Pre-tourney Rankings
Wisconsin
Big Ten
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.7#23
Expected Predictive Rating+15.7#23
Pace59.2#336
Improvement-1.2#238

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#40
First Shot+2.7#98
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#15
Layup/Dunks+3.9#40
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#158
Freethrows-0.1#181
Improvement-2.9#315

Defense
Total Defense+9.6#8
First Shot+6.4#28
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#2
Layups/Dunks+5.2#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#167
Freethrows+3.4#22
Improvement+1.7#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 36.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round65.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen25.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight11.7% n/a n/a
Final Four4.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 314   Central Arkansas W 79-47 99%     1 - 0 +19.2 +9.5 +15.4
  Nov 15, 2016 27   @ Creighton L 67-79 44%     1 - 1 +5.2 +5.5 -0.9
  Nov 17, 2016 339   Chicago St. W 69-51 99%     2 - 1 +0.7 -3.0 +5.5
  Nov 21, 2016 61   Tennessee W 74-62 74%     3 - 1 +21.1 +9.8 +11.8
  Nov 22, 2016 62   Georgetown W 73-57 75%     4 - 1 +24.8 +10.7 +15.3
  Nov 23, 2016 3   North Carolina L 56-71 32%     4 - 2 +5.6 -6.0 +10.8
  Nov 27, 2016 321   Prairie View W 95-50 99%     5 - 2 +31.7 +21.7 +12.9
  Nov 29, 2016 46   Syracuse W 77-60 75%     6 - 2 +25.6 +14.2 +13.3
  Dec 03, 2016 60   Oklahoma W 90-70 80%     7 - 2 +26.7 +26.7 +0.9
  Dec 07, 2016 332   Idaho St. W 78-44 99%     8 - 2 +18.5 +3.4 +18.6
  Dec 10, 2016 28   @ Marquette W 93-84 50%     9 - 2 +24.8 +21.4 +3.4
  Dec 14, 2016 185   Green Bay W 73-59 95%     10 - 2 +10.5 +1.8 +9.1
  Dec 23, 2016 345   Florida A&M W 90-37 99.6%    11 - 2 +33.8 +9.7 +25.2
  Dec 27, 2016 116   Rutgers W 72-52 92%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +20.2 +8.1 +13.7
  Jan 03, 2017 38   @ Indiana W 75-68 56%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +21.2 +18.3 +4.1
  Jan 08, 2017 16   @ Purdue L 55-66 33%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +9.1 -2.9 +11.1
  Jan 12, 2017 71   Ohio St. W 89-66 84%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +28.3 +21.6 +7.8
  Jan 17, 2017 21   Michigan W 68-64 57%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +17.9 +8.4 +10.0
  Jan 21, 2017 32   @ Minnesota W 78-76 OT 52%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +17.2 +14.9 +2.3
  Jan 24, 2017 79   Penn St. W 82-55 87%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +30.8 +22.7 +10.9
  Jan 28, 2017 116   Rutgers W 61-54 OT 88%     18 - 3 7 - 1 +9.8 -7.8 +17.4
  Jan 31, 2017 64   @ Illinois W 57-43 67%     19 - 3 8 - 1 +25.0 +4.5 +23.7
  Feb 05, 2017 38   Indiana W 65-60 74%     20 - 3 9 - 1 +14.1 +3.1 +11.8
  Feb 09, 2017 99   @ Nebraska W 70-69 OT 80%     21 - 3 10 - 1 +8.0 +4.5 +3.5
  Feb 12, 2017 40   Northwestern L 59-66 74%     21 - 4 10 - 2 +1.9 +0.6 +0.2
  Feb 16, 2017 21   @ Michigan L 58-64 38%     21 - 5 10 - 3 +12.9 -1.2 +13.3
  Feb 19, 2017 43   Maryland W 71-60 75%     22 - 5 11 - 3 +19.8 +14.4 +7.4
  Feb 23, 2017 71   @ Ohio St. L 73-83 70%     22 - 6 11 - 4 +0.3 +13.4 -14.4
  Feb 26, 2017 44   @ Michigan St. L 74-84 57%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +3.9 +10.9 -7.4
  Mar 02, 2017 65   Iowa L 57-59 82%     22 - 8 11 - 6 +3.9 -10.3 +14.1
  Mar 05, 2017 32   Minnesota W 66-49 71%     23 - 8 12 - 6 +27.1 +11.2 +18.5
  Mar 10, 2017 38   Indiana W 70-60 65%     24 - 8 +21.6 +13.5 +10.1
  Mar 11, 2017 40   Northwestern W 76-48 66%     25 - 8 +39.4 +22.8 +21.3
  Mar 12, 2017 21   Michigan L 56-71 47%     25 - 9 +1.4 -1.8 +0.3
Projected Record 25.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.7 0.0 0.3 4.6 31.8 53.2 9.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6.7 0.0 0.3 4.6 31.8 53.2 9.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 100.0%