Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana
Big Sky
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#198
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#218
Pace65.2#245
Improvement-2.2#277

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#149
First Shot+1.1#144
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#200
Layup/Dunks+1.6#107
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#132
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#217
Freethrows+0.0#178
Improvement-1.5#255

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#252
First Shot-3.7#288
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#89
Layups/Dunks-1.7#242
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#96
Freethrows-2.7#324
Improvement-0.7#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 58   @ USC L 61-75 10%     0 - 1 -2.2 -2.2 -1.0
  Nov 14, 2016 140   Wyoming L 72-73 46%     0 - 2 -2.2 +3.6 -5.8
  Nov 18, 2016 94   North Carolina St. L 72-85 25%     0 - 3 -8.2 -2.3 -5.7
  Nov 19, 2016 171   Washington St. L 63-87 42%     0 - 4 -24.1 -9.5 -14.8
  Nov 21, 2016 234   Oral Roberts W 68-47 60%     1 - 4 +16.4 -6.4 +23.7
  Nov 24, 2016 70   @ Mississippi L 81-86 12%     1 - 5 +5.4 +7.8 -2.0
  Nov 27, 2016 145   @ South Dakota L 67-72 29%     1 - 6 -1.3 +6.3 -8.4
  Dec 03, 2016 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-69 71%     2 - 6 -2.0 +10.2 -11.2
  Dec 07, 2016 206   San Jose St. W 81-62 62%     3 - 6 +13.6 +7.5 +6.3
  Dec 10, 2016 140   @ Wyoming L 83-85 28%     3 - 7 +1.9 +13.8 -11.9
  Dec 13, 2016 14   @ Oregon L 67-81 3%     3 - 8 +6.2 +3.1 +3.2
  Dec 17, 2016 307   @ UC Riverside W 71-63 68%     4 - 8 +0.9 -3.2 +4.0
  Dec 22, 2016 292   Pepperdine W 71-70 79%     5 - 8 -9.8 -6.3 -3.4
  Dec 29, 2016 332   Idaho St. W 74-62 89%     6 - 8 1 - 0 -3.5 -0.3 -1.8
  Dec 31, 2016 184   Weber St. L 81-84 OT 55%     6 - 9 1 - 1 -6.5 +8.4 -15.1
  Jan 05, 2017 221   @ Idaho W 70-57 47%     7 - 9 2 - 1 +11.7 +5.6 +7.8
  Jan 07, 2017 186   @ Eastern Washington W 65-59 36%     8 - 9 3 - 1 +7.5 -7.5 +15.3
  Jan 12, 2017 284   Northern Colorado W 89-68 78%     9 - 9 4 - 1 +10.7 +15.8 -4.5
  Jan 14, 2017 172   North Dakota W 76-70 52%     10 - 9 5 - 1 +3.3 +2.2 +1.0
  Jan 19, 2017 250   @ Portland St. L 79-88 52%     10 - 10 5 - 2 -11.8 -3.9 -7.1
  Jan 21, 2017 283   @ Sacramento St. L 83-92 62%     10 - 11 5 - 3 -14.2 +9.4 -23.9
  Jan 26, 2017 186   Eastern Washington L 60-72 56%     10 - 12 5 - 4 -15.6 -3.3 -15.0
  Jan 28, 2017 221   Idaho L 77-85 OT 66%     10 - 13 5 - 5 -14.3 -7.8 -5.6
  Feb 04, 2017 243   Montana St. W 90-84 70%     11 - 13 6 - 5 -1.4 +15.4 -16.6
  Feb 09, 2017 334   @ Southern Utah W 70-55 79%     12 - 13 7 - 5 +4.2 -7.2 +12.5
  Feb 11, 2017 323   @ Northern Arizona W 76-59 72%     13 - 13 8 - 5 +8.7 +16.5 -4.2
  Feb 16, 2017 283   Sacramento St. L 65-67 78%     13 - 14 8 - 6 -12.2 -9.1 -3.3
  Feb 18, 2017 250   Portland St. W 85-82 71%     14 - 14 9 - 6 -4.8 -0.7 -4.3
  Feb 25, 2017 243   @ Montana St. L 69-78 51%     14 - 15 9 - 7 -11.4 -4.7 -6.8
  Mar 02, 2017 184   @ Weber St. W 78-74 36%     15 - 15 10 - 7 +5.6 +6.3 -0.5
  Mar 04, 2017 332   @ Idaho St. W 95-76 78%     16 - 15 11 - 7 +8.6 +15.7 -7.0
  Mar 09, 2017 221   Idaho L 77-81 57%     16 - 16 -7.8 +5.8 -13.8
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%