Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
69 East Tennessee St. 100.0%   13   25 - 7 14 - 4 25 - 7 14 - 4 +7.9      +2.7 94 +5.2 51 70.8 101 +8.0 70 +6.4 3
106 Furman 0.0%   19 - 11 14 - 4 19 - 11 14 - 4 +3.7      +1.9 118 +1.8 113 62.7 294 +3.1 114 +7.1 2
120 UNC Greensboro 0.0%   22 - 9 14 - 4 22 - 9 14 - 4 +2.6      +2.5 101 +0.1 175 64.5 255 +6.1 88 +7.3 1
124 Chattanooga 0.0%   17 - 12 10 - 8 17 - 12 10 - 8 +2.2      -0.1 169 +2.3 103 64.4 260 +2.3 120 +0.4 5
135 Wofford 0.0%   13 - 17 10 - 8 13 - 17 10 - 8 +1.5      +3.8 72 -2.3 238 65.7 226 -0.8 177 +0.5 4
146 Mercer 0.0%   13 - 17 9 - 9 13 - 17 9 - 9 +1.1      +2.7 93 -1.6 217 57.6 345 -1.2 186 -1.1 6
162 Samford 0.0%   17 - 15 8 - 10 17 - 15 8 - 10 +0.1      +2.1 112 -2.0 230 69.9 115 -0.2 165 -2.6 7
297 The Citadel 0.0%   9 - 21 4 - 14 9 - 21 4 - 14 -8.7      -0.4 181 -8.3 338 98.8 2 -7.3 274 -8.6 9
317 Western Carolina 0.0%   7 - 23 4 - 14 7 - 23 4 - 14 -10.4      -9.8 346 -0.5 188 65.3 239 -7.7 282 -8.3 8
324 VMI 0.0%   4 - 24 3 - 15 4 - 24 3 - 15 -10.9      -4.2 276 -6.7 326 68.0 170 -13.4 335 -10.7 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
East Tennessee St. 1.0 100.0
Furman 1.0 100.0
UNC Greensboro 1.0 100.0
Chattanooga 4.0 100.0
Wofford 4.0 100.0
Mercer 6.0 100.0
Samford 7.0 100.0
The Citadel 8.0 100.0
Western Carolina 8.0 100.0
VMI 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
East Tennessee St. 14 - 4 100.0
Furman 14 - 4 100.0
UNC Greensboro 14 - 4 100.0
Chattanooga 10 - 8 100.0
Wofford 10 - 8 100.0
Mercer 9 - 9 100.0
Samford 8 - 10 100.0
The Citadel 4 - 14 100.0
Western Carolina 4 - 14 100.0
VMI 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
East Tennessee St. 100.0% 100.0
Furman 100.0% 100.0
UNC Greensboro 100.0% 100.0
Chattanooga
Wofford
Mercer
Samford
The Citadel
Western Carolina
VMI


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
East Tennessee St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 18.9 68.3 12.8 0.0
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
East Tennessee St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 17.5% 4.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 17.5% 0.2 82.5 17.5
Sweet Sixteen 4.4% 0.0 95.6 4.4
Elite Eight 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0