Pre-tourney Rankings
VMI
Southern
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#324
Expected Predictive Rating-13.4#335
Pace68.0#170
Improvement+3.1#55

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#276
First Shot-2.8#258
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#277
Layup/Dunks-5.2#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#133
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#28
Freethrows-3.5#341
Improvement+1.6#93

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#326
First Shot-6.1#329
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#252
Layups/Dunks-3.6#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#197
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#250
Freethrows-1.0#238
Improvement+1.5#89
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 88   @ Richmond L 69-72 5%     0 - 1 +4.8 +0.7 +4.1
  Nov 19, 2016 36   @ Virginia Tech L 72-88 2%     0 - 2 -1.7 +3.0 -4.9
  Nov 22, 2016 350   @ Presbyterian L 67-77 73%     0 - 3 -27.3 -12.6 -14.7
  Nov 26, 2016 287   Campbell L 53-67 49%     0 - 4 -24.5 -25.1 +0.5
  Nov 30, 2016 298   @ Radford L 67-74 33%     0 - 5 -13.2 +1.3 -15.3
  Dec 03, 2016 180   Gardner-Webb L 68-86 23%     0 - 6 -21.2 -3.6 -18.4
  Dec 10, 2016 5   @ West Virginia L 55-90 1%     0 - 7 -12.7 -3.7 -10.7
  Dec 13, 2016 311   Charleston Southern W 88-83 56%     1 - 7 -7.5 +8.9 -16.1
  Dec 23, 2016 47   @ Dayton L 56-92 2%     1 - 8 -22.6 -8.5 -15.5
  Dec 31, 2016 69   @ East Tennessee St. L 75-102 3%     1 - 9 0 - 1 -16.6 +5.4 -20.8
  Jan 05, 2017 146   @ Mercer L 50-68 9%     1 - 10 0 - 2 -14.3 -16.7 +0.0
  Jan 07, 2017 297   @ The Citadel L 74-79 32%     1 - 11 0 - 3 -11.2 -10.3 -0.6
  Jan 12, 2017 317   Western Carolina W 79-78 58%     2 - 11 1 - 3 -11.9 +12.5 -24.3
  Jan 14, 2017 120   UNC Greensboro L 82-91 15%     2 - 12 1 - 4 -8.9 +10.3 -19.4
  Jan 19, 2017 135   @ Wofford L 70-88 9%     2 - 13 1 - 5 -14.0 -6.5 -6.7
  Jan 21, 2017 106   @ Furman L 72-89 6%     2 - 14 1 - 6 -10.8 +10.2 -22.8
  Jan 25, 2017 124   @ Chattanooga W 80-64 8%     3 - 14 2 - 6 +20.7 +11.2 +9.6
  Jan 28, 2017 162   Samford L 67-69 21%     3 - 15 2 - 7 -4.4 -11.1 +6.8
  Feb 02, 2017 69   East Tennessee St. L 71-81 7%     3 - 16 2 - 8 -4.6 +6.1 -11.3
  Feb 09, 2017 146   Mercer L 51-81 19%     3 - 17 2 - 9 -31.4 -22.7 -9.8
  Feb 11, 2017 297   The Citadel W 101-78 52%     4 - 17 3 - 9 +11.8 +6.1 +2.8
  Feb 13, 2017 106   Furman L 52-80 13%     4 - 18 3 - 10 -26.8 -18.1 -9.9
  Feb 15, 2017 124   Chattanooga L 68-74 16%     4 - 19 3 - 11 -6.4 +2.5 -9.4
  Feb 18, 2017 162   @ Samford L 61-80 11%     4 - 20 3 - 12 -16.3 -7.4 -10.5
  Feb 22, 2017 135   Wofford L 63-81 18%     4 - 21 3 - 13 -19.0 -5.3 -16.1
  Feb 25, 2017 120   UNC Greensboro L 67-74 11%     4 - 22 3 - 14 -4.4 -3.1 -1.6
  Feb 27, 2017 317   @ Western Carolina L 68-81 38%     4 - 23 3 - 15 -20.8 -3.0 -18.0
  Mar 03, 2017 162   Samford L 61-79 15%     4 - 24 -17.9 -13.9 -3.9
Projected Record 4.0 - 24.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%