Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Arlington
Sun Belt
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#81
Expected Predictive Rating+7.3#75
Pace71.2#92
Improvement+0.6#142

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#74
First Shot+2.6#100
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#94
Layup/Dunks+3.1#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#113
Freethrows-1.0#243
Improvement+0.1#181

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#99
First Shot+2.6#89
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#211
Layups/Dunks+5.1#19
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#309
Freethrows+0.1#172
Improvement+0.5#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.6% n/a n/a
First Round0.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 220   Texas Southern W 89-82 87%     1 - 0 +0.7 +15.1 -14.2
  Nov 14, 2016 32   @ Minnesota L 67-84 20%     1 - 1 -1.8 +5.5 -7.5
  Nov 16, 2016 117   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 72-85 54%     1 - 2 -7.7 +4.8 -13.4
  Nov 18, 2016 35   @ Arkansas L 67-71 21%     1 - 3 +10.6 +1.9 +8.5
  Nov 23, 2016 216   Mount St. Mary's W 80-71 87%     2 - 3 +2.9 +1.1 +1.3
  Nov 26, 2016 192   @ Fordham W 67-63 69%     3 - 3 +5.0 +8.4 -2.9
  Nov 29, 2016 63   @ Texas W 72-61 32%     4 - 3 +22.1 +11.1 +11.4
  Dec 03, 2016 315   @ North Texas W 77-61 90%     5 - 3 +8.2 -0.6 +8.5
  Dec 08, 2016 22   @ St. Mary's W 65-51 12%     6 - 3 +32.7 +7.4 +26.6
  Dec 16, 2016 199   @ Bradley W 56-51 71%     7 - 3 +5.4 -7.0 +13.1
  Dec 22, 2016 170   @ Loyola Marymount W 80-77 64%     8 - 3 +5.4 +9.6 -4.1
  Dec 31, 2016 201   Coastal Carolina W 90-69 85%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +16.2 +12.4 +3.1
  Jan 02, 2017 272   Appalachian St. W 84-69 92%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +5.7 +1.9 +3.1
  Jan 07, 2017 174   @ Texas St. L 73-81 65%     10 - 4 2 - 1 -5.8 +6.6 -12.8
  Jan 14, 2017 129   @ Troy L 71-93 57%     10 - 5 2 - 2 -17.7 -4.5 -12.4
  Jan 16, 2017 241   @ South Alabama W 89-83 79%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +3.6 +10.0 -6.8
  Jan 21, 2017 260   Louisiana Monroe W 71-55 91%     12 - 5 4 - 2 +7.7 -3.1 +11.0
  Jan 23, 2017 151   Louisiana W 108-71 78%     13 - 5 5 - 2 +35.1 +20.7 +11.3
  Jan 28, 2017 272   @ Appalachian St. W 83-67 83%     14 - 5 6 - 2 +11.8 +8.6 +3.4
  Jan 30, 2017 201   @ Coastal Carolina L 70-72 71%     14 - 6 6 - 3 -1.7 -3.5 +1.9
  Feb 04, 2017 174   Texas St. W 76-61 80%     15 - 6 7 - 3 +12.1 +20.2 -4.7
  Feb 11, 2017 136   Arkansas St. W 81-75 76%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +4.9 +10.7 -5.5
  Feb 13, 2017 235   Arkansas Little Rock W 71-55 89%     17 - 6 9 - 3 +8.8 +3.9 +6.5
  Feb 18, 2017 128   @ Georgia St. W 68-67 57%     18 - 6 10 - 3 +5.4 -5.4 +10.8
  Feb 20, 2017 181   @ Georgia Southern W 81-71 66%     19 - 6 11 - 3 +11.8 +19.2 -5.9
  Feb 25, 2017 241   South Alabama W 86-75 89%     20 - 6 12 - 3 +3.6 +7.6 -4.5
  Feb 27, 2017 129   Troy W 82-67 75%     21 - 6 13 - 3 +14.3 +3.7 +10.1
  Mar 02, 2017 260   @ Louisiana Monroe W 72-57 81%     22 - 6 14 - 3 +11.8 +5.1 +7.8
  Mar 04, 2017 151   @ Louisiana L 81-83 62%     22 - 7 14 - 4 +1.2 +5.1 -3.9
  Mar 10, 2017 201   Coastal Carolina W 74-51 79%     23 - 7 +20.8 -3.7 +23.1
  Mar 11, 2017 174   Texas St. L 62-83 73%     23 - 8 -21.3 -1.4 -22.8
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.6% 0.6% 11.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 99.4 0.6%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 11.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 99.4 0.6%