Pre-tourney Rankings
Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#212
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#188
Pace69.9#116
Improvement+0.0#171

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#275
First Shot-2.9#263
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#268
Layup/Dunks+1.0#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#102
Freethrows-3.6#342
Improvement-1.0#230

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#141
First Shot+0.6#148
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#156
Layups/Dunks-2.1#252
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#37
Freethrows+1.3#93
Improvement+1.0#124
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 299   Sacred Heart W 85-63 78%     1 - 0 +10.7 +4.3 +5.5
  Nov 15, 2016 302   @ Dartmouth W 79-62 62%     2 - 0 +10.6 -2.1 +11.7
  Nov 19, 2016 262   @ Wagner W 70-64 OT 50%     3 - 0 +2.7 -1.8 +4.7
  Nov 23, 2016 251   @ Loyola Maryland L 66-81 48%     3 - 1 -17.8 -5.9 -12.1
  Nov 26, 2016 254   Army W 75-74 68%     4 - 1 -7.0 -0.7 -6.3
  Dec 01, 2016 217   @ Rider W 76-67 41%     5 - 1 1 - 0 +8.0 +1.9 +5.9
  Dec 03, 2016 178   @ Siena L 73-80 31%     5 - 2 1 - 1 -5.1 -6.6 +2.1
  Dec 06, 2016 85   Bucknell L 64-75 27%     5 - 3 -7.8 -7.5 -0.3
  Dec 18, 2016 94   @ North Carolina St. L 78-99 16%     5 - 4 -13.6 -5.3 -5.4
  Dec 21, 2016 138   Boston College W 89-83 33%     6 - 4 +7.4 +9.2 -2.4
  Dec 30, 2016 177   @ Penn L 68-74 31%     6 - 5 -4.1 +0.7 -5.0
  Jan 02, 2017 127   Iona W 93-87 40%     7 - 5 2 - 1 +5.4 +5.9 -1.3
  Jan 05, 2017 289   @ Manhattan W 97-79 59%     8 - 5 3 - 1 +12.5 +23.2 -10.7
  Jan 10, 2017 196   Canisius L 72-86 54%     8 - 6 3 - 2 -18.3 -9.5 -8.1
  Jan 15, 2017 178   Siena L 54-63 50%     8 - 7 3 - 3 -12.2 -14.1 +0.6
  Jan 17, 2017 123   St. Peter's L 55-69 39%     8 - 8 3 - 4 -14.3 -7.8 -8.1
  Jan 20, 2017 127   @ Iona L 89-96 23%     8 - 9 3 - 5 -2.5 +10.2 -12.2
  Jan 22, 2017 83   @ Monmouth L 49-91 14%     8 - 10 3 - 6 -33.6 -25.1 -3.4
  Jan 28, 2017 308   Marist W 72-62 80%     9 - 10 4 - 6 -2.2 -7.5 +5.4
  Jan 31, 2017 289   Manhattan W 78-49 76%     10 - 10 5 - 6 +18.4 +8.1 +12.8
  Feb 02, 2017 266   Niagara W 81-61 71%     11 - 10 6 - 6 +11.0 +4.7 +6.4
  Feb 06, 2017 303   Quinnipiac L 71-73 79%     11 - 11 6 - 7 -13.6 -11.5 -2.0
  Feb 09, 2017 308   @ Marist W 73-53 65%     12 - 11 7 - 7 +12.9 -0.1 +14.3
  Feb 13, 2017 217   Rider W 69-67 51%     13 - 11 8 - 7 -1.5 -1.7 +0.3
  Feb 17, 2017 303   @ Quinnipiac W 89-86 OT 63%     14 - 11 9 - 7 -3.5 -3.3 -0.8
  Feb 19, 2017 123   @ St. Peter's L 55-74 22%     14 - 12 9 - 8 -14.2 +1.7 -20.6
  Feb 21, 2017 83   Monmouth L 62-82 27%     14 - 13 9 - 9 -16.7 -8.3 -8.6
  Feb 24, 2017 196   @ Canisius W 58-55 35%     15 - 13 10 - 9 +3.8 -8.3 +12.5
  Feb 26, 2017 266   @ Niagara W 62-58 53%     16 - 13 11 - 9 +0.0 -5.3 +5.7
  Mar 04, 2017 178   @ Siena L 66-78 31%     16 - 14 -10.1 -6.1 -4.3
Projected Record 16.0 - 14.0 11.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%