Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona
Pac-12
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.7#19
Expected Predictive Rating+21.0#4
Pace63.7#273
Improvement-0.1#177

Offense
Total Offense+8.8#24
First Shot+8.1#19
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#111
Layup/Dunks+1.7#101
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#209
Freethrows+4.8#2
Improvement+1.0#121

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#24
First Shot+7.0#20
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#85
Layups/Dunks+4.2#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#65
Freethrows+3.0#30
Improvement-1.1#245
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 2.4% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 25.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 80.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round95.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen59.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight29.7% n/a n/a
Final Four12.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.7% n/a n/a
National Champion1.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 44   Michigan St. W 65-63 70%     1 - 0 +13.4 +0.0 +13.4
  Nov 15, 2016 122   Cal St. Bakersfield W 78-66 93%     2 - 0 +11.8 +16.0 -3.3
  Nov 18, 2016 299   Sacred Heart W 95-65 99%     3 - 0 +18.7 +8.6 +7.2
  Nov 21, 2016 284   Northern Colorado W 71-55 99%     4 - 0 +5.7 +2.1 +5.1
  Nov 24, 2016 110   Santa Clara W 69-61 89%     5 - 0 +11.2 +9.4 +3.0
  Nov 25, 2016 26   Butler L 65-69 55%     5 - 1 +11.3 +1.1 +10.0
  Nov 30, 2016 220   Texas Southern W 85-63 97%     6 - 1 +15.7 +17.1 +0.7
  Dec 03, 2016 1   Gonzaga L 62-69 23%     6 - 2 +17.3 +7.5 +9.1
  Dec 06, 2016 143   UC Irvine W 79-57 94%     7 - 2 +20.6 +17.3 +5.7
  Dec 10, 2016 137   @ Missouri W 79-60 88%     8 - 2 +22.9 +15.3 +8.9
  Dec 14, 2016 161   Grand Canyon W 64-54 95%     9 - 2 +7.7 -4.7 +12.8
  Dec 17, 2016 66   Texas A&M W 67-63 79%     10 - 2 +12.4 +10.0 +2.9
  Dec 20, 2016 118   New Mexico W 77-46 93%     11 - 2 +31.1 +8.3 +24.5
  Dec 30, 2016 57   @ California W 67-62 68%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +17.0 +7.7 +9.5
  Jan 01, 2017 95   @ Stanford W 91-52 81%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +46.3 +21.3 +24.4
  Jan 05, 2017 48   Utah W 66-56 79%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +18.3 +4.2 +15.5
  Jan 07, 2017 72   Colorado W 82-73 86%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +14.2 +8.7 +5.3
  Jan 12, 2017 114   Arizona St. W 91-75 93%     16 - 2 5 - 0 +16.5 +20.5 -3.0
  Jan 19, 2017 58   @ USC W 73-66 68%     17 - 2 6 - 0 +18.8 +8.3 +10.8
  Jan 21, 2017 12   @ UCLA W 96-85 36%     18 - 2 7 - 0 +31.3 +23.9 +6.8
  Jan 26, 2017 171   Washington St. W 79-62 95%     19 - 2 8 - 0 +14.3 +16.2 +0.6
  Jan 29, 2017 156   Washington W 77-66 95%     20 - 2 9 - 0 +9.0 +7.1 +2.6
  Feb 02, 2017 236   @ Oregon St. W 71-54 95%     21 - 2 10 - 0 +14.9 +9.1 +8.3
  Feb 04, 2017 14   @ Oregon L 58-85 36%     21 - 3 10 - 1 -6.8 +0.7 -10.3
  Feb 08, 2017 95   Stanford W 74-67 91%     22 - 3 11 - 1 +9.2 +6.4 +3.1
  Feb 11, 2017 57   California W 62-57 82%     23 - 3 12 - 1 +11.9 +10.1 +2.9
  Feb 16, 2017 171   @ Washington St. W 78-59 90%     24 - 3 13 - 1 +21.4 +13.3 +9.8
  Feb 18, 2017 156   @ Washington W 76-68 89%     25 - 3 14 - 1 +11.0 +5.6 +5.7
  Feb 23, 2017 58   USC W 90-77 82%     26 - 3 15 - 1 +19.8 +22.5 -2.3
  Feb 25, 2017 12   UCLA L 72-77 56%     26 - 4 15 - 2 +10.2 +8.1 +1.8
  Mar 04, 2017 114   @ Arizona St. W 73-60 85%     27 - 4 16 - 2 +18.6 +5.0 +14.6
  Mar 09, 2017 72   Colorado W 92-78 80%     28 - 4 +21.7 +23.3 -1.2
  Mar 10, 2017 12   UCLA W 86-75 46%     29 - 4 +28.8 +13.1 +15.0
  Mar 11, 2017 14   Oregon W 83-80 46%     30 - 4 +20.7 +21.1 -0.3
Projected Record 30.0 - 4.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.9 25.5 55.3 17.9 1.2 0.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.9 25.5 55.3 17.9 1.2 0.0