Pre-tourney Rankings
Minnesota
Big Ten
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.6#32
Expected Predictive Rating+14.3#30
Pace72.8#64
Improvement-1.5#252

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#84
First Shot+2.8#95
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#130
Layup/Dunks+2.2#87
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#290
Freethrows+2.6#37
Improvement+0.6#149

Defense
Total Defense+9.3#10
First Shot+8.8#9
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#129
Layups/Dunks+2.8#81
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#34
Freethrows+3.3#26
Improvement-2.1#284
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 69.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round54.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen17.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.5% n/a n/a
Final Four1.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 151   Louisiana W 86-74 91%     1 - 0 +10.1 -0.3 +9.3
  Nov 14, 2016 81   Texas Arlington W 84-67 80%     2 - 0 +20.6 +13.3 +7.5
  Nov 16, 2016 216   Mount St. Mary's W 80-56 95%     3 - 0 +17.9 +5.5 +12.2
  Nov 18, 2016 89   St. John's W 92-86 83%     4 - 0 +8.5 +8.4 -0.6
  Nov 22, 2016 35   Arkansas W 85-71 62%     5 - 0 +23.5 +10.6 +12.3
  Nov 25, 2016 144   Southern Illinois W 57-45 90%     6 - 0 +10.6 -10.0 +22.0
  Nov 28, 2016 18   @ Florida St. L 67-75 25%     6 - 1 +11.7 -1.2 +13.3
  Dec 03, 2016 34   Vanderbilt W 56-52 51%     7 - 1 +16.3 -5.9 +22.5
  Dec 06, 2016 294   NJIT W 74-68 98%     8 - 1 -5.0 -7.0 +1.7
  Dec 09, 2016 181   Georgia Southern W 86-49 92%     9 - 1 +33.7 +8.5 +24.7
  Dec 11, 2016 204   Northern Illinois W 77-57 94%     10 - 1 +14.9 +2.2 +12.4
  Dec 14, 2016 261   LIU Brooklyn W 76-66 96%     11 - 1 +1.7 +2.2 -0.1
  Dec 23, 2016 136   Arkansas St. W 82-75 90%     12 - 1 +5.9 +3.3 +2.2
  Dec 27, 2016 44   Michigan St. L 74-75 OT 64%     12 - 2 0 - 1 +7.8 +1.5 +6.4
  Jan 01, 2017 16   @ Purdue W 91-82 OT 24%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +29.1 +17.6 +10.4
  Jan 05, 2017 40   @ Northwestern W 70-66 45%     14 - 2 2 - 1 +18.0 +10.1 +8.2
  Jan 08, 2017 71   Ohio St. W 78-68 76%     15 - 2 3 - 1 +15.3 +2.9 +12.0
  Jan 11, 2017 44   @ Michigan St. L 47-65 45%     15 - 3 3 - 2 -4.1 -15.7 +10.4
  Jan 14, 2017 79   @ Penn St. L 50-52 64%     15 - 4 3 - 3 +6.9 -15.1 +21.9
  Jan 21, 2017 23   Wisconsin L 76-78 OT 48%     15 - 5 3 - 4 +11.2 +10.7 +0.5
  Jan 25, 2017 71   @ Ohio St. L 72-78 59%     15 - 6 3 - 5 +4.3 +3.0 +1.3
  Jan 28, 2017 43   Maryland L 78-85 64%     15 - 7 3 - 6 +1.8 +13.5 -12.1
  Feb 04, 2017 64   @ Illinois W 68-59 56%     16 - 7 4 - 6 +20.0 +7.4 +13.3
  Feb 08, 2017 65   Iowa W 101-89 2OT 74%     17 - 7 5 - 6 +17.9 +8.0 +7.3
  Feb 11, 2017 116   @ Rutgers W 72-63 76%     18 - 7 6 - 6 +14.3 +11.4 +3.6
  Feb 15, 2017 38   Indiana W 75-74 63%     19 - 7 7 - 6 +10.1 -1.9 +12.0
  Feb 19, 2017 21   Michigan W 83-78 OT 45%     20 - 7 8 - 6 +18.9 +13.3 +5.6
  Feb 22, 2017 43   @ Maryland W 89-75 45%     21 - 7 9 - 6 +27.9 +18.0 +9.3
  Feb 25, 2017 79   Penn St. W 81-71 80%     22 - 7 10 - 6 +13.8 +7.1 +5.9
  Mar 02, 2017 99   Nebraska W 88-73 84%     23 - 7 11 - 6 +16.9 +7.6 +7.6
  Mar 05, 2017 23   @ Wisconsin L 49-66 29%     23 - 8 11 - 7 +1.3 -5.5 +4.2
  Mar 10, 2017 44   Michigan St. W 63-58 55%     24 - 8 +16.4 +7.3 +10.0
  Mar 11, 2017 21   Michigan L 77-84 36%     24 - 9 +9.4 +9.8 -0.6
Projected Record 24.0 - 9.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.2 0.1 0.7 11.6 57.4 28.7 1.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6.2 0.1 0.7 11.6 57.4 28.7 1.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%