Pre-tourney Rankings
Butler
Big East
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.3#26
Expected Predictive Rating+16.3#21
Pace62.8#291
Improvement-4.0#331

Offense
Total Offense+9.5#20
First Shot+9.2#13
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#153
Layup/Dunks+1.5#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#117
Freethrows+2.4#38
Improvement-2.6#305

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#47
First Shot+5.3#45
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#121
Layups/Dunks+3.0#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#252
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#52
Freethrows+0.5#142
Improvement-1.4#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 48.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round78.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen37.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight13.5% n/a n/a
Final Four5.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 284   Northern Colorado W 89-52 98%     1 - 0 +26.7 +14.5 +12.7
  Nov 16, 2016 40   Northwestern W 70-68 73%     2 - 0 +10.9 +7.0 +4.0
  Nov 19, 2016 85   Bucknell W 86-60 87%     3 - 0 +29.2 +18.4 +12.0
  Nov 21, 2016 293   Norfolk St. W 91-55 98%     4 - 0 +25.1 +24.7 +4.0
  Nov 24, 2016 34   Vanderbilt W 76-66 61%     5 - 0 +22.3 +14.5 +8.4
  Nov 25, 2016 19   Arizona W 69-65 45%     6 - 0 +20.7 +7.3 +13.6
  Nov 28, 2016 48   @ Utah W 68-59 57%     7 - 0 +22.4 +3.1 +19.7
  Dec 03, 2016 314   Central Arkansas W 82-58 99%     8 - 0 +11.2 +5.7 +7.7
  Dec 07, 2016 191   @ Indiana St. L 71-72 90%     8 - 1 +0.0 +9.8 -9.9
  Dec 10, 2016 24   Cincinnati W 75-65 59%     9 - 1 +23.0 +14.9 +8.7
  Dec 17, 2016 38   Indiana W 83-78 64%     10 - 1 +16.6 +13.7 +3.0
  Dec 21, 2016 75   Vermont W 81-69 84%     11 - 1 +16.8 +14.8 +2.6
  Dec 29, 2016 89   @ St. John's L 73-76 77%     11 - 2 0 - 1 +4.5 +5.2 -0.7
  Jan 01, 2017 50   Providence W 78-61 76%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +24.8 +19.0 +7.6
  Jan 04, 2017 2   Villanova W 66-58 34%     13 - 2 2 - 1 +27.6 +14.9 +14.3
  Jan 07, 2017 62   @ Georgetown W 85-76 OT 65%     14 - 2 3 - 1 +20.3 +10.8 +8.7
  Jan 11, 2017 27   @ Creighton L 64-75 43%     14 - 3 3 - 2 +6.2 +5.7 -0.5
  Jan 14, 2017 41   Xavier W 83-78 73%     15 - 3 4 - 2 +13.8 +14.2 -0.2
  Jan 16, 2017 28   Marquette W 88-80 67%     16 - 3 5 - 2 +18.8 +21.9 -2.5
  Jan 21, 2017 152   @ DePaul W 70-69 OT 87%     17 - 3 6 - 2 +4.1 +0.9 +3.3
  Jan 25, 2017 42   @ Seton Hall W 61-54 55%     18 - 3 7 - 2 +20.9 +1.0 +20.5
  Jan 28, 2017 62   Georgetown L 81-85 80%     18 - 4 7 - 3 +2.2 +17.1 -15.1
  Jan 31, 2017 27   Creighton L 67-76 62%     18 - 5 7 - 4 +3.1 +1.9 +1.0
  Feb 07, 2017 28   @ Marquette W 68-65 48%     19 - 5 8 - 4 +18.8 +4.5 +14.7
  Feb 11, 2017 50   @ Providence L 65-71 59%     19 - 6 8 - 5 +6.9 +9.3 -3.2
  Feb 15, 2017 89   St. John's W 110-86 88%     20 - 6 9 - 5 +26.5 +31.7 -6.5
  Feb 19, 2017 152   DePaul W 82-66 94%     21 - 6 10 - 5 +14.1 +17.7 -1.9
  Feb 22, 2017 2   @ Villanova W 74-66 19%     22 - 6 11 - 5 +32.7 +20.9 +12.7
  Feb 26, 2017 41   @ Xavier W 88-79 55%     23 - 6 12 - 5 +22.9 +23.3 +0.0
  Mar 04, 2017 42   Seton Hall L 64-70 73%     23 - 7 12 - 6 +2.8 +4.5 -2.4
  Mar 09, 2017 41   Xavier L 57-62 65%     23 - 8 +6.4 -3.0 +8.6
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.5 0.2 10.5 37.6 44.9 6.8 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.5 0.2 10.5 37.6 44.9 6.8 0.0 100.0%