Pre-tourney Rankings
Monmouth
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#83
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#63
Pace76.8#23
Improvement-1.8#264

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#99
First Shot+2.8#96
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#188
Layup/Dunks+0.4#169
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#72
Freethrows+2.0#56
Improvement-2.9#316

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#82
First Shot+3.0#79
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#154
Layups/Dunks+3.1#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#240
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#112
Freethrows-0.7#210
Improvement+1.1#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.4% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 258   Drexel W 78-65 90%     1 - 0 +4.9 -0.6 +5.4
  Nov 15, 2016 33   @ South Carolina L 69-70 OT 19%     1 - 1 +14.0 -1.3 +15.4
  Nov 18, 2016 46   @ Syracuse L 50-71 23%     1 - 2 -7.4 -18.5 +10.8
  Nov 22, 2016 268   Cornell W 76-61 91%     2 - 2 +5.9 -1.8 +7.5
  Nov 26, 2016 335   South Carolina St. W 86-62 96%     3 - 2 +10.0 +7.6 +3.7
  Nov 27, 2016 222   @ Holy Cross W 80-77 75%     4 - 2 +1.7 +21.2 -19.1
  Dec 01, 2016 303   @ Quinnipiac W 91-72 87%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +12.5 +5.4 +5.3
  Dec 04, 2016 196   Canisius W 94-88 83%     6 - 2 2 - 0 +1.7 +6.7 -5.5
  Dec 06, 2016 262   @ Wagner W 81-71 81%     7 - 2 +6.7 +12.9 -5.5
  Dec 10, 2016 254   Army W 81-71 90%     8 - 2 +2.0 -4.6 +5.3
  Dec 13, 2016 92   @ Memphis W 82-79 44%     9 - 2 +10.4 +12.5 -2.1
  Dec 20, 2016 76   Princeton W 96-90 55%     10 - 2 +10.4 +13.1 -3.5
  Dec 28, 2016 3   @ North Carolina L 74-102 6%     10 - 3 -4.9 -2.0 +1.9
  Dec 31, 2016 217   Rider L 90-93 OT 86%     10 - 4 2 - 1 -9.1 -2.1 -6.4
  Jan 02, 2017 123   @ St. Peter's L 61-71 54%     10 - 5 2 - 2 -5.2 -4.6 -0.8
  Jan 06, 2017 127   Iona W 92-74 73%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +17.4 +10.6 +5.6
  Jan 08, 2017 308   Marist W 71-64 94%     12 - 5 4 - 2 -5.2 -6.5 +1.6
  Jan 14, 2017 266   @ Niagara W 90-83 82%     13 - 5 5 - 2 +3.0 +10.8 -8.1
  Jan 16, 2017 196   @ Canisius W 76-72 69%     14 - 5 6 - 2 +4.8 -2.8 +7.4
  Jan 20, 2017 289   Manhattan W 82-71 93%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +0.4 +4.9 -4.6
  Jan 22, 2017 212   Fairfield W 91-49 86%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +36.2 +6.9 +24.3
  Jan 27, 2017 303   Quinnipiac W 95-76 94%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +7.4 +5.1 +0.3
  Jan 30, 2017 308   @ Marist W 83-71 88%     18 - 5 10 - 2 +4.9 +6.1 -1.1
  Feb 03, 2017 123   St. Peter's W 71-70 OT 72%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +0.7 +2.5 -1.8
  Feb 06, 2017 217   @ Rider W 74-69 74%     20 - 5 12 - 2 +4.0 -1.6 +5.4
  Feb 10, 2017 289   @ Manhattan W 62-58 85%     21 - 5 13 - 2 -1.5 -15.7 +14.0
  Feb 13, 2017 178   @ Siena W 102-82 65%     22 - 5 14 - 2 +21.9 +23.1 -2.3
  Feb 16, 2017 266   Niagara W 93-75 91%     23 - 5 15 - 2 +9.0 +11.8 -3.7
  Feb 21, 2017 212   @ Fairfield W 82-62 73%     24 - 5 16 - 2 +19.3 +12.0 +7.4
  Feb 24, 2017 178   Siena W 77-73 80%     25 - 5 17 - 2 +0.8 +3.6 -2.6
  Feb 26, 2017 127   @ Iona W 79-73 55%     26 - 5 18 - 2 +10.5 +5.1 +5.3
  Mar 03, 2017 266   Niagara W 84-59 87%     27 - 5 +18.5 +1.7 +14.8
  Mar 05, 2017 178   @ Siena L 85-89 65%     27 - 6 -2.1 +7.6 -9.5
Projected Record 27.0 - 6.0 18.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 1.0% 1.0% 11.9 0.1 0.9 0.0 99.0 1.0%
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 11.9 0.1 0.9 0.0 99.0 1.0%