Pre-tourney Rankings
Pacific
West Coast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#227
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#243
Pace63.7#270
Improvement-2.2#276

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#236
First Shot-2.9#262
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#147
Layup/Dunks-1.8#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#303
Freethrows+0.7#136
Improvement-0.4#198

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#216
First Shot-3.4#273
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#19
Layups/Dunks+3.2#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#296
Freethrows-2.1#302
Improvement-1.8#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 12   @ UCLA L 80-119 2%     0 - 1 -18.7 +7.1 -22.8
  Nov 14, 2016 185   Green Bay W 76-58 47%     1 - 1 +14.5 +0.0 +13.9
  Nov 19, 2016 143   @ UC Irvine L 65-72 23%     1 - 2 -3.3 +2.5 -6.4
  Nov 22, 2016 140   Wyoming W 73-65 39%     2 - 2 +6.8 -5.5 +11.6
  Nov 29, 2016 54   @ Nevada L 67-77 7%     2 - 3 +2.3 -1.7 +4.0
  Dec 01, 2016 283   Sacramento St. W 74-58 72%     3 - 3 +5.8 -1.9 +8.5
  Dec 03, 2016 256   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 77-78 45%     3 - 4 -3.9 +9.5 -13.4
  Dec 08, 2016 150   @ Massachusetts L 48-72 24%     3 - 5 -20.8 -18.2 -3.8
  Dec 10, 2016 217   Rider L 66-73 57%     3 - 6 -13.1 -5.4 -8.0
  Dec 15, 2016 349   N.C. A&T W 66-57 94%     4 - 6 -13.0 -7.7 -3.5
  Dec 17, 2016 98   Fresno St. L 68-70 OT 28%     4 - 7 +0.0 +1.3 -1.4
  Dec 20, 2016 252   Kennesaw St. W 69-56 64%     5 - 7 +5.1 +1.9 +5.2
  Dec 29, 2016 265   Portland L 76-80 67%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -12.8 +12.7 -26.2
  Dec 31, 2016 1   Gonzaga L 61-81 2%     5 - 9 0 - 2 +1.8 +2.8 -2.3
  Jan 05, 2017 240   @ San Diego W 56-53 43%     6 - 9 1 - 2 +0.7 -13.7 +14.7
  Jan 07, 2017 74   @ BYU L 62-91 10%     6 - 10 1 - 3 -18.9 -8.9 -8.5
  Jan 12, 2017 292   Pepperdine W 79-74 74%     7 - 10 2 - 3 -5.8 +2.0 -7.5
  Jan 14, 2017 104   @ San Francisco L 51-72 16%     7 - 11 2 - 4 -14.5 -10.4 -6.2
  Jan 19, 2017 22   @ St. Mary's L 50-62 3%     7 - 12 2 - 5 +6.7 +5.7 -3.7
  Jan 21, 2017 74   BYU L 47-62 19%     7 - 13 2 - 6 -10.0 -19.0 +7.7
  Jan 26, 2017 170   @ Loyola Marymount L 73-79 26%     7 - 14 2 - 7 -3.6 +3.2 -6.9
  Jan 28, 2017 104   San Francisco L 60-81 30%     7 - 15 2 - 8 -19.6 -3.0 -18.6
  Feb 02, 2017 22   St. Mary's L 70-74 6%     7 - 16 2 - 9 +9.7 +15.7 -6.7
  Feb 04, 2017 292   @ Pepperdine L 72-82 56%     7 - 17 2 - 10 -15.7 -2.7 -13.5
  Feb 09, 2017 240   San Diego W 61-58 62%     8 - 17 3 - 10 -4.4 -7.1 +3.1
  Feb 11, 2017 110   Santa Clara L 47-64 32%     8 - 18 3 - 11 -16.3 -14.7 -5.2
  Feb 16, 2017 265   @ Portland W 76-65 48%     9 - 18 4 - 11 +7.3 -1.2 +7.9
  Feb 18, 2017 1   @ Gonzaga L 61-82 1%     9 - 19 4 - 12 +5.9 -4.0 +11.7
  Feb 23, 2017 110   @ Santa Clara L 68-69 18%     9 - 20 4 - 13 +4.7 +8.6 -4.0
  Feb 25, 2017 170   Loyola Marymount L 66-67 44%     9 - 21 4 - 14 -3.6 -2.2 -1.5
  Mar 03, 2017 292   Pepperdine W 89-84 65%     10 - 21 -3.2 +13.3 -16.3
  Mar 04, 2017 1   Gonzaga L 50-82 1%     10 - 22 -7.7 -9.3 +0.5
Projected Record 10.0 - 22.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%