Pre-tourney Rankings
SMU
American Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.2#19
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#19
Pace64.8#299
Improvement-1.9#265

Offense
Total Offense+9.8#14
First Shot+5.8#40
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#3
Layup/Dunks+5.8#7
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#240
Freethrows-0.1#181
Improvement-5.2#342

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#45
First Shot+4.5#54
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#89
Layups/Dunks+4.9#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#326
Freethrows+4.0#9
Improvement+3.4#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 225   Sam Houston St. W 85-50 97%     1 - 0 +28.4 +11.0 +18.2
  Nov 19, 2015 89   @ Stanford W 85-70 72%     2 - 0 +24.2 +23.9 +1.5
  Nov 22, 2015 60   Yale W 71-69 80%     3 - 0 +8.1 +5.8 +2.4
  Nov 29, 2015 266   Brown W 77-69 98%     4 - 0 -1.4 +4.3 -4.9
  Dec 02, 2015 113   @ TCU W 75-70 80%     5 - 0 +11.4 +8.8 +2.6
  Dec 05, 2015 243   New Hampshire W 98-44 97%     6 - 0 +46.3 +29.5 +20.7
  Dec 08, 2015 42   Michigan W 82-58 76%     7 - 0 +31.9 +16.0 +17.4
  Dec 16, 2015 333   Nicholls St. W 86-42 99%     8 - 0 +28.2 +7.0 +20.4
  Dec 17, 2015 249   Hampton W 105-72 97%     9 - 0 +24.8 +29.1 -4.3
  Dec 22, 2015 182   Kent St. W 90-74 93%     10 - 0 +14.9 +8.2 +5.5
  Dec 23, 2015 47   Colorado W 70-66 67%     11 - 0 +14.5 +3.7 +10.8
  Dec 29, 2015 64   @ Tulsa W 81-69 65%     12 - 0 1 - 0 +23.3 +22.9 +1.9
  Jan 02, 2016 215   South Florida W 72-58 97%     13 - 0 2 - 0 +7.7 +8.1 +1.5
  Jan 07, 2016 32   Cincinnati W 59-57 72%     14 - 0 3 - 0 +11.2 +3.2 +8.4
  Jan 10, 2016 173   Central Florida W 88-73 95%     15 - 0 4 - 0 +11.4 +15.1 -3.8
  Jan 13, 2016 185   @ East Carolina W 79-55 89%     16 - 0 5 - 0 +25.5 +14.0 +13.8
  Jan 17, 2016 192   @ Tulane W 60-45 90%     17 - 0 6 - 0 +16.0 -5.3 +22.1
  Jan 19, 2016 59   Houston W 77-73 80%     18 - 0 7 - 0 +10.3 +19.5 -8.3
  Jan 24, 2016 84   @ Temple L 80-89 71%     18 - 1 7 - 1 +0.5 +6.0 -4.6
  Jan 30, 2016 71   Memphis W 80-68 83%     19 - 1 8 - 1 +17.0 +6.3 +9.9
  Feb 01, 2016 59   @ Houston L 68-71 61%     19 - 2 8 - 2 +9.2 -1.1 +10.2
  Feb 07, 2016 215   @ South Florida W 92-58 92%     20 - 2 9 - 2 +33.5 +31.1 +6.0
  Feb 10, 2016 64   Tulsa L 77-82 82%     20 - 3 9 - 3 +0.5 +9.6 -9.4
  Feb 13, 2016 27   Gonzaga W 69-60 67%     21 - 3 +19.6 +7.0 +13.5
  Feb 18, 2016 29   @ Connecticut L 62-68 47%     21 - 4 9 - 4 +9.9 +6.6 +2.5
  Feb 21, 2016 185   East Carolina W 74-63 95%     22 - 4 10 - 4 +6.6 +7.0 +0.9
  Feb 25, 2016 71   @ Memphis W 69-62 66%     23 - 4 11 - 4 +17.8 -0.8 +18.2
  Feb 28, 2016 192   Tulane W 74-53 96%     24 - 4 12 - 4 +16.2 +6.5 +10.8
  Mar 03, 2016 29   Connecticut W 80-54 69%     25 - 4 13 - 4 +36.0 +19.0 +18.8
  Mar 06, 2016 32   @ Cincinnati L 54-61 50%     25 - 5 13 - 5 +8.1 -6.8 +14.6
Projected Record 25.0 - 5.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%