Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Bakersfield
Western Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#122
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#116
Pace62.6#299
Improvement+1.1#116

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#282
First Shot-4.8#296
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#144
Layup/Dunks+1.4#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#310
Freethrows-1.2#254
Improvement+1.1#113

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#33
First Shot+5.7#39
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#62
Layups/Dunks+3.6#52
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#4
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#157
Freethrows-2.5#320
Improvement+0.0#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2016 19   @ Arizona L 66-78 7%     0 - 1 +7.2 +6.8 -0.4
  Nov 19, 2016 328   UC Santa Barbara W 77-70 93%     1 - 1 -7.6 +4.0 -11.3
  Nov 22, 2016 98   Fresno St. W 71-63 51%     2 - 1 +10.0 +5.8 +4.8
  Nov 25, 2016 165   @ Wright St. L 64-68 49%     2 - 2 -1.4 -12.2 +11.0
  Nov 26, 2016 248   North Florida W 77-54 77%     3 - 2 +17.8 +5.0 +14.1
  Nov 27, 2016 172   North Dakota L 55-57 60%     3 - 3 -2.2 -13.0 +10.6
  Dec 02, 2016 13   @ SMU L 43-49 6%     3 - 4 +14.3 -13.8 +26.9
  Dec 05, 2016 323   @ Northern Arizona W 81-47 84%     4 - 4 +25.7 +13.8 +15.4
  Dec 10, 2016 250   Portland St. W 81-79 83%     5 - 4 -5.8 +3.9 -9.7
  Dec 22, 2016 74   @ BYU L 71-81 23%     5 - 5 +0.1 -1.5 +2.3
  Dec 27, 2016 328   @ UC Santa Barbara L 60-62 OT 87%     5 - 6 -11.6 -11.9 +0.2
  Jan 03, 2017 302   @ Dartmouth W 64-60 80%     6 - 6 -2.4 -12.9 +10.4
  Jan 07, 2017 267   Seattle W 78-71 86%     7 - 6 1 - 0 -2.1 +12.8 -14.1
  Jan 12, 2017 310   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 88-81 82%     8 - 6 2 - 0 -0.3 +7.9 -8.4
  Jan 14, 2017 90   @ New Mexico St. L 58-63 31%     8 - 7 2 - 1 +2.5 -4.4 +6.1
  Jan 21, 2017 190   Utah Valley W 68-65 73%     9 - 7 3 - 1 -0.9 +3.2 -3.7
  Jan 26, 2017 339   @ Chicago St. W 75-59 91%     10 - 7 4 - 1 +3.8 -0.5 +4.5
  Jan 28, 2017 224   @ UMKC W 74-63 64%     11 - 7 5 - 1 +9.6 +5.9 +4.7
  Feb 04, 2017 161   @ Grand Canyon W 65-62 49%     12 - 7 6 - 1 +5.7 +1.0 +5.0
  Feb 09, 2017 90   New Mexico St. W 72-53 50%     13 - 7 7 - 1 +21.4 -0.5 +22.2
  Feb 11, 2017 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-53 91%     14 - 7 8 - 1 +9.6 -4.7 +14.6
  Feb 16, 2017 190   @ Utah Valley W 80-71 55%     15 - 7 9 - 1 +10.2 +9.9 +0.3
  Feb 18, 2017 267   Seattle W 51-48 80%     16 - 7 10 - 1 -3.5 -18.9 +15.6
  Feb 23, 2017 224   UMKC W 71-62 80%     17 - 7 11 - 1 +2.5 +0.9 +2.5
  Feb 25, 2017 339   Chicago St. W 69-49 96%     18 - 7 12 - 1 +2.7 -5.8 +9.8
  Mar 04, 2017 161   Grand Canyon L 52-58 68%     18 - 8 12 - 2 -8.3 -17.9 +9.4
  Mar 10, 2017 190   Utah Valley W 81-80 4OT 64%     19 - 8 -0.3 -12.2 +11.6
  Mar 11, 2017 90   New Mexico St. L 60-70 40%     19 - 9 -5.1 -5.2 -1.1
Projected Record 19.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%