Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah St.
Mountain West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#121
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#158
Pace65.4#237
Improvement-0.3#187

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#119
First Shot+2.9#87
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#255
Layup/Dunks+2.5#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#127
Freethrows+0.9#124
Improvement-0.6#213

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#160
First Shot+0.3#158
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#166
Layups/Dunks-1.3#232
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#234
Freethrows+2.2#54
Improvement+0.3#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 143   @ UC Irvine W 72-56 45%     1 - 0 +19.7 +6.6 +13.7
  Nov 14, 2016 294   NJIT W 93-84 89%     2 - 0 -2.0 +9.2 -11.7
  Nov 19, 2016 332   Idaho St. W 85-51 94%     3 - 0 +18.5 +1.8 +16.5
  Nov 22, 2016 16   Purdue L 64-85 9%     3 - 1 -3.4 +1.4 -5.2
  Nov 23, 2016 45   Texas Tech L 51-75 20%     3 - 2 -12.7 -7.5 -9.9
  Nov 30, 2016 74   BYU L 63-77 31%     3 - 3 -6.4 -9.6 +4.0
  Dec 03, 2016 191   Indiana St. L 61-62 73%     3 - 4 -5.0 -9.0 +4.0
  Dec 10, 2016 190   @ Utah Valley W 80-79 OT 55%     4 - 4 +2.2 -2.5 +4.5
  Dec 19, 2016 189   New Orleans W 76-66 72%     5 - 4 +6.2 +6.7 +0.0
  Dec 21, 2016 184   Weber St. L 71-77 71%     5 - 5 -9.5 -0.6 -9.4
  Dec 28, 2016 96   Boise St. L 80-83 51%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -0.8 +4.6 -5.4
  Dec 31, 2016 215   @ Air Force L 73-78 63%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -6.0 +3.3 -9.6
  Jan 04, 2017 118   New Mexico W 79-75 59%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +4.1 +11.4 -7.1
  Jan 07, 2017 231   UNLV W 79-63 81%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +9.0 +4.8 +4.2
  Jan 11, 2017 140   @ Wyoming L 87-95 44%     7 - 8 2 - 3 -4.1 +12.3 -16.0
  Jan 14, 2017 80   @ San Diego St. L 55-74 27%     7 - 9 2 - 4 -10.2 -0.9 -12.4
  Jan 21, 2017 82   Colorado St. L 56-64 45%     7 - 10 2 - 5 -4.5 -9.7 +4.5
  Jan 24, 2017 118   @ New Mexico L 61-74 39%     7 - 11 2 - 6 -7.8 -3.3 -5.8
  Jan 28, 2017 98   Fresno St. W 78-65 51%     8 - 11 3 - 6 +15.0 +14.1 +2.0
  Feb 01, 2017 54   Nevada W 74-57 32%     9 - 11 4 - 6 +24.2 +5.2 +19.6
  Feb 04, 2017 96   @ Boise St. L 70-72 32%     9 - 12 4 - 7 +5.2 +4.8 +0.3
  Feb 07, 2017 82   @ Colorado St. L 52-69 27%     9 - 13 4 - 8 -8.4 -7.4 -4.0
  Feb 11, 2017 140   Wyoming W 81-74 64%     10 - 13 5 - 8 +5.8 +15.2 -8.9
  Feb 15, 2017 80   San Diego St. L 62-66 45%     10 - 14 5 - 9 -0.3 -0.2 -0.4
  Feb 18, 2017 54   @ Nevada L 66-77 18%     10 - 15 5 - 10 +1.3 +2.7 -2.3
  Feb 22, 2017 206   @ San Jose St. W 81-75 60%     11 - 15 6 - 10 +5.7 +8.0 -2.4
  Feb 25, 2017 215   Air Force W 89-58 79%     12 - 15 7 - 10 +25.0 +19.4 +8.4
  Mar 01, 2017 231   @ UNLV L 59-66 66%     12 - 16 7 - 11 -8.9 -9.1 -0.2
  Mar 08, 2017 206   San Jose St. W 90-64 69%     13 - 16 +23.1 +15.4 +7.3
  Mar 09, 2017 54   Nevada L 69-83 24%     13 - 17 -4.3 +1.9 -6.8
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%