Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado
Pac-12
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#47
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#37
Pace72.4#115
Improvement-0.5#199

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#93
First Shot+0.5#156
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#21
Layup/Dunks-0.8#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#165
Freethrows+2.5#28
Improvement-2.1#280

Defense
Total Defense+7.3#22
First Shot+5.0#39
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#10
Layups/Dunks+0.9#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#178
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#60
Freethrows+1.5#79
Improvement+1.6#88
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.9% n/a n/a
First Round91.0% n/a n/a
Second Round42.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 18   Iowa St. L 62-68 32%     0 - 1 +9.4 -14.6 +24.7
  Nov 17, 2015 180   @ Auburn W 91-84 79%     1 - 1 +9.0 +14.9 -6.4
  Nov 20, 2015 203   Portland W 85-63 93%     2 - 1 +16.3 -2.2 +16.0
  Nov 22, 2015 147   Nebraska Omaha W 87-82 87%     3 - 1 +3.1 +0.4 +2.1
  Nov 25, 2015 237   Air Force W 81-70 94%     4 - 1 +3.5 +4.5 -1.2
  Nov 29, 2015 310   Northern Colorado W 82-52 97%     5 - 1 +17.1 -1.8 +18.3
  Dec 06, 2015 142   @ Colorado St. W 88-77 73%     6 - 1 +15.3 +13.1 +2.2
  Dec 12, 2015 50   BYU W 92-83 62%     7 - 1 +16.4 +8.0 +7.0
  Dec 18, 2015 333   Nicholls St. W 85-68 98%     8 - 1 +1.2 +3.7 -3.3
  Dec 19, 2015 249   Hampton W 95-53 95%     9 - 1 +33.8 +10.2 +19.6
  Dec 22, 2015 120   Penn St. W 71-70 76%     10 - 1 +4.0 +4.1 -0.1
  Dec 23, 2015 19   SMU L 66-70 33%     10 - 2 +11.2 -2.3 +13.5
  Jan 01, 2016 23   @ California L 65-79 25%     10 - 3 0 - 1 +3.6 +1.3 +2.6
  Jan 03, 2016 89   @ Stanford W 56-55 55%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +10.2 -8.0 +18.3
  Jan 08, 2016 26   Utah L 54-56 47%     11 - 4 1 - 2 +9.2 -8.1 +17.1
  Jan 13, 2016 57   Oregon St. W 71-54 65%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +23.5 +0.2 +22.9
  Jan 17, 2016 10   Oregon W 91-87 36%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +18.1 +17.8 +0.1
  Jan 20, 2016 56   @ Washington L 83-95 42%     13 - 5 3 - 3 +0.7 +8.1 -6.1
  Jan 23, 2016 169   @ Washington St. W 75-70 78%     14 - 5 4 - 3 +7.4 +3.9 +3.5
  Jan 27, 2016 89   Stanford W 91-75 75%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +19.4 +16.5 +2.2
  Jan 31, 2016 23   California W 70-62 45%     16 - 5 6 - 3 +19.8 +2.9 +16.7
  Feb 04, 2016 10   @ Oregon L 56-76 19%     16 - 6 6 - 4 -0.1 -11.0 +11.5
  Feb 06, 2016 57   @ Oregon St. L 56-60 43%     16 - 7 6 - 5 +8.3 -8.8 +17.0
  Feb 11, 2016 169   Washington St. W 88-81 2OT 90%     17 - 7 7 - 5 +3.5 +2.5 +0.1
  Feb 13, 2016 56   Washington W 81-80 64%     18 - 7 8 - 5 +7.8 -2.2 +9.8
  Feb 17, 2016 41   @ USC L 72-79 37%     18 - 8 8 - 6 +6.8 +0.7 +6.5
  Feb 20, 2016 63   @ UCLA L 53-77 46%     18 - 9 8 - 7 -12.6 -14.3 +1.1
  Feb 24, 2016 12   Arizona W 75-72 39%     19 - 9 9 - 7 +16.5 +5.9 +10.5
  Feb 28, 2016 86   Arizona St. W 79-69 75%     20 - 9 10 - 7 +13.6 +20.4 -5.2
  Mar 05, 2016 26   @ Utah L 55-57 26%     20 - 10 10 - 8 +15.1 -10.2 +25.2
  Mar 09, 2016 169   Washington St. W 80-56 85%     21 - 10 +23.5 +3.3 +19.0
  Mar 10, 2016 12   Arizona L 78-82 29%     21 - 11 +12.4 +4.8 +8.0
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 91.5% 91.5% 8.7 0.1 8.0 29.2 35.1 17.1 1.9 8.5 91.5%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 91.5% 0.0% 91.5% 8.7 0.1 8.0 29.2 35.1 17.1 1.9 8.5 91.5%