Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
American Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#84
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#104
Pace62.5#303
Improvement+4.9#21

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#143
First Shot+1.3#134
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#198
Layup/Dunks-1.2#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#225
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement+5.6#2

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#58
First Shot+4.0#62
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#82
Layups/Dunks+4.7#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#202
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#264
Freethrows+1.1#104
Improvement-0.7#221
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 262   Wagner L 58-67 90%     0 - 1 -17.4 -10.7 -7.9
  Nov 14, 2016 168   Northeastern L 61-64 79%     0 - 2 -5.6 -13.5 +7.8
  Nov 17, 2016 170   @ Loyola Marymount W 65-62 63%     1 - 2 +5.4 +2.7 +3.1
  Nov 21, 2016 20   Oklahoma St. L 90-98 16%     1 - 3 +8.5 +10.8 -1.5
  Nov 23, 2016 14   Oregon L 69-79 14%     1 - 4 +7.7 +7.4 -0.1
  Nov 30, 2016 200   Boston University W 51-49 84%     2 - 4 -2.7 -22.6 +19.9
  Dec 05, 2016 46   Syracuse W 52-50 30%     3 - 4 +13.1 -12.1 +25.4
  Dec 10, 2016 71   @ Ohio St. L 60-64 33%     3 - 5 +6.3 -3.5 +9.4
  Dec 18, 2016 248   North Florida W 80-59 89%     4 - 5 +13.2 +9.8 +5.4
  Dec 23, 2016 78   Auburn L 67-70 OT 57%     4 - 6 +1.1 -11.9 +13.3
  Dec 28, 2016 53   Houston L 46-62 43%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -8.5 -11.5 -1.4
  Dec 31, 2016 126   @ Tulsa L 59-61 OT 55%     4 - 8 0 - 2 +2.5 -10.0 +12.5
  Jan 05, 2017 92   @ Memphis L 61-70 44%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -1.6 -3.0 +0.7
  Jan 08, 2017 68   Central Florida W 64-49 51%     5 - 9 1 - 3 +20.4 +9.5 +13.6
  Jan 11, 2017 107   Temple W 73-59 68%     6 - 9 2 - 3 +15.0 +8.1 +8.4
  Jan 14, 2017 62   @ Georgetown L 69-72 30%     6 - 10 +8.3 +9.8 -1.8
  Jan 19, 2017 13   @ SMU L 49-69 9%     6 - 11 2 - 4 +0.3 -9.1 +6.5
  Jan 22, 2017 159   East Carolina W 72-65 77%     7 - 11 3 - 4 +4.9 +10.1 -4.5
  Jan 25, 2017 279   @ South Florida W 81-60 84%     8 - 11 4 - 4 +16.1 +19.3 -0.2
  Jan 28, 2017 223   Tulane W 78-68 87%     9 - 11 5 - 4 +3.6 -6.6 +9.2
  Feb 04, 2017 24   @ Cincinnati L 68-82 13%     9 - 12 5 - 5 +4.0 +9.0 -5.7
  Feb 08, 2017 279   South Florida W 97-51 92%     10 - 12 6 - 5 +36.1 +32.0 +9.2
  Feb 11, 2017 68   @ Central Florida W 66-63 32%     11 - 12 7 - 5 +13.5 +13.0 +1.0
  Feb 16, 2017 92   Memphis W 65-62 63%     12 - 12 8 - 5 +5.3 +2.9 +2.8
  Feb 19, 2017 107   @ Temple W 64-63 49%     13 - 12 9 - 5 +7.0 +4.2 +2.9
  Feb 22, 2017 53   @ Houston L 70-75 26%     13 - 13 9 - 6 +7.6 +7.1 +0.1
  Feb 25, 2017 13   SMU L 61-69 19%     13 - 14 9 - 7 +7.2 +6.7 -1.3
  Mar 01, 2017 159   @ East Carolina L 62-66 61%     13 - 15 9 - 8 -1.0 +0.0 -1.4
  Mar 05, 2017 24   Cincinnati L 47-67 25%     13 - 16 9 - 9 -7.0 -10.4 +0.1
  Mar 09, 2017 279   South Florida W 77-66 92%     14 - 16 +1.1 -6.3 +6.3
  Mar 10, 2017 53   Houston W 74-65 43%     15 - 16 +16.5 +11.0 +6.3
  Mar 11, 2017 24   Cincinnati L 71-81 25%     15 - 17 +3.0 +18.7 -17.6
Projected Record 15.0 - 17.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%