Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#242
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#211
Pace72.4#116
Improvement-2.4#283

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#272
First Shot-3.4#274
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#201
Layup/Dunks-3.3#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#282
Freethrows-1.0#249
Improvement-2.1#277

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#198
First Shot-1.1#205
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#182
Layups/Dunks+1.5#120
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#173
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#245
Freethrows-1.4#268
Improvement-0.4#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four82.5% n/a n/a
First Round59.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 66   @ Arkansas L 68-86 8%     0 - 1 -6.9 -7.2 +2.5
  Nov 16, 2015 73   Mississippi St. W 76-72 12%     1 - 1 +11.7 +3.0 +8.5
  Nov 19, 2015 192   Tulane W 90-82 50%     2 - 1 +3.2 +15.3 -12.4
  Dec 04, 2015 322   @ SE Louisiana W 73-69 64%     3 - 1 -4.4 -4.8 +0.4
  Dec 08, 2015 134   @ Grand Canyon L 56-70 18%     3 - 2 -8.9 -13.0 +3.9
  Dec 10, 2015 164   @ Wyoming W 68-58 24%     4 - 2 +12.6 -0.5 +13.9
  Dec 15, 2015 71   @ Memphis L 67-72 8%     4 - 3 +5.8 -6.6 +12.9
  Dec 18, 2015 161   @ Louisiana Tech L 76-83 23%     4 - 4 -4.0 +0.9 -4.6
  Dec 21, 2015 308   NC Central W 68-63 69%     5 - 4 -4.8 -11.9 +7.0
  Dec 22, 2015 147   Nebraska Omaha L 53-74 29%     5 - 5 -20.0 -26.4 +8.0
  Jan 02, 2016 186   @ Texas Southern L 66-88 28%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -20.6 -5.1 -16.4
  Jan 04, 2016 335   @ Prairie View L 65-71 71%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -16.4 -9.4 -7.0
  Jan 09, 2016 346   Grambling St. W 66-61 89%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -13.2 -5.9 -6.8
  Jan 11, 2016 261   Jackson St. W 74-66 66%     7 - 7 2 - 2 -1.1 +0.8 -2.0
  Jan 16, 2016 344   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 69-55 76%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +2.0 +3.7 +0.2
  Jan 18, 2016 341   @ Mississippi Valley W 67-54 74%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +1.5 -5.7 +7.9
  Jan 23, 2016 295   Alabama St. W 73-69 75%     10 - 7 5 - 2 -7.8 -10.9 +2.8
  Jan 25, 2016 315   Alabama A&M W 73-52 79%     11 - 7 6 - 2 +7.7 -7.2 +15.2
  Jan 30, 2016 313   Alcorn St. W 75-64 79%     12 - 7 7 - 2 -2.1 +0.4 -1.8
  Feb 06, 2016 346   @ Grambling St. W 79-66 77%     13 - 7 8 - 2 +0.7 +2.8 -2.3
  Feb 08, 2016 261   @ Jackson St. L 80-81 44%     13 - 8 8 - 3 -4.3 +4.7 -8.8
  Feb 13, 2016 344   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 66-58 89%     14 - 8 9 - 3 -9.8 -10.5 +0.8
  Feb 15, 2016 341   Mississippi Valley W 97-64 88%     15 - 8 10 - 3 +15.7 +9.1 +3.6
  Feb 20, 2016 295   @ Alabama St. L 68-77 55%     15 - 9 10 - 4 -14.9 -11.0 -3.4
  Feb 22, 2016 315   @ Alabama A&M L 66-78 60%     15 - 10 10 - 5 -19.4 -9.8 -10.1
  Feb 27, 2016 313   @ Alcorn St. L 56-70 60%     15 - 11 10 - 6 -21.3 -20.6 -0.6
  Mar 03, 2016 186   Texas Southern W 84-79 49%     16 - 11 11 - 6 +0.6 +1.7 -1.4
  Mar 05, 2016 335   Prairie View L 71-79 86%     16 - 12 11 - 7 -24.3 -5.4 -19.0
  Mar 10, 2016 295   Alabama St. W 83-63 65%     17 - 12 +11.2 +0.9 +9.0
  Mar 11, 2016 186   Texas Southern W 81-73 38%     18 - 12 +6.5 +1.0 +5.0
  Mar 12, 2016 261   Jackson St. W 54-53 56%     19 - 12 -5.2 -17.0 +11.8
Projected Record 19.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0