Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+22.1#2
Expected Predictive Rating+23.8#2
Pace62.5#300
Improvement-0.5#196

Offense
Total Offense+12.3#8
First Shot+11.4#7
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#103
Layup/Dunks+5.0#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#22
Freethrows+3.1#22
Improvement-2.4#293

Defense
Total Defense+9.8#7
First Shot+9.4#7
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#138
Layups/Dunks+4.2#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#138
Freethrows+5.8#1
Improvement+1.9#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 37.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 85.6% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round99.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen81.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight56.9% n/a n/a
Final Four38.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game23.2% n/a n/a
National Champion13.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 330   Lafayette W 88-48 99.7%    1 - 0 +25.2 +4.1 +19.7
  Nov 14, 2016 16   @ Purdue W 79-76 58%     2 - 0 +23.1 +15.4 +7.6
  Nov 17, 2016 160   Western Michigan W 76-65 97%     3 - 0 +11.3 +6.9 +5.2
  Nov 18, 2016 29   Wake Forest W 96-77 81%     4 - 0 +31.9 +36.7 -2.3
  Nov 20, 2016 68   Central Florida W 67-57 90%     5 - 0 +18.0 +10.0 +9.1
  Nov 23, 2016 93   College of Charleston W 63-47 96%     6 - 0 +18.3 +4.5 +16.8
  Nov 29, 2016 177   @ Penn W 82-57 96%     7 - 0 +26.9 +14.1 +13.4
  Dec 03, 2016 179   Saint Joseph's W 88-57 98%     8 - 0 +27.8 +17.6 +11.3
  Dec 06, 2016 139   La Salle W 89-79 96%     9 - 0 +11.4 +12.9 -1.7
  Dec 10, 2016 25   Notre Dame W 74-66 74%     10 - 0 +23.5 +18.0 +6.6
  Dec 13, 2016 107   Temple W 78-57 96%     11 - 0 +22.0 +7.7 +14.9
  Dec 21, 2016 304   American W 90-48 99%     12 - 0 +30.4 +20.1 +13.7
  Dec 28, 2016 152   DePaul W 68-65 98%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +1.1 +1.1 +0.3
  Dec 31, 2016 27   @ Creighton W 80-70 68%     14 - 0 2 - 0 +27.2 +16.4 +10.9
  Jan 04, 2017 26   @ Butler L 58-66 66%     14 - 1 2 - 1 +9.8 +3.8 +4.4
  Jan 07, 2017 28   Marquette W 93-81 80%     15 - 1 3 - 1 +25.3 +29.6 -3.2
  Jan 10, 2017 41   Xavier W 79-54 89%     16 - 1 4 - 1 +33.8 +8.5 +25.4
  Jan 14, 2017 89   @ St. John's W 70-57 91%     17 - 1 5 - 1 +20.5 +1.2 +19.6
  Jan 16, 2017 42   Seton Hall W 76-46 89%     18 - 1 6 - 1 +38.8 +19.8 +23.4
  Jan 21, 2017 50   Providence W 78-68 86%     19 - 1 7 - 1 +20.4 +19.2 +2.1
  Jan 24, 2017 28   @ Marquette L 72-74 73%     19 - 2 7 - 2 +13.8 +8.2 +5.5
  Jan 29, 2017 11   Virginia W 61-59 66%     20 - 2 +19.9 +18.5 +2.0
  Feb 01, 2017 50   @ Providence W 66-57 81%     21 - 2 8 - 2 +21.9 +9.0 +13.9
  Feb 04, 2017 89   St. John's W 92-79 94%     22 - 2 9 - 2 +18.0 +7.1 +9.0
  Feb 07, 2017 62   Georgetown W 75-64 92%     23 - 2 10 - 2 +17.2 +14.8 +3.7
  Feb 11, 2017 41   @ Xavier W 73-57 78%     24 - 2 11 - 2 +29.9 +22.3 +11.4
  Feb 13, 2017 152   @ DePaul W 75-62 95%     25 - 2 12 - 2 +16.1 +9.0 +8.0
  Feb 18, 2017 42   @ Seton Hall W 92-70 78%     26 - 2 13 - 2 +35.9 +35.9 +2.1
  Feb 22, 2017 26   Butler L 66-74 81%     26 - 3 13 - 3 +4.8 +5.4 -1.5
  Feb 25, 2017 27   Creighton W 79-63 83%     27 - 3 14 - 3 +28.1 +17.5 +11.8
  Mar 04, 2017 62   @ Georgetown W 81-55 84%     28 - 3 15 - 3 +37.3 +19.4 +19.4
  Mar 09, 2017 89   @ St. John's W 108-67 91%     29 - 3 +48.5 +44.5 +6.5
  Mar 10, 2017 42   Seton Hall W 55-53 84%     30 - 3 +13.4 +1.1 +12.7
  Mar 11, 2017 27   Creighton W 74-60 76%     31 - 3 +28.7 +9.4 +19.5
Projected Record 31.0 - 3.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.1 85.6 14.3 0.1
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.1 85.6 14.3 0.1