Pre-tourney Rankings
James Madison
Colonial Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#218
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#256
Pace60.2#326
Improvement+5.4#12

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#271
First Shot-3.6#279
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#196
Layup/Dunks-0.6#203
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#260
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#200
Freethrows-0.5#208
Improvement+2.7#47

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#168
First Shot-1.3#209
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#25
Layups/Dunks+1.1#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#279
Freethrows-0.8#227
Improvement+2.8#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 131   @ Old Dominion L 55-62 23%     0 - 1 -2.8 -3.8 +0.0
  Nov 13, 2016 158   Rice L 70-94 44%     0 - 2 -26.1 -6.5 -19.3
  Nov 18, 2016 243   @ Montana St. L 73-80 45%     0 - 3 -9.4 +0.0 -9.6
  Nov 21, 2016 220   Texas Southern L 56-67 60%     0 - 4 -17.3 -10.4 -8.8
  Nov 23, 2016 151   Louisiana L 70-82 44%     0 - 5 -13.9 -6.5 -7.8
  Nov 26, 2016 109   @ George Mason L 77-80 OT 18%     0 - 6 +3.0 +5.2 -2.2
  Nov 30, 2016 237   @ Charlotte L 56-65 45%     0 - 7 -11.2 -19.5 +8.4
  Dec 03, 2016 347   @ Longwood W 71-59 86%     1 - 7 -3.2 -4.7 +2.3
  Dec 10, 2016 160   @ Western Michigan L 67-74 27%     1 - 8 -4.2 -4.5 +0.1
  Dec 17, 2016 272   @ Appalachian St. L 61-73 OT 52%     1 - 9 -16.2 -13.3 -3.1
  Dec 20, 2016 88   Richmond L 55-75 27%     1 - 10 -17.3 -15.0 -3.1
  Dec 23, 2016 197   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 61-62 54%     1 - 11 -5.6 -4.4 -1.4
  Dec 31, 2016 258   Drexel W 78-67 67%     2 - 11 1 - 0 +2.9 +2.3 +1.0
  Jan 02, 2017 119   Towson W 64-44 36%     3 - 11 2 - 0 +20.1 +2.5 +21.1
  Jan 05, 2017 187   @ Hofstra W 62-54 31%     4 - 11 3 - 0 +9.5 -6.6 +17.2
  Jan 07, 2017 168   @ Northeastern L 54-64 28%     4 - 12 3 - 1 -7.5 -10.2 +1.1
  Jan 12, 2017 93   College of Charleston L 51-53 28%     4 - 13 3 - 2 +0.3 -8.5 +8.4
  Jan 14, 2017 141   Elon W 60-59 41%     5 - 13 4 - 2 -0.3 +1.4 -1.4
  Jan 19, 2017 142   @ William & Mary L 72-73 24%     5 - 14 4 - 3 +2.7 +4.3 -1.7
  Jan 21, 2017 93   @ College of Charleston L 60-73 15%     5 - 15 4 - 4 -5.6 +0.6 -8.0
  Jan 26, 2017 67   UNC Wilmington L 76-87 20%     5 - 16 4 - 5 -5.5 +5.4 -11.5
  Jan 28, 2017 281   @ Delaware L 61-66 56%     5 - 17 4 - 6 -10.1 -7.9 -2.6
  Feb 02, 2017 141   @ Elon L 61-67 24%     5 - 18 4 - 7 -2.2 -1.6 -1.3
  Feb 04, 2017 168   Northeastern W 73-69 46%     6 - 18 5 - 7 +1.4 +5.7 -3.9
  Feb 09, 2017 67   @ UNC Wilmington L 73-88 10%     6 - 19 5 - 8 -4.5 -1.4 -2.7
  Feb 11, 2017 281   Delaware L 57-58 74%     6 - 20 5 - 9 -11.1 -8.1 -3.2
  Feb 16, 2017 142   William & Mary W 95-92 OT 41%     7 - 20 6 - 9 +1.7 +9.9 -8.5
  Feb 18, 2017 119   @ Towson L 65-75 20%     7 - 21 6 - 10 -4.8 +1.9 -7.8
  Feb 23, 2017 258   @ Drexel W 70-64 48%     8 - 21 7 - 10 +2.9 +6.1 -2.2
  Feb 25, 2017 187   Hofstra L 66-71 50%     8 - 22 7 - 11 -8.6 -10.2 +1.3
  Mar 03, 2017 258   Drexel W 80-70 58%     9 - 22 +4.4 +1.7 +2.6
  Mar 04, 2017 93   College of Charleston L 62-67 21%     9 - 23 -0.1 +2.3 -3.2
Projected Record 9.0 - 23.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%