Pre-tourney Rankings
USC
Pac-12
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#58
Expected Predictive Rating+12.5#37
Pace69.9#114
Improvement-2.3#281

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#51
First Shot+4.6#52
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#97
Layup/Dunks+3.9#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#298
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#180
Freethrows+3.4#15
Improvement-0.4#203

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#77
First Shot+3.7#69
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#196
Layups/Dunks+0.9#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#109
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#299
Freethrows+4.6#5
Improvement-1.8#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 65.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 65.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four52.5% n/a n/a
First Round34.1% n/a n/a
Second Round9.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 198   Montana W 75-61 90%     1 - 0 +9.3 +3.7 +6.7
  Nov 13, 2016 169   Nebraska Omaha W 82-72 87%     2 - 0 +7.4 -1.3 +7.8
  Nov 18, 2016 66   @ Texas A&M W 65-63 44%     3 - 0 +12.9 +0.5 +12.4
  Nov 22, 2016 189   New Orleans W 88-54 89%     4 - 0 +30.2 +14.4 +15.4
  Nov 25, 2016 13   SMU W 78-73 29%     5 - 0 +20.2 +10.6 +9.6
  Nov 27, 2016 328   UC Santa Barbara W 96-72 98%     6 - 0 +9.4 +18.4 -9.2
  Nov 30, 2016 240   @ San Diego W 76-55 86%     7 - 0 +18.7 +8.3 +12.1
  Dec 03, 2016 74   BYU W 91-84 57%     8 - 0 +14.6 +13.0 +0.8
  Dec 11, 2016 292   Pepperdine W 93-67 96%     9 - 0 +15.2 +14.7 +1.2
  Dec 17, 2016 129   Troy W 82-77 83%     10 - 0 +4.3 +6.4 -2.1
  Dec 19, 2016 268   Cornell W 79-67 95%     11 - 0 +2.9 +2.5 +0.5
  Dec 22, 2016 130   Missouri St. W 83-75 76%     12 - 0 +9.8 +10.5 -0.7
  Dec 23, 2016 140   Wyoming W 94-92 OT 78%     13 - 0 +3.3 +7.6 -4.6
  Dec 28, 2016 236   @ Oregon St. W 70-63 86%     14 - 0 1 - 0 +4.9 +8.1 -2.2
  Dec 30, 2016 14   @ Oregon L 61-84 15%     14 - 1 1 - 1 -2.8 -4.2 +2.1
  Jan 05, 2017 95   Stanford W 72-56 75%     15 - 1 2 - 1 +18.2 -2.9 +20.2
  Jan 08, 2017 57   California L 73-74 59%     15 - 2 2 - 2 +5.9 +12.2 -6.4
  Jan 12, 2017 48   @ Utah L 64-86 35%     15 - 3 2 - 3 -8.6 -0.1 -9.9
  Jan 15, 2017 72   @ Colorado W 71-68 46%     16 - 3 3 - 3 +13.3 +8.2 +5.4
  Jan 19, 2017 19   Arizona L 66-73 32%     16 - 4 3 - 4 +7.1 +2.6 +4.2
  Jan 22, 2017 114   Arizona St. W 82-79 80%     17 - 4 4 - 4 +3.5 +5.5 -2.0
  Jan 25, 2017 12   UCLA W 84-76 28%     18 - 4 5 - 4 +23.2 +10.5 +12.3
  Feb 01, 2017 156   @ Washington W 82-74 73%     19 - 4 6 - 4 +11.0 -0.1 +10.3
  Feb 04, 2017 171   @ Washington St. W 86-77 75%     20 - 4 7 - 4 +11.4 +16.5 -4.9
  Feb 09, 2017 236   Oregon St. W 92-66 93%     21 - 4 8 - 4 +18.8 +20.9 -1.1
  Feb 11, 2017 14   Oregon L 70-81 29%     21 - 5 8 - 5 +4.2 +2.7 +1.7
  Feb 18, 2017 12   @ UCLA L 70-102 15%     21 - 6 8 - 6 -11.7 -1.8 -7.6
  Feb 23, 2017 19   @ Arizona L 77-90 18%     21 - 7 8 - 7 +6.2 +15.8 -10.0
  Feb 26, 2017 114   @ Arizona St. L 82-83 64%     21 - 8 8 - 8 +4.6 +12.4 -7.9
  Mar 01, 2017 171   Washington St. W 87-64 87%     22 - 8 9 - 8 +20.3 +17.0 +4.4
  Mar 04, 2017 156   Washington W 74-58 85%     23 - 8 10 - 8 +14.0 +5.7 +9.8
  Mar 08, 2017 156   Washington W 78-73 80%     24 - 8 +5.5 +7.6 -1.9
  Mar 09, 2017 12   UCLA L 74-76 21%     24 - 9 +15.8 +2.8 +13.0
Projected Record 24.0 - 9.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 65.4% 65.4% 11.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.0 37.3 20.7 0.0 34.6 65.4%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 65.4% 0.0% 65.4% 11.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.0 37.3 20.7 0.0 34.6 65.4%