Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana
Big Ten
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#38
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#56
Pace68.4#158
Improvement-5.2#341

Offense
Total Offense+9.0#22
First Shot+5.2#47
After Offensive Rebound+3.8#6
Layup/Dunks+5.5#14
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#79
Freethrows+0.6#140
Improvement-1.7#264

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#93
First Shot+1.9#113
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#99
Layups/Dunks-2.1#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#70
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#51
Freethrows-0.5#201
Improvement-3.5#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 15.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four14.4% n/a n/a
First Round8.1% n/a n/a
Second Round2.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 6   Kansas W 103-99 OT 23%     1 - 0 +23.4 +20.0 +2.8
  Nov 16, 2016 291   Umass Lowell W 100-78 97%     2 - 0 +11.3 +9.5 -0.2
  Nov 19, 2016 214   Liberty W 87-48 94%     3 - 0 +33.1 +10.2 +21.4
  Nov 22, 2016 148   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 68-71 OT 78%     3 - 1 +0.6 -7.3 +8.0
  Nov 27, 2016 344   Mississippi Valley W 85-52 99%     4 - 1 +13.9 +3.6 +11.5
  Nov 30, 2016 3   North Carolina W 76-67 27%     5 - 1 +27.1 +13.6 +13.9
  Dec 02, 2016 313   SIU Edwardsville W 83-60 98%     6 - 1 +10.3 +8.2 +2.9
  Dec 04, 2016 230   Southeast Missouri St. W 83-55 95%     7 - 1 +21.1 +3.8 +16.7
  Dec 10, 2016 219   Houston Baptist W 103-61 94%     8 - 1 +35.8 +19.0 +14.3
  Dec 17, 2016 26   Butler L 78-83 36%     8 - 2 +10.3 +11.8 -1.6
  Dec 19, 2016 341   Delaware St. W 103-56 99%     9 - 2 +29.2 +26.9 +4.6
  Dec 22, 2016 288   Austin Peay W 97-62 97%     10 - 2 +24.5 +14.8 +9.8
  Dec 28, 2016 99   Nebraska L 83-87 82%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -2.1 +11.5 -13.5
  Dec 31, 2016 7   Louisville L 62-77 23%     10 - 4 +4.3 +3.6 -0.5
  Jan 03, 2017 23   Wisconsin L 68-75 44%     10 - 5 0 - 2 +6.2 +14.5 -9.5
  Jan 07, 2017 64   Illinois W 96-80 71%     11 - 5 1 - 2 +22.0 +32.8 -10.0
  Jan 10, 2017 43   @ Maryland L 72-75 41%     11 - 6 1 - 3 +10.9 +7.1 +3.8
  Jan 15, 2017 116   Rutgers W 76-57 86%     12 - 6 2 - 3 +19.2 +6.5 +12.7
  Jan 18, 2017 79   @ Penn St. W 78-75 61%     13 - 6 3 - 3 +11.9 +13.7 -1.8
  Jan 21, 2017 44   Michigan St. W 82-75 61%     14 - 6 4 - 3 +15.8 +22.7 -6.1
  Jan 26, 2017 21   @ Michigan L 60-90 24%     14 - 7 4 - 4 -11.1 +5.9 -23.7
  Jan 29, 2017 40   @ Northwestern L 55-68 41%     14 - 8 4 - 5 +1.0 -5.4 +5.4
  Feb 01, 2017 79   Penn St. W 110-102 3OT 77%     15 - 8 5 - 5 +11.8 +10.5 -1.1
  Feb 05, 2017 23   @ Wisconsin L 60-65 26%     15 - 9 5 - 6 +13.3 +6.8 +5.7
  Feb 09, 2017 16   Purdue L 64-69 37%     15 - 10 5 - 7 +10.1 +3.7 +6.0
  Feb 12, 2017 21   Michigan L 63-75 41%     15 - 11 5 - 8 +1.9 +0.4 +0.1
  Feb 15, 2017 32   @ Minnesota L 74-75 37%     15 - 12 5 - 9 +14.2 +6.3 +7.9
  Feb 21, 2017 65   @ Iowa L 90-96 OT 53%     15 - 13 5 - 10 +5.0 +9.1 -3.4
  Feb 25, 2017 40   Northwestern W 63-62 61%     16 - 13 6 - 10 +9.9 +2.4 +7.6
  Feb 28, 2017 16   @ Purdue L 75-86 21%     16 - 14 6 - 11 +9.1 +14.6 -5.8
  Mar 04, 2017 71   @ Ohio St. W 96-92 55%     17 - 14 7 - 11 +14.3 +25.2 -11.0
  Mar 09, 2017 65   Iowa W 95-73 62%     18 - 14 +30.4 +18.9 +10.2
  Mar 10, 2017 23   Wisconsin L 60-70 35%     18 - 15 +5.7 +8.4 -4.7
Projected Record 18.0 - 15.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 15.0% 15.0% 11.6 0.2 6.3 8.6 0.0 85.0 15.0%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.0% 0.0% 15.0% 11.6 0.2 6.3 8.6 0.0 85.0 15.0%