Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Fullerton
Big West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#256
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#244
Pace69.8#117
Improvement+2.9#60

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#314
First Shot-4.0#285
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#312
Layup/Dunks+2.4#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#224
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#331
Freethrows+0.3#159
Improvement+0.2#169

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#162
First Shot-0.5#176
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#69
Layups/Dunks+1.7#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#140
Freethrows-1.9#288
Improvement+2.7#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2016 250   Portland St. W 106-100 2OT 59%     1 - 0 -1.8 +5.9 -9.0
  Nov 17, 2016 156   @ Washington L 88-104 21%     1 - 1 -13.0 +7.4 -18.9
  Nov 19, 2016 231   @ UNLV L 68-77 37%     1 - 2 -10.9 -4.3 -6.5
  Nov 25, 2016 176   Jacksonville St. L 38-61 32%     1 - 3 -23.6 -26.4 -2.5
  Nov 26, 2016 342   Alabama St. L 67-76 OT 83%     1 - 4 -24.7 -20.4 -3.2
  Nov 30, 2016 169   Nebraska Omaha L 73-83 39%     1 - 5 -12.6 -11.0 -0.6
  Dec 03, 2016 227   Pacific W 78-77 55%     2 - 5 -5.7 +5.9 -11.6
  Dec 07, 2016 240   @ San Diego L 75-82 38%     2 - 6 -9.3 +1.0 -10.3
  Dec 10, 2016 334   Southern Utah W 75-62 84%     3 - 6 -2.9 -10.8 +7.8
  Dec 18, 2016 169   @ Nebraska Omaha L 96-102 OT 23%     3 - 7 -3.5 +3.4 -5.8
  Dec 22, 2016 265   Portland W 77-72 OT 63%     4 - 7 -3.8 -0.4 -3.6
  Jan 05, 2017 264   Hawaii W 67-64 62%     5 - 7 1 - 0 -5.5 -6.7 +1.2
  Jan 07, 2017 280   Cal St. Northridge L 65-70 67%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -15.1 -13.7 -1.5
  Jan 12, 2017 301   @ Cal Poly W 87-74 54%     6 - 8 2 - 1 +6.6 +11.2 -4.4
  Jan 14, 2017 143   @ UC Irvine L 67-87 19%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -16.3 +0.3 -16.9
  Jan 18, 2017 307   UC Riverside L 63-71 74%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -20.1 -11.7 -8.5
  Jan 26, 2017 226   @ Long Beach St. L 65-76 35%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -12.5 -11.2 -1.2
  Jan 28, 2017 301   Cal Poly W 81-71 72%     7 - 11 3 - 4 -1.5 +0.7 -2.2
  Feb 02, 2017 328   @ UC Santa Barbara W 79-53 65%     8 - 11 4 - 4 +16.4 +13.7 +5.7
  Feb 08, 2017 213   @ UC Davis L 65-74 32%     8 - 12 4 - 5 -9.8 -6.4 -3.1
  Feb 11, 2017 226   Long Beach St. W 74-69 55%     9 - 12 5 - 5 -1.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Feb 16, 2017 307   @ UC Riverside W 56-55 56%     10 - 12 6 - 5 -6.1 -17.7 +11.6
  Feb 18, 2017 213   UC Davis W 79-72 51%     11 - 12 7 - 5 +1.2 +1.6 -0.8
  Feb 22, 2017 143   UC Irvine W 56-54 35%     12 - 12 8 - 5 +0.6 -11.9 +12.6
  Feb 25, 2017 264   @ Hawaii L 58-64 OT 42%     12 - 13 8 - 6 -9.5 -12.9 +3.3
  Mar 02, 2017 328   UC Santa Barbara W 65-54 81%     13 - 13 9 - 6 -3.6 +1.1 -2.5
  Mar 04, 2017 280   @ Cal St. Northridge W 86-78 48%     14 - 13 10 - 6 +3.0 +2.4 +0.2
  Mar 09, 2017 280   Cal St. Northridge W 81-68 58%     15 - 13 +5.5 -4.7 +9.2
  Mar 10, 2017 213   UC Davis L 64-66 OT 42%     15 - 14 -5.3 -7.0 +1.7
Projected Record 15.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%