Pre-tourney Rankings
Mercer
Southern
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#146
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#186
Pace57.6#345
Improvement+3.0#57

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#93
First Shot+0.6#155
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#43
Layup/Dunks-4.1#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#125
Freethrows+0.0#175
Improvement-2.0#277

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#217
First Shot-0.8#190
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#261
Layups/Dunks+1.8#103
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#262
Freethrows-1.6#269
Improvement+5.0#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2016 8   Florida L 54-76 6%     0 - 1 -2.8 -3.7 -0.4
  Nov 20, 2016 181   Georgia Southern W 80-67 66%     1 - 1 +9.7 +12.0 -0.9
  Nov 22, 2016 298   Radford W 58-47 87%     2 - 1 -0.3 -4.6 +6.9
  Nov 25, 2016 159   East Carolina W 70-66 53%     3 - 1 +4.4 +6.5 -1.9
  Nov 26, 2016 105   Akron L 63-65 40%     3 - 2 +1.8 +4.7 -3.4
  Nov 29, 2016 87   Davidson L 57-78 42%     3 - 3 -17.9 -11.1 -7.9
  Dec 03, 2016 109   @ George Mason L 68-79 32%     3 - 4 -5.0 +8.6 -15.5
  Dec 10, 2016 39   @ Clemson L 47-90 12%     3 - 5 -28.9 -16.3 -16.1
  Dec 18, 2016 78   @ Auburn L 74-76 22%     3 - 6 +7.2 +10.6 -3.7
  Dec 22, 2016 139   La Salle L 96-98 3OT 59%     3 - 7 -3.2 +8.0 -11.0
  Dec 28, 2016 252   @ Kennesaw St. W 80-76 65%     4 - 7 +1.1 +20.5 -18.6
  Dec 31, 2016 135   @ Wofford L 71-88 39%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -13.0 +1.5 -15.5
  Jan 02, 2017 106   @ Furman L 69-71 31%     4 - 9 0 - 2 +4.2 +8.3 -4.3
  Jan 05, 2017 324   VMI W 68-50 91%     5 - 9 1 - 2 +4.6 -4.0 +10.9
  Jan 07, 2017 69   East Tennessee St. L 58-67 34%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -3.6 -5.3 +0.8
  Jan 11, 2017 162   @ Samford W 68-65 44%     6 - 10 2 - 3 +5.7 +1.4 +4.6
  Jan 14, 2017 124   Chattanooga L 68-70 56%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -2.4 +0.8 -3.3
  Jan 19, 2017 120   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-68 35%     6 - 12 2 - 5 +3.1 +2.4 +0.5
  Jan 21, 2017 317   @ Western Carolina W 70-50 80%     7 - 12 3 - 5 +12.2 +9.7 +5.8
  Jan 28, 2017 297   The Citadel W 82-66 87%     8 - 12 4 - 5 +4.8 +3.2 +2.3
  Jan 30, 2017 317   Western Carolina W 62-47 90%     9 - 12 5 - 5 +2.1 +0.2 +5.0
  Feb 02, 2017 106   Furman L 68-70 50%     9 - 13 5 - 6 -0.8 +3.4 -4.5
  Feb 04, 2017 135   Wofford L 62-65 58%     9 - 14 5 - 7 -4.0 -6.2 +1.8
  Feb 09, 2017 324   @ VMI W 81-51 81%     10 - 14 6 - 7 +21.7 +5.9 +17.0
  Feb 11, 2017 69   @ East Tennessee St. L 71-88 19%     10 - 15 6 - 8 -6.6 +12.8 -21.3
  Feb 18, 2017 297   @ The Citadel W 89-78 76%     11 - 15 7 - 8 +4.8 +5.9 -1.4
  Feb 22, 2017 120   UNC Greensboro L 66-72 54%     11 - 16 7 - 9 -5.9 +6.3 -13.5
  Feb 25, 2017 124   @ Chattanooga W 64-54 36%     12 - 16 8 - 9 +14.7 +3.2 +12.9
  Feb 27, 2017 162   Samford W 88-79 63%     13 - 16 9 - 9 +6.6 +23.7 -15.9
  Mar 04, 2017 69   East Tennessee St. L 66-73 26%     13 - 17 +0.9 +2.1 -1.5
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%