Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa
Big Ten
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.9#21
Expected Predictive Rating+13.3#27
Pace72.1#124
Improvement-5.7#340

Offense
Total Offense+8.1#26
First Shot+5.8#41
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#29
Layup/Dunks+0.8#130
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#102
Freethrows+0.8#120
Improvement-3.9#324

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#28
First Shot+8.0#10
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#294
Layups/Dunks+1.3#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#84
Freethrows+4.3#8
Improvement-1.8#267
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 5.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 78.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round69.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen32.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight14.1% n/a n/a
Final Four6.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 233   Gardner-Webb W 76-59 97%     1 - 0 +9.8 -3.8 +12.6
  Nov 15, 2015 329   Coppin St. W 103-68 99%     2 - 0 +19.7 +6.2 +7.8
  Nov 19, 2015 93   @ Marquette W 89-61 72%     3 - 0 +36.8 +13.6 +20.9
  Nov 26, 2015 58   Dayton L 77-82 70%     3 - 1 +4.4 +8.2 -3.5
  Nov 27, 2015 36   Notre Dame L 62-68 62%     3 - 2 +5.6 -2.2 +7.2
  Nov 29, 2015 24   Wichita St. W 84-61 51%     4 - 2 +37.5 +27.3 +11.8
  Dec 02, 2015 46   Florida St. W 78-75 OT 76%     5 - 2 +10.6 -0.9 +11.2
  Dec 05, 2015 253   UMKC W 95-75 97%     6 - 2 +11.6 +14.4 -3.4
  Dec 07, 2015 240   Western Illinois W 90-56 97%     7 - 2 +26.4 +8.1 +15.9
  Dec 10, 2015 18   @ Iowa St. L 82-83 37%     7 - 3 +17.3 +8.1 +9.3
  Dec 19, 2015 254   Drake W 70-64 96%     8 - 3 +0.5 +3.1 -1.6
  Dec 22, 2015 197   Tennessee Tech W 85-63 96%     9 - 3 +16.9 +1.0 +14.6
  Dec 29, 2015 2   Michigan St. W 83-70 40%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +30.4 +13.0 +16.8
  Jan 02, 2016 9   @ Purdue W 70-63 31%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +27.0 +9.8 +17.5
  Jan 05, 2016 79   Nebraska W 77-66 84%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +15.1 +10.8 +5.0
  Jan 14, 2016 2   @ Michigan St. W 76-59 21%     13 - 3 4 - 0 +40.2 +12.5 +27.7
  Jan 17, 2016 42   Michigan W 82-71 75%     14 - 3 5 - 0 +18.9 +17.0 +2.8
  Jan 21, 2016 271   @ Rutgers W 90-76 95%     15 - 3 6 - 0 +9.9 +12.6 -3.4
  Jan 24, 2016 9   Purdue W 83-71 53%     16 - 3 7 - 0 +26.1 +10.8 +14.4
  Jan 28, 2016 22   @ Maryland L 68-74 39%     16 - 4 7 - 1 +11.7 +2.6 +9.2
  Jan 31, 2016 65   Northwestern W 85-71 82%     17 - 4 8 - 1 +19.3 +9.4 +9.1
  Feb 03, 2016 120   Penn St. W 73-49 91%     18 - 4 9 - 1 +24.1 +2.6 +21.6
  Feb 07, 2016 109   @ Illinois W 77-65 78%     19 - 4 10 - 1 +18.8 +6.5 +12.2
  Feb 11, 2016 13   @ Indiana L 78-85 34%     19 - 5 10 - 2 +12.0 +17.3 -5.8
  Feb 14, 2016 176   Minnesota W 75-71 95%     20 - 5 11 - 2 +0.3 +2.3 -2.0
  Feb 17, 2016 120   @ Penn St. L 75-79 80%     20 - 6 11 - 3 +1.9 +6.5 -4.5
  Feb 24, 2016 33   Wisconsin L 59-67 71%     20 - 7 11 - 4 +1.0 -0.3 +0.2
  Feb 28, 2016 69   @ Ohio St. L 64-68 65%     20 - 8 11 - 5 +7.0 -1.0 +7.9
  Mar 01, 2016 13   Indiana L 78-81 57%     20 - 9 11 - 6 +10.2 +7.6 +2.6
  Mar 05, 2016 42   @ Michigan W 71-61 55%     21 - 9 12 - 6 +23.7 +1.8 +21.8
  Mar 10, 2016 109   Illinois L 66-68 85%     21 - 10 +1.9 -3.0 +4.9
Projected Record 21.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 99.9% 99.9% 5.9 0.3 5.3 21.0 52.0 21.0 0.2 0.1 99.9%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 5.9 0.3 5.3 21.0 52.0 21.0 0.2 0.1 99.9%