Pre-tourney Rankings
Winthrop
Big South
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#115
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#95
Pace73.9#48
Improvement-0.9#217

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#144
First Shot+1.9#121
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#241
Layup/Dunks-5.1#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#31
Freethrows+0.9#126
Improvement-1.0#235

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#108
First Shot+3.0#78
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#292
Layups/Dunks+2.3#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#67
Freethrows-0.1#179
Improvement+0.1#176
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round7.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2016 289   @ Manhattan W 94-81 79%     1 - 0 +7.5 +17.6 -10.4
  Nov 18, 2016 18   @ Florida St. L 86-100 7%     1 - 1 +5.7 +13.5 -6.4
  Nov 21, 2016 64   @ Illinois W 84-80 OT 22%     2 - 1 +15.0 +3.2 +11.1
  Nov 27, 2016 188   New Hampshire L 60-65 74%     2 - 2 -8.8 -8.1 -1.2
  Nov 30, 2016 106   Furman W 58-57 OT 57%     3 - 2 +2.2 -16.2 +18.3
  Dec 03, 2016 47   @ Dayton L 67-83 16%     3 - 3 -2.6 -2.9 +1.1
  Dec 17, 2016 306   @ Hampton W 86-79 82%     4 - 3 +0.0 +9.1 -9.4
  Dec 20, 2016 181   Georgia Southern W 86-84 72%     5 - 3 -1.3 +4.6 -6.0
  Dec 22, 2016 244   @ Saint Louis W 66-55 70%     6 - 3 +8.6 +1.0 +8.6
  Dec 29, 2016 311   @ Charleston Southern W 84-68 83%     7 - 3 1 - 0 +8.6 -2.9 +10.3
  Dec 31, 2016 298   Radford L 80-82 90%     7 - 4 1 - 1 -13.3 +2.6 -15.9
  Jan 04, 2017 269   @ High Point W 80-74 75%     8 - 4 2 - 1 +2.0 +5.8 -3.9
  Jan 07, 2017 347   Longwood W 83-65 97%     9 - 4 3 - 1 -2.3 -2.9 -0.1
  Jan 11, 2017 350   Presbyterian W 75-52 98%     10 - 4 4 - 1 +0.6 +0.2 +2.7
  Jan 14, 2017 287   @ Campbell W 72-63 79%     11 - 4 5 - 1 +3.6 +4.7 +0.0
  Jan 19, 2017 111   UNC Asheville W 76-73 59%     12 - 4 6 - 1 +3.6 +0.1 +3.3
  Jan 21, 2017 214   @ Liberty W 61-48 64%     13 - 4 7 - 1 +12.2 -2.4 +16.2
  Jan 26, 2017 180   @ Gardner-Webb W 72-70 54%     14 - 4 8 - 1 +3.8 +2.7 +1.2
  Jan 28, 2017 269   High Point L 80-83 OT 87%     14 - 5 8 - 2 -12.1 -5.2 -6.5
  Feb 01, 2017 298   @ Radford W 81-65 81%     15 - 5 9 - 2 +9.8 +9.8 +0.4
  Feb 04, 2017 287   Campbell W 76-62 89%     16 - 5 10 - 2 +3.5 +4.1 +0.7
  Feb 09, 2017 111   @ UNC Asheville L 101-104 2OT 40%     16 - 6 10 - 3 +2.6 +10.6 -7.3
  Feb 11, 2017 180   Gardner-Webb W 77-71 72%     17 - 6 11 - 3 +2.8 -0.5 +3.0
  Feb 15, 2017 347   @ Longwood W 83-63 94%     18 - 6 12 - 3 +4.8 +1.4 +3.1
  Feb 18, 2017 214   Liberty W 84-67 80%     19 - 6 13 - 3 +11.1 +14.9 -3.0
  Feb 23, 2017 311   Charleston Southern W 86-72 92%     20 - 6 14 - 3 +1.5 +6.7 -4.6
  Feb 25, 2017 350   @ Presbyterian W 93-56 96%     21 - 6 15 - 3 +19.7 +20.9 +1.8
  Mar 02, 2017 311   Charleston Southern W 92-78 92%     22 - 6 +1.5 +4.4 -3.6
  Mar 03, 2017 180   Gardner-Webb W 80-77 OT 72%     23 - 6 -0.2 -5.5 +4.8
  Mar 05, 2017 287   Campbell W 76-59 89%     24 - 6 +6.5 +1.2 +6.2
Projected Record 24.0 - 6.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.6 1.6 40.0 58.2 0.2
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.6 1.6 40.0 58.2 0.2