Pre-tourney Rankings
Memphis
American Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#92
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#90
Pace68.4#157
Improvement-1.0#228

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#110
First Shot+1.6#127
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#123
Layup/Dunks+5.5#15
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#337
Freethrows+1.2#98
Improvement-3.6#333

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#92
First Shot+2.5#97
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#176
Layups/Dunks+0.8#140
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#104
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#213
Freethrows+1.3#97
Improvement+2.5#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2016 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 94-75 94%     1 - 0 +6.6 -3.0 +6.3
  Nov 16, 2016 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 68-54 88%     2 - 0 +6.0 +3.0 +5.5
  Nov 19, 2016 320   Savannah St. W 99-86 94%     3 - 0 -0.2 +1.0 -3.5
  Nov 22, 2016 319   McNeese St. W 104-65 94%     4 - 0 +25.9 +17.3 +5.6
  Nov 25, 2016 50   Providence L 51-60 30%     4 - 1 +1.4 -11.5 +12.3
  Nov 26, 2016 65   Iowa W 100-92 36%     5 - 1 +16.4 +23.5 -7.6
  Nov 30, 2016 329   Jackson St. W 84-69 96%     6 - 1 +0.3 +10.5 -9.6
  Dec 03, 2016 70   @ Mississippi L 77-85 30%     6 - 2 +2.4 +9.7 -7.3
  Dec 10, 2016 193   UAB W 62-55 80%     7 - 2 +2.8 -7.6 +11.0
  Dec 13, 2016 83   Monmouth L 79-82 56%     7 - 3 +0.3 +7.6 -7.3
  Dec 17, 2016 60   @ Oklahoma W 99-94 OT 25%     8 - 3 +16.8 +27.2 -10.8
  Dec 21, 2016 309   Incarnate Word W 95-71 94%     9 - 3 +11.6 +7.2 +2.8
  Dec 27, 2016 13   SMU L 54-58 17%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +11.2 -1.4 +11.7
  Dec 30, 2016 33   South Carolina W 70-54 31%     10 - 4 +25.9 +14.7 +13.0
  Jan 05, 2017 84   Connecticut W 70-61 56%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +12.3 +6.3 +6.6
  Jan 08, 2017 223   @ Tulane W 80-59 72%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +19.7 +1.6 +16.9
  Jan 11, 2017 126   @ Tulsa L 71-81 51%     12 - 5 2 - 2 -5.5 +0.2 -5.5
  Jan 14, 2017 279   South Florida W 62-56 91%     13 - 5 3 - 2 -3.9 -14.9 +10.9
  Jan 19, 2017 53   @ Houston W 70-67 OT 23%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +15.6 -0.3 +15.7
  Jan 22, 2017 68   Central Florida W 70-65 48%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +10.4 +9.0 +1.8
  Jan 25, 2017 107   @ Temple L 66-77 45%     15 - 6 5 - 3 -5.0 +2.2 -8.3
  Jan 28, 2017 159   East Carolina W 57-50 75%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +4.9 -8.1 +13.5
  Feb 02, 2017 279   @ South Florida W 85-75 82%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +5.1 +11.0 -5.9
  Feb 04, 2017 68   @ Central Florida L 57-72 29%     17 - 7 7 - 4 -4.5 -0.6 -5.3
  Feb 07, 2017 126   Tulsa W 66-44 70%     18 - 7 8 - 4 +21.4 +3.0 +21.6
  Feb 12, 2017 107   Temple L 62-74 65%     18 - 8 8 - 5 -11.0 -3.1 -9.4
  Feb 16, 2017 84   @ Connecticut L 62-65 37%     18 - 9 8 - 6 +5.3 +4.2 +0.7
  Feb 23, 2017 24   @ Cincinnati L 74-87 11%     18 - 10 8 - 7 +5.0 +17.9 -14.0
  Feb 26, 2017 53   Houston L 71-72 40%     18 - 11 8 - 8 +6.5 +3.2 +3.3
  Mar 02, 2017 223   Tulane W 92-70 85%     19 - 11 9 - 8 +15.6 +13.2 +1.8
  Mar 04, 2017 13   @ SMU L 62-103 8%     19 - 12 9 - 9 -20.7 -1.9 -19.5
  Mar 10, 2017 68   Central Florida L 54-84 38%     19 - 13 -22.0 -4.4 -21.1
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%