Pre-tourney Rankings
Nevada
Mountain West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#54
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#51
Pace71.0#95
Improvement+0.1#166

Offense
Total Offense+7.0#36
First Shot+5.9#37
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#92
Layup/Dunks-3.8#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#71
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#34
Freethrows+2.7#33
Improvement-2.0#280

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#90
First Shot+2.0#109
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#100
Layups/Dunks-1.7#244
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#118
Freethrows+3.5#20
Improvement+2.1#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round25.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 22   @ St. Mary's L 63-81 20%     0 - 1 +0.7 +16.2 -20.3
  Nov 14, 2016 170   Loyola Marymount W 79-64 87%     1 - 1 +12.4 +7.8 +5.0
  Nov 18, 2016 236   Oregon St. W 83-58 93%     2 - 1 +17.8 +6.0 +11.1
  Nov 20, 2016 127   Iona W 91-76 83%     3 - 1 +14.4 +12.3 +1.6
  Nov 23, 2016 108   Oakland W 82-78 73%     4 - 1 +7.5 +12.1 -4.7
  Nov 25, 2016 125   Buffalo W 67-62 77%     5 - 1 +7.1 -4.0 +11.1
  Nov 26, 2016 127   Iona L 73-75 77%     5 - 2 -0.1 -1.2 +1.1
  Nov 29, 2016 227   Pacific W 77-67 93%     6 - 2 +3.3 +1.5 +1.8
  Dec 03, 2016 199   @ Bradley W 91-69 81%     7 - 2 +22.4 +22.3 +0.6
  Dec 11, 2016 156   @ Washington W 87-85 74%     8 - 2 +5.0 +13.8 -8.8
  Dec 14, 2016 143   UC Irvine W 76-69 85%     9 - 2 +5.6 +8.6 -2.7
  Dec 21, 2016 119   Towson W 81-72 75%     10 - 2 +11.6 +14.2 -2.1
  Dec 22, 2016 328   UC Santa Barbara W 67-66 97%     11 - 2 -11.1 -4.4 -6.6
  Dec 28, 2016 206   San Jose St. W 80-55 91%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +19.6 +6.0 +13.7
  Dec 31, 2016 98   @ Fresno St. L 76-77 60%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +6.1 +6.0 +0.1
  Jan 04, 2017 80   San Diego St. W 72-69 72%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +6.7 +7.8 -1.0
  Jan 07, 2017 118   @ New Mexico W 105-104 OT 67%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +6.2 +14.6 -8.7
  Jan 14, 2017 140   @ Wyoming W 89-74 71%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +18.9 +6.0 +10.6
  Jan 18, 2017 215   Air Force W 83-76 92%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +1.0 +3.6 -2.8
  Jan 21, 2017 98   Fresno St. L 76-81 77%     16 - 4 5 - 2 -3.0 +8.0 -11.2
  Jan 25, 2017 96   @ Boise St. W 76-57 60%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +26.2 +8.4 +18.6
  Jan 28, 2017 118   New Mexico W 82-65 82%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +17.1 +11.1 +6.4
  Feb 01, 2017 121   @ Utah St. L 57-74 68%     18 - 5 7 - 3 -12.1 -12.0 -0.6
  Feb 08, 2017 231   UNLV W 104-77 93%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +20.0 +23.3 -5.1
  Feb 12, 2017 80   @ San Diego St. L 56-70 54%     19 - 6 8 - 4 -5.2 -8.0 +2.6
  Feb 15, 2017 215   @ Air Force W 78-59 84%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +18.0 +14.1 +6.6
  Feb 18, 2017 121   Utah St. W 77-66 82%     21 - 6 10 - 4 +10.8 +9.8 +1.9
  Feb 22, 2017 96   Boise St. W 85-77 77%     22 - 6 11 - 4 +10.2 +12.0 -1.8
  Feb 25, 2017 231   @ UNLV W 94-58 86%     23 - 6 12 - 4 +34.1 +27.1 +8.7
  Mar 01, 2017 206   @ San Jose St. W 82-67 83%     24 - 6 13 - 4 +14.7 +12.4 +2.7
  Mar 04, 2017 82   Colorado St. W 85-72 72%     25 - 6 14 - 4 +16.5 +11.8 +4.4
  Mar 09, 2017 121   Utah St. W 83-69 76%     26 - 6 +16.4 +14.3 +2.6
  Mar 10, 2017 98   Fresno St. W 83-72 69%     27 - 6 +15.5 +14.6 +1.0
  Mar 11, 2017 82   Colorado St. W 79-71 64%     28 - 6 +14.1 +8.6 +5.4
Projected Record 28.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.8 0.0 0.1 1.5 20.7 76.6 1.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 0.1 1.5 20.7 76.6 1.0