Pre-tourney Rankings
American
Patriot League
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#304
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#318
Pace59.6#332
Improvement-0.5#197

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#309
First Shot-2.8#259
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#336
Layup/Dunks+4.4#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#259
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#265
Freethrows-3.0#328
Improvement+2.4#52

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#260
First Shot-4.6#308
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#43
Layups/Dunks-4.3#323
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#297
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#22
Freethrows-2.7#326
Improvement-2.8#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 43   @ Maryland L 56-62 3%     0 - 1 +7.9 -1.8 +8.7
  Nov 14, 2016 66   @ Texas A&M L 53-76 4%     0 - 2 -12.1 -9.9 -3.3
  Nov 17, 2016 105   @ Akron L 62-72 8%     0 - 3 -3.6 -6.4 +1.9
  Nov 22, 2016 262   Wagner L 65-73 47%     0 - 4 -16.4 -7.5 -9.4
  Nov 26, 2016 263   St. Francis (PA) L 62-69 48%     0 - 5 -15.5 -9.5 -6.5
  Nov 29, 2016 296   Western Illinois W 57-50 58%     1 - 5 -4.2 -10.9 +7.8
  Dec 03, 2016 336   @ Howard L 54-71 61%     1 - 6 -28.8 -19.5 -10.0
  Dec 06, 2016 188   New Hampshire L 70-80 31%     1 - 7 -13.8 +7.0 -22.3
  Dec 10, 2016 282   Youngstown St. W 77-62 55%     2 - 7 +4.8 -4.0 +8.5
  Dec 19, 2016 325   Maryland Eastern Shore W 61-58 67%     3 - 7 -10.5 -12.6 +2.4
  Dec 21, 2016 2   @ Villanova L 48-90 1%     3 - 8 -17.3 -9.8 -11.0
  Dec 30, 2016 251   Loyola Maryland L 66-68 46%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -9.9 +2.0 -12.2
  Jan 02, 2017 270   @ Colgate W 67-64 OT 32%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -1.1 -5.4 +4.4
  Jan 05, 2017 85   Bucknell L 60-69 13%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -5.8 -5.7 -1.0
  Jan 08, 2017 133   @ Lehigh L 73-79 11%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -1.8 +3.6 -5.5
  Jan 11, 2017 200   @ Boston University L 66-76 19%     4 - 12 1 - 4 -9.7 +0.7 -11.3
  Jan 14, 2017 254   Army L 49-53 46%     4 - 13 1 - 5 -12.0 -18.5 +5.9
  Jan 18, 2017 330   Lafayette W 71-57 71%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -0.8 +3.6 -1.8
  Jan 23, 2017 222   @ Holy Cross L 55-63 23%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -9.3 -9.6 -0.6
  Jan 25, 2017 210   Navy L 53-71 36%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -23.5 -4.2 -24.8
  Jan 29, 2017 270   Colgate L 65-70 50%     5 - 16 2 - 8 -14.2 +5.7 -21.2
  Feb 01, 2017 85   @ Bucknell L 60-80 6%     5 - 17 2 - 9 -11.7 -6.6 -5.8
  Feb 04, 2017 133   Lehigh L 55-70 22%     5 - 18 2 - 10 -15.9 -10.6 -7.2
  Feb 08, 2017 200   Boston University L 64-67 34%     5 - 19 2 - 11 -7.7 +2.1 -10.4
  Feb 11, 2017 254   @ Army W 61-58 28%     6 - 19 3 - 11 +0.1 -7.3 +7.6
  Feb 15, 2017 330   @ Lafayette L 65-78 53%     6 - 20 3 - 12 -22.7 -12.0 -11.0
  Feb 19, 2017 222   Holy Cross L 54-69 40%     6 - 21 3 - 13 -21.4 -7.7 -16.8
  Feb 22, 2017 210   @ Navy W 74-58 21%     7 - 21 4 - 13 +15.6 +14.3 +3.6
  Feb 25, 2017 251   @ Loyola Maryland W 64-62 27%     8 - 21 5 - 13 -0.8 -1.6 +1.0
  Feb 28, 2017 254   @ Army L 58-74 28%     8 - 22 -18.9 -8.4 -12.0
Projected Record 8.0 - 22.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%