Pre-tourney Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#125
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#161
Pace73.3#56
Improvement+5.4#13

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#142
First Shot-1.0#206
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#45
Layup/Dunks+2.7#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#169
Freethrows+0.8#131
Improvement+3.3#33

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#135
First Shot+1.2#132
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#202
Layups/Dunks-0.2#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#77
Freethrows-1.8#279
Improvement+2.2#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 266   @ Niagara W 76-66 72%     1 - 0 +6.0 +1.6 +4.4
  Nov 14, 2016 41   @ Xavier L 53-86 14%     1 - 1 -19.1 -15.3 -3.7
  Nov 25, 2016 54   Nevada L 62-67 23%     1 - 2 +4.7 -7.3 +12.0
  Nov 26, 2016 184   Weber St. W 74-72 62%     2 - 2 +1.1 -2.4 +3.5
  Nov 29, 2016 27   @ Creighton L 72-93 9%     2 - 3 -3.8 +1.0 -2.9
  Dec 03, 2016 91   @ St. Bonaventure L 84-90 30%     2 - 4 +1.5 +12.1 -10.4
  Dec 07, 2016 73   @ Pittsburgh L 79-84 22%     2 - 5 +5.2 +10.3 -5.2
  Dec 10, 2016 343   Coppin St. W 87-52 96%     3 - 5 +16.7 +11.0 +8.6
  Dec 17, 2016 196   Canisius L 87-94 OT 64%     3 - 6 -8.7 -3.1 -4.5
  Dec 21, 2016 275   Robert Morris L 71-74 80%     3 - 7 -9.9 -5.4 -4.2
  Dec 30, 2016 337   Maine W 79-60 95%     4 - 7 +2.0 -1.0 +2.7
  Jan 03, 2017 132   @ Toledo L 54-86 42%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -27.8 -19.9 -7.0
  Jan 07, 2017 163   @ Eastern Michigan W 77-68 48%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +11.7 +0.6 +10.6
  Jan 10, 2017 103   Ohio L 72-74 52%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -0.6 -3.9 +3.5
  Jan 14, 2017 166   Ball St. L 77-92 67%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -17.5 -0.7 -16.1
  Jan 17, 2017 147   @ Kent St. W 82-69 44%     6 - 10 2 - 3 +16.6 +8.9 +7.2
  Jan 21, 2017 160   Western Michigan W 66-54 66%     7 - 10 3 - 3 +9.7 -7.0 +17.2
  Jan 24, 2017 274   @ Miami (OH) L 74-75 73%     7 - 11 3 - 4 -5.3 +2.6 -7.9
  Jan 28, 2017 105   @ Akron L 90-91 34%     7 - 12 3 - 5 +5.4 +17.7 -12.3
  Jan 31, 2017 242   Central Michigan W 101-91 82%     8 - 12 4 - 5 +2.6 +5.4 -4.1
  Feb 03, 2017 166   @ Ball St. W 96-69 48%     9 - 12 5 - 5 +29.6 +18.1 +9.6
  Feb 07, 2017 204   Northern Illinois W 65-45 76%     10 - 12 6 - 5 +14.9 -3.1 +19.7
  Feb 11, 2017 239   @ Bowling Green W 88-74 66%     11 - 12 7 - 5 +11.8 +12.7 -1.3
  Feb 14, 2017 242   @ Central Michigan W 99-93 67%     12 - 12 8 - 5 +3.6 +7.9 -4.9
  Feb 18, 2017 274   Miami (OH) W 71-58 86%     13 - 12 9 - 5 +3.6 +0.0 +4.2
  Feb 21, 2017 147   Kent St. L 69-77 63%     13 - 13 9 - 6 -9.5 -7.1 -1.9
  Feb 24, 2017 105   Akron L 83-89 53%     13 - 14 9 - 7 -4.7 +9.5 -14.3
  Feb 28, 2017 103   @ Ohio W 83-79 33%     14 - 14 10 - 7 +10.5 +13.0 -2.6
  Mar 03, 2017 239   Bowling Green W 80-68 81%     15 - 14 11 - 7 +4.7 +4.7 +0.1
  Mar 09, 2017 147   Kent St. L 65-68 54%     15 - 15 -1.9 -1.3 -0.8
Projected Record 15.0 - 15.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%