Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Arizona
Big Sky
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#323
Expected Predictive Rating-10.9#321
Pace70.8#100
Improvement+5.2#16

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#327
First Shot-7.6#331
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#105
Layup/Dunks-3.5#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#204
Freethrows-2.8#316
Improvement+0.7#143

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#286
First Shot-3.7#283
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#223
Layups/Dunks-3.5#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#258
Freethrows+0.7#127
Improvement+4.5#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 110   @ Santa Clara L 64-67 7%     0 - 1 +2.7 -4.5 +7.2
  Nov 12, 2016 183   Tennessee St. L 65-69 17%     0 - 2 -4.8 -6.9 +2.2
  Nov 13, 2016 213   UC Davis L 76-89 24%     0 - 3 -16.3 -0.3 -15.1
  Nov 20, 2016 156   @ Washington L 58-92 10%     0 - 4 -31.0 -20.4 -7.2
  Nov 22, 2016 231   @ UNLV L 71-110 20%     0 - 5 -40.9 -8.7 -27.6
  Nov 25, 2016 342   Alabama St. W 71-57 68%     1 - 5 -1.7 -4.1 +3.2
  Nov 26, 2016 176   Jacksonville St. L 63-76 17%     1 - 6 -13.6 -8.1 -5.9
  Dec 03, 2016 240   San Diego L 65-80 37%     1 - 7 -22.4 -13.2 -8.8
  Dec 05, 2016 122   Cal St. Bakersfield L 47-81 16%     1 - 8 -34.2 -15.5 -22.2
  Dec 14, 2016 235   Arkansas Little Rock L 67-72 36%     1 - 9 -12.2 -4.8 -7.5
  Dec 17, 2016 195   @ UTEP W 76-74 14%     2 - 9 +2.9 +7.5 -4.6
  Dec 20, 2016 247   @ Illinois-Chicago L 65-75 22%     2 - 10 -12.6 -6.3 -6.6
  Dec 31, 2016 334   Southern Utah L 80-93 69%     2 - 11 0 - 1 -28.9 -3.8 -25.3
  Jan 05, 2017 172   @ North Dakota L 63-68 11%     2 - 12 0 - 2 -2.7 -8.8 +6.3
  Jan 07, 2017 284   @ Northern Colorado L 79-83 29%     2 - 13 0 - 3 -9.2 +3.7 -12.8
  Jan 14, 2017 283   Sacramento St. L 62-74 48%     2 - 14 0 - 4 -22.2 -18.0 -4.2
  Jan 16, 2017 250   Portland St. W 83-76 39%     3 - 14 1 - 4 -0.8 -2.5 +1.1
  Jan 19, 2017 186   @ Eastern Washington L 62-84 13%     3 - 15 1 - 5 -20.5 -8.0 -14.3
  Jan 21, 2017 221   @ Idaho L 49-65 18%     3 - 16 1 - 6 -17.3 -19.2 +0.3
  Jan 26, 2017 284   Northern Colorado W 63-50 48%     4 - 16 2 - 6 +2.7 -7.3 +11.1
  Jan 28, 2017 172   North Dakota W 68-67 22%     5 - 16 3 - 6 -1.7 -6.3 +4.6
  Feb 02, 2017 332   @ Idaho St. L 90-91 OT 48%     5 - 17 3 - 7 -11.4 +2.5 -13.8
  Feb 04, 2017 184   @ Weber St. L 80-86 13%     5 - 18 3 - 8 -4.4 +0.4 -4.5
  Feb 09, 2017 243   Montana St. W 69-63 37%     6 - 18 4 - 8 -1.4 -10.1 +8.6
  Feb 11, 2017 198   Montana L 59-76 28%     6 - 19 4 - 9 -21.7 -5.5 -19.7
  Feb 18, 2017 334   @ Southern Utah L 68-84 50%     6 - 20 4 - 10 -26.8 -14.4 -12.4
  Feb 23, 2017 283   @ Sacramento St. W 73-69 29%     7 - 20 5 - 10 -1.2 +10.1 -10.4
  Feb 25, 2017 250   @ Portland St. L 72-84 22%     7 - 21 5 - 11 -14.8 -10.6 -3.2
  Mar 02, 2017 221   Idaho L 75-77 33%     7 - 22 5 - 12 -8.3 +9.4 -18.0
  Mar 04, 2017 186   Eastern Washington W 76-61 24%     8 - 22 6 - 12 +11.4 -1.7 +13.1
  Mar 07, 2017 250   Portland St. L 67-80 30%     8 - 23 -18.3 -10.0 -8.5
Projected Record 8.0 - 23.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%