Pre-tourney Rankings
Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#189
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#155
Pace77.7#39
Improvement+0.7#152

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#173
First Shot+3.1#87
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#339
Layup/Dunks+2.5#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#39
Freethrows-1.1#258
Improvement-0.8#221

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#211
First Shot+0.8#148
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#341
Layups/Dunks-1.2#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#174
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#117
Freethrows+0.8#115
Improvement+1.5#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 60   Yale L 57-70 16%     0 - 1 -4.0 -6.5 +1.8
  Nov 15, 2015 3   @ North Carolina L 65-92 2%     0 - 2 -3.9 -4.9 +4.1
  Nov 18, 2015 65   @ Northwestern L 72-79 12%     0 - 3 +4.2 +2.8 +1.5
  Nov 21, 2015 298   Sacred Heart W 83-79 OT 83%     1 - 3 -7.8 -11.6 +3.1
  Nov 24, 2015 319   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 113-74 73%     2 - 3 +31.0 +8.4 +13.3
  Nov 27, 2015 123   Columbia W 82-81 OT 44%     3 - 3 +0.9 -2.5 +3.3
  Dec 01, 2015 101   @ Iona L 77-101 18%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -15.8 -3.8 -8.7
  Dec 04, 2015 214   Rider W 74-70 67%     4 - 4 1 - 1 -2.2 +0.5 -2.7
  Dec 18, 2015 199   Wagner L 64-76 63%     4 - 5 -17.1 -6.8 -10.7
  Dec 22, 2015 294   Loyola Maryland W 94-88 OT 83%     5 - 5 -5.7 +3.3 -9.7
  Dec 27, 2015 171   @ Bucknell W 101-91 35%     6 - 5 +12.3 +9.1 +1.2
  Jan 02, 2016 239   @ Manhattan L 66-72 51%     6 - 6 1 - 2 -7.7 -15.0 +8.0
  Jan 04, 2016 229   Dartmouth W 97-85 70%     7 - 6 +5.1 +14.9 -10.7
  Jan 07, 2016 119   @ Siena L 76-91 23%     7 - 7 1 - 3 -9.0 -2.4 -5.1
  Jan 09, 2016 214   @ Rider W 69-64 45%     8 - 7 2 - 3 +4.6 -4.2 +8.6
  Jan 11, 2016 85   Monmouth L 74-86 31%     8 - 8 2 - 4 -8.4 +2.1 -10.2
  Jan 15, 2016 303   Niagara W 73-68 84%     9 - 8 3 - 4 -7.2 -6.2 -1.2
  Jan 19, 2016 207   St. Peter's L 71-77 66%     9 - 9 3 - 5 -11.9 +0.8 -12.8
  Jan 22, 2016 300   @ Marist W 88-76 67%     10 - 9 4 - 5 +5.7 +6.1 -0.8
  Jan 24, 2016 101   Iona W 98-91 35%     11 - 9 5 - 5 +9.4 +9.0 -0.7
  Jan 29, 2016 231   Canisius W 84-77 70%     12 - 9 6 - 5 +0.0 -0.2 -0.2
  Feb 01, 2016 288   Quinnipiac L 59-64 81%     12 - 10 6 - 6 -16.1 -14.3 -1.8
  Feb 05, 2016 85   @ Monmouth L 67-91 15%     12 - 11 6 - 7 -14.5 -8.7 -2.7
  Feb 07, 2016 239   Manhattan W 80-70 72%     13 - 11 7 - 7 +2.4 +2.4 -0.2
  Feb 13, 2016 288   @ Quinnipiac W 84-80 2OT 64%     14 - 11 8 - 7 -1.3 -5.5 +3.3
  Feb 15, 2016 300   Marist W 76-73 84%     15 - 11 9 - 7 -9.1 -10.5 +1.2
  Feb 18, 2016 231   @ Canisius W 74-71 48%     16 - 11 10 - 7 +1.8 -1.2 +3.1
  Feb 20, 2016 303   @ Niagara W 71-59 68%     17 - 11 11 - 7 +5.6 +4.0 +2.7
  Feb 24, 2016 119   Siena W 76-69 43%     18 - 11 12 - 7 +7.1 -2.6 +9.3
  Feb 27, 2016 207   @ St. Peter's L 68-72 44%     18 - 12 12 - 8 -4.1 +2.3 -6.6
  Mar 05, 2016 207   St. Peter's W 64-55 55%     19 - 12 +6.0 +2.8 +4.6
  Mar 06, 2016 85   Monmouth L 63-76 22%     19 - 13 -6.4 -8.5 +2.8
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 12.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%