Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#64
Expected Predictive Rating+9.4#59
Pace64.3#263
Improvement-0.6#205

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#98
First Shot+2.9#88
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#197
Layup/Dunks-4.5#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#2
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#154
Freethrows+0.1#171
Improvement-1.1#237

Defense
Total Defense+5.9#46
First Shot+3.7#70
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#10
Layups/Dunks+3.7#50
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#94
Freethrows+2.8#34
Improvement+0.5#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 26.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four19.4% n/a n/a
First Round14.7% n/a n/a
Second Round3.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 230   Southeast Missouri St. W 81-62 92%     1 - 0 +12.1 +7.3 +5.7
  Nov 13, 2016 149   Northern Kentucky W 79-64 83%     2 - 0 +13.3 +7.9 +6.1
  Nov 18, 2016 295   Detroit Mercy W 89-69 96%     3 - 0 +8.8 +0.5 +6.9
  Nov 21, 2016 115   Winthrop L 80-84 OT 78%     3 - 1 -3.6 -6.6 +3.7
  Nov 24, 2016 5   West Virginia L 57-89 15%     3 - 2 -12.3 -2.7 -11.1
  Nov 25, 2016 18   Florida St. L 61-72 21%     3 - 3 +6.1 +3.7 +1.0
  Nov 29, 2016 94   North Carolina St. W 88-74 73%     4 - 3 +16.3 +10.8 +5.2
  Dec 03, 2016 51   Virginia Commonwealth W 64-46 43%     5 - 3 +28.3 +4.1 +26.1
  Dec 06, 2016 205   IUPUI W 85-77 90%     6 - 3 +2.6 +4.3 -2.0
  Dec 10, 2016 242   Central Michigan W 92-73 92%     7 - 3 +11.6 +4.1 +6.4
  Dec 17, 2016 74   BYU W 75-73 54%     8 - 3 +9.6 +5.6 +4.0
  Dec 21, 2016 137   Missouri W 75-66 75%     9 - 3 +10.4 +5.9 +4.6
  Dec 27, 2016 43   @ Maryland L 59-84 30%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -11.1 -8.9 -1.8
  Jan 01, 2017 71   Ohio St. W 75-70 62%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +10.3 +6.4 +4.1
  Jan 07, 2017 38   @ Indiana L 80-96 29%     10 - 5 1 - 2 -1.8 +15.2 -17.8
  Jan 11, 2017 21   Michigan W 85-69 30%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +29.9 +31.2 +1.7
  Jan 14, 2017 43   Maryland L 56-62 49%     11 - 6 2 - 3 +2.8 -8.7 +11.0
  Jan 17, 2017 16   @ Purdue L 68-91 14%     11 - 7 2 - 4 -2.9 +7.8 -11.4
  Jan 21, 2017 21   @ Michigan L 57-66 16%     11 - 8 2 - 5 +9.9 -3.5 +12.4
  Jan 25, 2017 65   Iowa W 76-64 60%     12 - 8 3 - 5 +17.9 +10.6 +8.3
  Jan 28, 2017 79   @ Penn St. L 67-71 49%     12 - 9 3 - 6 +4.9 +6.3 -1.7
  Jan 31, 2017 23   Wisconsin L 43-57 33%     12 - 10 3 - 7 -0.8 -11.6 +7.5
  Feb 04, 2017 32   Minnesota L 59-68 44%     12 - 11 3 - 8 +1.1 -1.5 +1.9
  Feb 07, 2017 40   @ Northwestern W 68-61 30%     13 - 11 4 - 8 +21.0 +5.6 +15.6
  Feb 11, 2017 79   Penn St. L 70-83 68%     13 - 12 4 - 9 -9.2 +5.8 -15.6
  Feb 18, 2017 65   @ Iowa W 70-66 41%     14 - 12 5 - 9 +15.0 +3.8 +11.3
  Feb 21, 2017 40   Northwestern W 66-50 48%     15 - 12 6 - 9 +24.9 +7.2 +19.7
  Feb 26, 2017 99   @ Nebraska W 73-57 56%     16 - 12 7 - 9 +23.0 +8.6 +15.1
  Mar 01, 2017 44   Michigan St. W 73-70 49%     17 - 12 8 - 9 +11.8 +10.0 +2.0
  Mar 04, 2017 116   @ Rutgers L 59-62 62%     17 - 13 8 - 10 +2.3 +1.2 +0.6
  Mar 09, 2017 21   Michigan L 55-75 23%     17 - 14 -3.6 -5.2 -1.5
Projected Record 17.0 - 14.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 26.6% 26.6% 11.1 0.0 0.3 3.0 17.8 5.5 73.4 26.6%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 26.6% 0.0% 26.6% 11.1 0.0 0.3 3.0 17.8 5.5 73.4 26.6%