Pre-tourney Rankings
Gardner-Webb
Big South
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#180
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#212
Pace71.4#88
Improvement+0.5#145

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#179
First Shot+0.5#160
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#239
Layup/Dunks+5.4#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#275
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#302
Freethrows+1.2#101
Improvement+2.2#57

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#183
First Shot+0.3#157
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#253
Layups/Dunks+0.1#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#75
Freethrows-1.6#273
Improvement-1.7#269
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 13   @ SMU L 44-72 4%     0 - 1 -7.7 -17.0 +6.8
  Nov 14, 2016 73   @ Pittsburgh L 80-99 15%     0 - 2 -8.8 +1.7 -8.5
  Nov 18, 2016 163   Eastern Michigan L 68-76 47%     0 - 3 -7.9 -8.6 +1.1
  Nov 19, 2016 336   Howard W 94-78 89%     1 - 3 +1.6 +16.6 -15.0
  Nov 25, 2016 55   @ Georgia L 59-77 12%     1 - 4 -5.8 -8.6 +3.6
  Dec 03, 2016 324   @ VMI W 86-68 77%     2 - 4 +9.7 +11.4 -0.9
  Dec 07, 2016 306   Hampton W 69-63 85%     3 - 4 -6.1 -4.4 -1.5
  Dec 10, 2016 106   Furman L 65-68 43%     3 - 5 -1.8 -3.3 +1.2
  Dec 18, 2016 99   @ Nebraska W 70-62 23%     4 - 5 +15.0 +5.3 +10.0
  Dec 21, 2016 30   @ Kansas St. L 54-67 7%     4 - 6 +2.4 -6.3 +7.7
  Dec 29, 2016 269   High Point L 64-71 79%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -16.1 -2.6 -14.6
  Dec 31, 2016 111   @ UNC Asheville L 85-90 OT 27%     4 - 8 0 - 2 +0.6 +8.4 -7.4
  Jan 04, 2017 298   @ Radford W 70-59 70%     5 - 8 1 - 2 +4.8 +3.0 +2.8
  Jan 07, 2017 311   Charleston Southern W 79-75 86%     6 - 8 2 - 2 -8.5 -2.4 -6.0
  Jan 11, 2017 287   Campbell L 60-76 82%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -26.5 -16.6 -10.4
  Jan 14, 2017 347   @ Longwood W 85-79 91%     7 - 9 3 - 3 -9.2 -5.3 -4.6
  Jan 19, 2017 214   @ Liberty L 62-65 51%     7 - 10 3 - 4 -3.8 -2.9 -1.3
  Jan 21, 2017 350   Presbyterian W 78-61 97%     8 - 10 4 - 4 -5.4 +2.1 -6.1
  Jan 26, 2017 115   Winthrop L 70-72 46%     8 - 11 4 - 5 -1.6 +0.4 -2.1
  Jan 28, 2017 311   @ Charleston Southern W 85-76 74%     9 - 11 5 - 5 +1.6 +8.9 -6.8
  Feb 01, 2017 287   @ Campbell W 80-68 68%     10 - 11 6 - 5 +6.6 +14.7 -6.5
  Feb 04, 2017 347   Longwood W 90-64 95%     11 - 11 7 - 5 +5.7 +3.7 +1.0
  Feb 09, 2017 214   Liberty L 87-92 2OT 69%     11 - 12 7 - 6 -10.9 +4.9 -15.3
  Feb 11, 2017 115   @ Winthrop L 71-77 28%     11 - 13 7 - 7 -0.5 -1.5 +1.2
  Feb 15, 2017 298   Radford W 70-59 84%     12 - 13 8 - 7 -0.3 -1.1 +1.7
  Feb 18, 2017 350   @ Presbyterian W 84-56 93%     13 - 13 9 - 7 +10.7 +3.7 +6.7
  Feb 23, 2017 111   UNC Asheville W 81-76 45%     14 - 13 10 - 7 +5.6 +4.0 +1.3
  Feb 25, 2017 269   @ High Point W 88-86 OT 63%     15 - 13 11 - 7 -2.0 +5.6 -7.9
  Mar 02, 2017 269   High Point W 91-55 71%     16 - 13 +29.4 +15.9 +13.4
  Mar 03, 2017 115   @ Winthrop L 77-80 OT 28%     16 - 14 +2.5 -3.3 +6.1
Projected Record 16.0 - 14.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%