Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa
Big Ten
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#65
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#61
Pace74.6#43
Improvement+2.2#76

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#43
First Shot+4.0#68
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#49
Layup/Dunks+2.8#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#135
Freethrows+1.3#89
Improvement+0.8#136

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#98
First Shot+2.1#106
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#157
Layups/Dunks-2.2#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#249
Freethrows+3.6#17
Improvement+1.4#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 25.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four21.9% n/a n/a
First Round11.4% n/a n/a
Second Round2.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 252   Kennesaw St. W 91-74 93%     1 - 0 +9.1 +3.3 +4.0
  Nov 13, 2016 320   Savannah St. W 116-84 97%     2 - 0 +18.8 +11.9 +0.4
  Nov 17, 2016 42   Seton Hall L 83-91 48%     2 - 1 +0.8 +8.6 -7.0
  Nov 20, 2016 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 95-67 96%     3 - 1 +15.6 -0.1 +11.5
  Nov 25, 2016 11   Virginia L 41-74 19%     3 - 2 -15.1 -10.9 -10.6
  Nov 26, 2016 92   Memphis L 92-100 64%     3 - 3 -3.1 +16.2 -18.9
  Nov 29, 2016 25   @ Notre Dame L 78-92 18%     3 - 4 +4.0 +9.9 -5.4
  Dec 03, 2016 169   Nebraska Omaha L 89-98 85%     3 - 5 -11.6 +5.5 -16.4
  Dec 05, 2016 322   Stetson W 95-68 97%     4 - 5 +13.7 +8.6 +4.0
  Dec 08, 2016 17   Iowa St. W 78-64 26%     5 - 5 +29.0 +9.0 +19.8
  Dec 17, 2016 153   Northern Iowa W 69-46 77%     6 - 5 +23.6 +8.2 +17.5
  Dec 20, 2016 172   North Dakota W 84-73 85%     7 - 5 +8.3 +6.6 +1.1
  Dec 22, 2016 341   Delaware St. W 89-57 98%     8 - 5 +14.2 +2.0 +10.1
  Dec 28, 2016 16   @ Purdue L 67-89 14%     8 - 6 0 - 1 -1.9 -4.2 +5.3
  Jan 01, 2017 21   Michigan W 86-83 OT 30%     9 - 6 1 - 1 +16.9 +16.2 +0.7
  Jan 05, 2017 99   @ Nebraska L 90-93 2OT 56%     9 - 7 1 - 2 +4.0 +6.8 -2.3
  Jan 08, 2017 116   Rutgers W 68-62 78%     10 - 7 2 - 2 +6.2 -3.4 +9.5
  Jan 12, 2017 16   Purdue W 83-78 26%     11 - 7 3 - 2 +20.1 +22.4 -2.1
  Jan 15, 2017 40   @ Northwestern L 54-89 30%     11 - 8 3 - 3 -21.0 -5.7 -18.4
  Jan 19, 2017 43   Maryland L 76-84 48%     11 - 9 3 - 4 +0.8 +0.5 +1.0
  Jan 25, 2017 64   @ Illinois L 64-76 40%     11 - 10 3 - 5 -1.0 +3.6 -5.6
  Jan 28, 2017 71   Ohio St. W 85-72 62%     12 - 10 4 - 5 +18.3 +16.1 +2.6
  Jan 31, 2017 116   @ Rutgers W 83-63 62%     13 - 10 5 - 5 +25.3 +15.7 +9.5
  Feb 05, 2017 99   Nebraska W 81-70 74%     14 - 10 6 - 5 +12.9 +12.1 +0.9
  Feb 08, 2017 32   @ Minnesota L 89-101 2OT 26%     14 - 11 6 - 6 +3.2 +7.9 -2.2
  Feb 11, 2017 44   @ Michigan St. L 66-77 30%     14 - 12 6 - 7 +2.9 +1.6 +1.1
  Feb 18, 2017 64   Illinois L 66-70 59%     14 - 13 6 - 8 +2.0 +0.6 +1.2
  Feb 21, 2017 38   Indiana W 96-90 OT 47%     15 - 13 7 - 8 +15.1 +12.0 +2.3
  Feb 25, 2017 43   @ Maryland W 83-69 30%     16 - 13 8 - 8 +27.9 +21.7 +7.1
  Mar 02, 2017 23   @ Wisconsin W 59-57 18%     17 - 13 9 - 8 +20.3 +1.5 +18.9
  Mar 05, 2017 79   Penn St. W 90-79 67%     18 - 13 10 - 8 +14.8 +21.6 -6.9
  Mar 09, 2017 38   Indiana L 73-95 38%     18 - 14 -10.4 -1.6 -7.5
Projected Record 18.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 25.1% 25.1% 11.3 0.0 0.1 1.0 15.0 9.1 74.9 25.1%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 25.1% 0.0% 25.1% 11.3 0.0 0.1 1.0 15.0 9.1 74.9 25.1%