Pre-tourney Rankings
Gonzaga
West Coast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.5#27
Expected Predictive Rating+12.3#32
Pace68.7#210
Improvement+0.0#177

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#25
First Shot+6.7#28
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#64
Layup/Dunks+4.0#32
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#134
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#119
Freethrows+0.6#136
Improvement+3.6#25

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#49
First Shot+4.6#49
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#115
Layups/Dunks+0.8#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#47
Freethrows+1.7#67
Improvement-3.6#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round54.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen19.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.9% n/a n/a
Final Four2.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2015 345   Northern Arizona W 91-52 99%     1 - 0 +21.2 -0.8 +17.4
  Nov 21, 2015 262   Mount St. Mary's W 101-56 97%     2 - 0 +35.9 +18.3 +13.5
  Nov 25, 2015 56   Washington W 80-64 64%     3 - 0 +25.7 +3.9 +20.1
  Nov 26, 2015 16   Texas A&M L 61-62 41%     3 - 1 +14.8 +4.3 +10.4
  Nov 27, 2015 29   Connecticut W 73-70 52%     4 - 1 +16.0 +7.7 +8.2
  Dec 02, 2015 169   @ Washington St. W 69-60 85%     5 - 1 +11.4 -6.7 +17.5
  Dec 05, 2015 12   Arizona L 63-68 50%     5 - 2 +8.5 -5.9 +14.5
  Dec 08, 2015 153   Montana W 61-58 92%     6 - 2 +0.9 -13.8 +14.6
  Dec 12, 2015 63   UCLA L 66-71 77%     6 - 3 +0.6 -3.1 +3.5
  Dec 19, 2015 91   Tennessee W 86-79 76%     7 - 3 +13.0 +10.2 +2.4
  Dec 21, 2015 129   Pepperdine W 99-73 90%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +25.5 +36.2 -8.0
  Dec 23, 2015 208   Loyola Marymount W 85-62 95%     9 - 3 2 - 0 +17.0 +21.9 -1.1
  Dec 31, 2015 232   @ Santa Clara W 79-77 91%     10 - 3 3 - 0 +0.6 +8.8 -8.1
  Jan 02, 2016 202   @ San Francisco W 102-94 OT 89%     11 - 3 4 - 0 +8.3 +10.1 -3.1
  Jan 09, 2016 203   Portland W 85-74 95%     12 - 3 5 - 0 +5.3 +0.6 +3.8
  Jan 14, 2016 50   BYU L 68-69 72%     12 - 4 5 - 1 +6.4 -8.0 +14.5
  Jan 16, 2016 263   San Diego W 88-52 97%     13 - 4 6 - 1 +26.8 +18.0 +10.1
  Jan 21, 2016 39   @ St. Mary's L 67-70 49%     13 - 5 6 - 2 +10.9 +8.9 +1.5
  Jan 23, 2016 218   @ Pacific W 71-61 90%     14 - 5 7 - 2 +9.4 -1.2 +10.6
  Jan 28, 2016 232   Santa Clara W 84-67 96%     15 - 5 8 - 2 +9.8 +3.8 +5.3
  Jan 30, 2016 202   San Francisco W 86-48 95%     16 - 5 9 - 2 +32.5 +7.2 +25.1
  Feb 04, 2016 208   @ Loyola Marymount W 92-63 89%     17 - 5 10 - 2 +28.8 +18.2 +10.7
  Feb 06, 2016 129   @ Pepperdine W 69-66 78%     18 - 5 11 - 2 +8.3 +6.5 +2.1
  Feb 11, 2016 203   @ Portland W 92-66 89%     19 - 5 12 - 2 +26.1 +19.8 +7.1
  Feb 13, 2016 19   @ SMU L 60-69 33%     19 - 6 +9.1 +0.2 +7.9
  Feb 18, 2016 218   Pacific W 90-68 96%     20 - 6 13 - 2 +15.6 +14.0 +1.3
  Feb 20, 2016 39   St. Mary's L 58-63 70%     20 - 7 13 - 3 +3.0 -7.4 +9.8
  Feb 25, 2016 263   @ San Diego W 82-60 93%     21 - 7 14 - 3 +18.6 +9.7 +8.4
  Feb 27, 2016 50   @ BYU W 71-68 51%     22 - 7 15 - 3 +16.3 +1.2 +14.9
  Mar 05, 2016 203   Portland W 92-67 93%     23 - 7 +22.2 +22.1 +1.9
  Mar 07, 2016 50   BYU W 88-84 62%     24 - 7 +14.3 +15.3 -1.2
  Mar 08, 2016 39   St. Mary's W 85-75 60%     25 - 7 +20.9 +30.0 -7.2
Projected Record 25.0 - 7.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 10.0 0.0 2.0 7.4 17.6 37.3 34.8 0.8
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.0 2.0 7.4 17.6 37.3 34.8 0.8