Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#168
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#156
Pace64.3#262
Improvement-1.3#245

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#138
First Shot+1.2#141
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#173
Layup/Dunks+3.8#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#59
Freethrows-0.2#188
Improvement-1.6#257

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#203
First Shot-2.5#247
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#51
Layups/Dunks-3.0#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#256
Freethrows+1.3#99
Improvement+0.2#170
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 200   Boston University W 87-77 68%     1 - 0 +5.3 +12.5 -7.3
  Nov 14, 2016 84   @ Connecticut W 64-61 21%     2 - 0 +11.3 -1.9 +13.2
  Nov 18, 2016 200   @ Boston University L 63-65 49%     2 - 1 -1.7 -2.4 +0.6
  Nov 19, 2016 261   LIU Brooklyn L 74-78 71%     2 - 2 -9.8 +5.3 -15.4
  Nov 20, 2016 337   Maine W 80-72 91%     3 - 2 -6.5 +5.8 -11.9
  Nov 27, 2016 147   Kent St. W 73-70 55%     4 - 2 +1.5 +3.4 -1.7
  Nov 30, 2016 268   @ Cornell L 77-80 65%     4 - 3 -7.0 +0.2 -7.1
  Dec 03, 2016 208   @ Stony Brook L 75-77 51%     4 - 4 -2.4 +14.7 -17.4
  Dec 06, 2016 112   @ Harvard L 80-86 29%     4 - 5 -0.4 +11.9 -12.4
  Dec 10, 2016 75   @ Vermont W 59-57 17%     5 - 5 +11.9 -2.0 +14.1
  Dec 18, 2016 44   @ Michigan St. W 81-73 10%     6 - 5 +21.9 +15.2 +6.7
  Dec 20, 2016 108   @ Oakland W 61-59 28%     7 - 5 +8.0 -7.2 +15.1
  Dec 31, 2016 142   William & Mary W 84-64 55%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +18.7 +7.1 +12.0
  Jan 02, 2017 258   @ Drexel W 75-70 OT 62%     9 - 5 2 - 0 +1.9 -4.7 +6.3
  Jan 05, 2017 281   Delaware W 90-54 83%     10 - 5 3 - 0 +25.9 +21.5 +7.8
  Jan 07, 2017 218   James Madison W 64-54 72%     11 - 5 4 - 0 +3.9 +0.4 +5.1
  Jan 12, 2017 258   Drexel W 92-75 78%     12 - 5 5 - 0 +8.9 +18.3 -8.6
  Jan 14, 2017 119   @ Towson L 67-74 31%     12 - 6 5 - 1 -1.8 +6.9 -9.8
  Jan 19, 2017 281   @ Delaware L 62-69 69%     12 - 7 5 - 2 -12.1 -7.0 -5.7
  Jan 21, 2017 187   @ Hofstra L 73-78 44%     12 - 8 5 - 3 -3.5 +5.3 -9.5
  Jan 26, 2017 141   Elon L 49-51 55%     12 - 9 5 - 4 -3.3 -18.1 +14.6
  Jan 28, 2017 119   Towson W 69-62 49%     13 - 9 6 - 4 +7.1 +2.8 +4.9
  Feb 02, 2017 142   @ William & Mary L 69-94 36%     13 - 10 6 - 5 -21.3 -1.7 -21.6
  Feb 04, 2017 218   @ James Madison L 69-73 54%     13 - 11 6 - 6 -5.0 +5.4 -10.9
  Feb 09, 2017 93   @ College of Charleston W 73-72 24%     14 - 11 7 - 6 +8.4 +11.2 -2.8
  Feb 11, 2017 187   Hofstra L 64-74 63%     14 - 12 7 - 7 -13.6 -8.1 -6.6
  Feb 16, 2017 67   UNC Wilmington L 65-66 30%     14 - 13 7 - 8 +4.5 -5.0 +9.4
  Feb 18, 2017 93   College of Charleston L 71-85 41%     14 - 14 7 - 9 -11.7 +14.0 -28.3
  Feb 23, 2017 141   @ Elon W 105-104 2OT 35%     15 - 14 8 - 9 +4.8 +18.2 -13.6
  Feb 25, 2017 67   @ UNC Wilmington L 65-74 16%     15 - 15 8 - 10 +1.5 -8.9 +10.7
  Mar 04, 2017 119   Towson L 54-82 40%     15 - 16 -25.4 -12.3 -15.6
Projected Record 15.0 - 16.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%