Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#130
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#147
Pace64.1#266
Improvement-3.5#317

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#100
First Shot+0.4#161
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#42
Layup/Dunks-5.4#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#14
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#139
Freethrows-0.2#189
Improvement-1.6#258

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#191
First Shot-1.0#199
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#149
Layups/Dunks+3.8#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#345
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#183
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement-1.9#280
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 351   Alabama A&M W 96-62 98%     1 - 0 +10.5 +21.4 -6.9
  Nov 13, 2016 176   Jacksonville St. W 91-65 68%     2 - 0 +22.9 +16.5 +6.4
  Nov 23, 2016 152   @ DePaul L 66-68 45%     2 - 1 +1.1 -2.3 +3.4
  Nov 27, 2016 167   North Dakota St. W 64-50 66%     3 - 1 +11.5 -6.7 +18.9
  Dec 03, 2016 215   @ Air Force L 70-83 60%     3 - 2 -14.0 -0.4 -14.4
  Dec 07, 2016 230   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 79-71 64%     4 - 2 +6.2 +10.4 -3.6
  Dec 10, 2016 100   Valparaiso L 81-84 50%     4 - 3 -1.1 +11.7 -12.8
  Dec 14, 2016 234   Oral Roberts W 86-76 80%     5 - 3 +2.9 +16.0 -12.2
  Dec 17, 2016 230   Southeast Missouri St. W 71-66 79%     6 - 3 -1.9 -11.1 +8.8
  Dec 19, 2016 339   Chicago St. W 66-46 95%     7 - 3 +2.7 -0.7 +7.2
  Dec 22, 2016 58   USC L 75-83 24%     7 - 4 +1.3 +6.8 -5.6
  Dec 23, 2016 152   DePaul W 69-58 55%     8 - 4 +11.6 +2.4 +10.0
  Dec 28, 2016 153   @ Northern Iowa W 68-64 45%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +7.1 +10.7 -3.0
  Dec 31, 2016 191   Indiana St. W 81-75 OT 71%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +2.0 +3.0 -1.4
  Jan 04, 2017 59   @ Illinois St. L 71-74 OT 17%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +8.8 +6.2 +2.7
  Jan 07, 2017 144   Southern Illinois L 67-75 62%     10 - 6 2 - 2 -9.4 +0.4 -10.6
  Jan 11, 2017 154   Evansville W 55-51 64%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +2.0 -9.0 +11.8
  Jan 15, 2017 102   @ Loyola Chicago L 71-77 32%     11 - 7 3 - 3 +0.7 +9.3 -9.3
  Jan 18, 2017 191   @ Indiana St. W 73-68 53%     12 - 7 4 - 3 +6.0 +3.9 +2.2
  Jan 21, 2017 199   Bradley W 76-62 73%     13 - 7 5 - 3 +9.3 +10.8 +0.1
  Jan 24, 2017 255   Drake L 71-72 OT 75%     13 - 8 5 - 4 -6.4 -5.9 -0.6
  Jan 28, 2017 144   @ Southern Illinois L 84-85 OT 42%     13 - 9 5 - 5 +2.7 +13.1 -10.4
  Jan 31, 2017 102   Loyola Chicago W 82-81 OT 50%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +2.6 +6.1 -3.6
  Feb 04, 2017 154   @ Evansville L 66-74 45%     14 - 10 6 - 6 -4.9 +3.4 -9.3
  Feb 09, 2017 9   @ Wichita St. L 62-80 5%     14 - 11 6 - 7 +3.1 +0.7 +1.9
  Feb 12, 2017 153   Northern Iowa L 52-55 64%     14 - 12 6 - 8 -5.0 -8.4 +3.0
  Feb 15, 2017 59   Illinois St. L 66-67 31%     14 - 13 6 - 9 +5.7 +10.2 -4.6
  Feb 18, 2017 255   @ Drake W 76-73 67%     15 - 13 7 - 9 +0.1 +1.3 -1.1
  Feb 22, 2017 199   @ Bradley L 68-77 55%     15 - 14 7 - 10 -8.6 +2.5 -11.8
  Feb 25, 2017 9   Wichita St. L 67-86 10%     15 - 15 7 - 11 -3.0 +7.1 -11.6
  Mar 03, 2017 153   Northern Iowa W 70-64 55%     16 - 15 +6.6 +9.1 -1.9
  Mar 04, 2017 9   Wichita St. L 63-78 7%     16 - 16 +3.6 +4.5 -2.2
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%