dec 21, 2015 298   Sacred Heart W 103-67 96%     11 - 1 +24.2 +24.0 +0.4
  Dec 27, 2015 294   Loyola Maryland W 74-59 96%     12 - 1 +3.3 +3.5 +1.7
  Dec 30, 2015 79   @ Nebraska W 81-72 44%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +18.9 +25.9 -5.5
  Jan 02, 2016 22   Maryland L 59-72 36%     13 - 2 1 - 1 -1.1 -8.8 +7.8
  Jan 06, 2016 69   Ohio St. L 56-65 62%     13 - 3 1 - 2 -3.8 -11.3 +7.3
  Jan 09, 2016 176   @ Minnesota W 77-52 72%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +27.1 +17.8 +12.8
  Jan 12, 2016 33   Wisconsin W 70-65 47%     15 - 3 3 - 2 +14.0 +11.7 +3.0
  Jan 16, 2016 120   Penn St. L 62-71 78%     15 - 4 3 - 3 -8.9 -6.5 -2.8
  Jan 19, 2016 22   @ Maryland L 56-62 OT 19%     15 - 5 3 - 4 +11.7 -7.1 +18.6
  Jan 23, 2016 13   @ Indiana L 57-89 16%     15 - 6 3 - 5 -13.0 -6.9 -7.7
  Jan 28, 2016 2   Michigan St. L 45-76 19%     15 - 7 3 - 6 -13.6 -18.7 +3.2
  Jan 31, 2016 21   @ Iowa L 71-85 18%     15 - 8 3 - 7 +3.8 +2.3 +2.3
  Feb 04, 2016 176   Minnesota W 82-58 87%     16 - 8 4 - 7 +20.3 +14.6 +7.3
  Feb 09, 2016 69   @ Ohio St. L 63-71 39%     16 - 9 4 - 8 +3.0 +4.2 -2.1
  Feb 13, 2016 109   Illinois W 58-56 76%     17 - 9 5 - 8 +3.0 -5.3 +8.6
  Feb 16, 2016 9   @ Purdue L 61-71 14%     17 - 10 5 - 9 +10.0 +6.9 +1.6
  Feb 24, 2016 42   @ Michigan L 63-72 30%     17 - 11 5 - 10 +4.7 +2.0 +1.7
  Feb 27, 2016 271   Rutgers W 98-59 94%     18 - 11 6 - 10 +29.1 +28.9 +2.9
  Mar 03, 2016 120   @ Penn St. W 71-61 59%     19 - 11 7 - 10 +15.9 +10.1 +6.8
  Mar 06, 2016 79   Nebraska W 65-54 66%     20 - 11 8 - 10 +15.1 -2.0 +17.9
  Mar 10, 2016 42   Michigan L 70-72 OT 40%     20 - 12 +8.8 +1.5 +7.3
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%