Pre-tourney Rankings
Memphis
American Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#71
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#106
Pace82.5#9
Improvement-1.2#236

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#114
First Shot+1.7#126
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#124
Layup/Dunks+3.4#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#319
Freethrows+4.0#4
Improvement+1.3#125

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#41
First Shot+4.5#56
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#68
Layups/Dunks+2.7#70
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#44
Freethrows-0.5#201
Improvement-2.5#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 302   Southern Miss W 67-49 96%     1 - 0 +5.8 -11.1 +17.0
  Nov 17, 2015 8   Oklahoma L 78-84 25%     1 - 1 +8.8 +0.0 +9.7
  Nov 19, 2015 346   Grambling St. W 83-65 98%     2 - 1 -0.2 +2.4 -3.1
  Nov 23, 2015 107   Texas Arlington L 64-68 73%     2 - 2 -2.5 -13.1 +11.0
  Nov 27, 2015 69   Ohio St. W 81-76 OT 49%     3 - 2 +13.1 -0.2 +12.4
  Dec 01, 2015 161   Louisiana Tech W 94-68 84%     4 - 2 +23.2 +6.4 +13.1
  Dec 05, 2015 338   Southeast Missouri St. W 80-65 98%     5 - 2 -1.6 -3.6 +1.2
  Dec 12, 2015 239   Manhattan W 89-57 92%     6 - 2 +24.4 +9.5 +13.5
  Dec 15, 2015 242   Southern W 72-67 92%     7 - 2 -2.7 -11.7 +8.5
  Dec 18, 2015 67   Mississippi L 79-85 60%     7 - 3 -0.8 -0.2 +0.0
  Dec 22, 2015 213   IUPUI W 84-48 90%     8 - 3 +29.8 -4.5 +27.9
  Dec 29, 2015 192   Tulane W 77-65 88%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +7.2 -1.4 +7.5
  Jan 02, 2016 45   @ South Carolina L 76-86 29%     9 - 4 +3.5 -1.6 +6.9
  Jan 05, 2016 333   Nicholls St. W 82-46 98%     10 - 4 +20.2 -3.7 +20.2
  Jan 09, 2016 29   @ Connecticut L 78-81 22%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +12.9 +9.9 +3.2
  Jan 13, 2016 84   Temple W 67-65 66%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +5.7 -5.1 +10.7
  Jan 16, 2016 215   South Florida W 71-56 90%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +8.7 -1.9 +10.8
  Jan 21, 2016 32   @ Cincinnati L 72-76 25%     12 - 6 3 - 2 +11.1 +7.8 +3.3
  Jan 24, 2016 185   East Carolina L 83-84 87%     12 - 7 3 - 3 -5.4 +0.9 -6.2
  Jan 26, 2016 173   @ Central Florida W 97-86 71%     13 - 7 4 - 3 +13.2 +16.9 -4.9
  Jan 30, 2016 19   @ SMU L 68-80 17%     13 - 8 4 - 4 +6.1 -2.3 +9.1
  Feb 04, 2016 29   Connecticut L 57-77 42%     13 - 9 4 - 5 -10.0 -12.2 +3.2
  Feb 06, 2016 32   Cincinnati W 63-59 45%     14 - 9 5 - 5 +13.2 +0.4 +13.0
  Feb 10, 2016 59   @ Houston L 90-98 34%     14 - 10 5 - 6 +4.2 +17.0 -12.6
  Feb 13, 2016 192   @ Tulane L 87-94 OT 75%     14 - 11 5 - 7 -6.0 +2.1 -6.8
  Feb 17, 2016 173   Central Florida W 73-56 86%     15 - 11 6 - 7 +13.4 -4.6 +16.8
  Feb 20, 2016 215   @ South Florida L 71-80 79%     15 - 12 6 - 8 -9.5 -5.1 -3.6
  Feb 25, 2016 19   SMU L 62-69 34%     15 - 13 6 - 9 +5.2 -10.6 +16.3
  Feb 28, 2016 64   Tulsa W 92-82 59%     16 - 13 7 - 9 +15.5 +11.5 +2.9
  Mar 03, 2016 84   @ Temple L 62-72 44%     16 - 14 7 - 10 -0.5 -5.1 +4.8
  Mar 06, 2016 185   @ East Carolina W 83-53 73%     17 - 14 8 - 10 +31.5 +9.7 +21.5
  Mar 11, 2016 64   Tulsa W 89-67 48%     18 - 14 +30.4 +15.4 +14.0
  Mar 12, 2016 192   Tulane W 74-54 82%     19 - 14 +18.1 +2.9 +14.9
  Mar 13, 2016 29   Connecticut L 58-72 31%     19 - 15 -1.0 -2.7 +0.6
Projected Record 19.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%