Pre-tourney Rankings
Furman
Southern
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#106
Expected Predictive Rating+3.1#114
Pace62.7#294
Improvement+3.5#52

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#118
First Shot+3.0#86
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#252
Layup/Dunks+0.7#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#15
Freethrows-2.0#298
Improvement+1.7#85

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#113
First Shot+1.2#130
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#119
Layups/Dunks+0.9#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#109
Freethrows-0.3#188
Improvement+1.8#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 350   @ Presbyterian L 71-73 96%     0 - 1 -19.3 -2.4 -17.1
  Nov 14, 2016 193   @ UAB W 84-74 61%     1 - 1 +10.9 +16.6 -5.1
  Nov 17, 2016 55   @ Georgia L 78-84 21%     1 - 2 +6.2 +15.9 -10.0
  Nov 22, 2016 111   UNC Asheville L 58-64 62%     1 - 3 -5.4 -11.1 +5.3
  Nov 30, 2016 115   @ Winthrop L 57-58 OT 43%     1 - 4 +4.5 -14.4 +18.9
  Dec 03, 2016 210   Navy W 79-46 81%     2 - 4 +27.5 +19.1 +14.0
  Dec 06, 2016 214   @ Liberty W 61-58 67%     3 - 4 +2.2 -6.6 +8.9
  Dec 10, 2016 180   @ Gardner-Webb W 68-65 57%     4 - 4 +4.8 +0.4 +4.6
  Dec 16, 2016 335   South Carolina St. L 67-69 96%     4 - 5 -18.5 -13.9 -4.8
  Dec 19, 2016 259   @ Tennessee Tech W 68-62 74%     5 - 5 +2.9 -0.9 +4.2
  Dec 22, 2016 21   @ Michigan L 62-68 8%     5 - 6 +12.9 +5.6 +6.2
  Dec 31, 2016 297   The Citadel W 83-68 91%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +3.8 -5.5 +8.1
  Jan 02, 2017 146   Mercer W 71-69 69%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +0.6 +4.7 -3.8
  Jan 05, 2017 162   @ Samford W 83-73 54%     8 - 6 3 - 0 +12.7 +13.3 -0.2
  Jan 07, 2017 124   @ Chattanooga L 64-80 46%     8 - 7 3 - 1 -11.3 +5.1 -18.9
  Jan 14, 2017 135   @ Wofford L 58-67 49%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -5.0 -9.4 +3.4
  Jan 19, 2017 69   East Tennessee St. W 75-62 44%     9 - 8 4 - 2 +18.4 +0.8 +16.6
  Jan 21, 2017 324   VMI W 89-72 94%     10 - 8 5 - 2 +3.6 +18.1 -12.6
  Jan 25, 2017 317   Western Carolina W 85-37 93%     11 - 8 6 - 2 +35.1 +17.3 +21.7
  Jan 28, 2017 120   @ UNC Greensboro W 73-67 44%     12 - 8 7 - 2 +11.1 +8.6 +3.1
  Feb 02, 2017 146   @ Mercer W 70-68 50%     13 - 8 8 - 2 +5.7 +4.8 +1.1
  Feb 04, 2017 297   @ The Citadel W 99-91 82%     14 - 8 9 - 2 +1.8 +11.6 -10.4
  Feb 09, 2017 124   Chattanooga W 60-56 65%     15 - 8 10 - 2 +3.6 -0.6 +4.9
  Feb 11, 2017 162   Samford W 90-73 72%     16 - 8 11 - 2 +14.6 +13.1 +1.4
  Feb 13, 2017 324   @ VMI W 80-52 87%     17 - 8 12 - 2 +19.7 +5.1 +15.7
  Feb 15, 2017 317   @ Western Carolina W 74-62 86%     18 - 8 13 - 2 +4.2 +11.6 -5.9
  Feb 18, 2017 120   UNC Greensboro L 52-73 64%     18 - 9 13 - 3 -20.9 -17.2 -5.7
  Feb 22, 2017 69   @ East Tennessee St. L 81-93 OT 26%     18 - 10 13 - 4 -1.6 +17.3 -19.3
  Feb 25, 2017 135   Wofford W 78-69 68%     19 - 10 14 - 4 +8.0 +15.1 -5.6
  Mar 04, 2017 162   Samford L 63-67 64%     19 - 11 -3.9 -3.8 -0.6
Projected Record 19.0 - 11.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%