Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Riverside
Big West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#307
Expected Predictive Rating-11.2#322
Pace67.5#192
Improvement+4.7#26

Offense
Total Offense-8.8#337
First Shot-8.8#337
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#172
Layup/Dunks-3.0#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#87
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#320
Freethrows-2.3#309
Improvement+1.8#78

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#195
First Shot-1.3#207
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#128
Layups/Dunks+3.2#66
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#147
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#330
Freethrows-0.5#197
Improvement+2.8#39
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 265   @ Portland L 55-71 29%     0 - 1 -19.7 -15.5 -5.0
  Nov 16, 2016 231   @ UNLV L 62-74 23%     0 - 2 -13.9 -8.6 -5.5
  Nov 25, 2016 48   @ Utah L 67-85 3%     0 - 3 -4.6 -0.8 -3.8
  Nov 30, 2016 12   @ UCLA L 56-98 1%     0 - 4 -21.7 -13.4 -6.2
  Dec 13, 2016 110   @ Santa Clara L 53-77 8%     0 - 5 -18.3 -12.6 -7.3
  Dec 17, 2016 198   Montana L 63-71 32%     0 - 6 -12.7 -15.7 +3.2
  Dec 20, 2016 284   @ Northern Colorado L 61-77 33%     0 - 7 -21.2 -14.5 -6.1
  Dec 22, 2016 194   @ Denver L 55-73 16%     0 - 8 -17.1 -13.8 -5.2
  Dec 28, 2016 190   Utah Valley L 64-73 29%     0 - 9 -12.9 -10.6 -1.9
  Dec 31, 2016 161   Grand Canyon W 76-56 24%     1 - 9 +17.7 +6.6 +11.6
  Jan 04, 2017 280   @ Cal St. Northridge L 76-82 33%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -11.0 +0.5 -11.7
  Jan 07, 2017 226   @ Long Beach St. L 64-70 22%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -7.5 -9.6 +1.9
  Jan 12, 2017 213   UC Davis W 61-55 36%     2 - 11 1 - 2 +0.2 -13.8 +13.7
  Jan 18, 2017 256   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 71-63 26%     3 - 11 2 - 2 +5.1 +0.2 +4.9
  Jan 21, 2017 328   UC Santa Barbara W 65-55 69%     4 - 11 3 - 2 -4.6 -4.4 +1.0
  Jan 25, 2017 264   @ Hawaii W 70-64 28%     5 - 11 4 - 2 +2.5 +3.9 -0.8
  Jan 28, 2017 280   Cal St. Northridge L 59-63 52%     5 - 12 4 - 3 -14.1 -24.1 +10.1
  Feb 02, 2017 264   Hawaii L 63-72 46%     5 - 13 4 - 4 -17.5 -12.7 -4.8
  Feb 04, 2017 301   @ Cal Poly W 67-56 38%     6 - 13 5 - 4 +4.6 +3.2 +3.6
  Feb 09, 2017 226   Long Beach St. L 71-78 39%     6 - 14 5 - 5 -13.6 -3.2 -10.8
  Feb 11, 2017 213   @ UC Davis L 63-77 20%     6 - 15 5 - 6 -14.8 -7.3 -7.3
  Feb 16, 2017 256   Cal St. Fullerton L 55-56 44%     6 - 16 5 - 7 -9.0 -19.9 +10.9
  Feb 18, 2017 143   @ UC Irvine L 60-79 11%     6 - 17 5 - 8 -15.3 +0.4 -18.2
  Feb 23, 2017 328   @ UC Santa Barbara L 61-68 50%     6 - 18 5 - 9 -16.6 -3.2 -14.5
  Feb 25, 2017 301   Cal Poly L 77-84 OT 57%     6 - 19 5 - 10 -18.5 -6.4 -11.7
  Mar 01, 2017 143   UC Irvine L 56-68 22%     6 - 20 5 - 11 -13.4 -8.9 -5.6
  Mar 09, 2017 143   UC Irvine L 67-76 16%     6 - 21 -7.8 -0.1 -8.0
Projected Record 6.0 - 21.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%