Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.8#36
Expected Predictive Rating+14.5#28
Pace69.1#135
Improvement-4.0#329

Offense
Total Offense+10.1#14
First Shot+12.3#4
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#319
Layup/Dunks+7.4#5
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#25
Freethrows+3.8#9
Improvement-0.6#210

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#119
First Shot+0.8#142
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#83
Layups/Dunks-1.6#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#229
Freethrows+3.5#21
Improvement-3.4#322
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 1.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% n/a n/a
First Round98.5% n/a n/a
Second Round47.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 337   Maine W 80-67 99%     1 - 0 -4.0 -5.9 +0.7
  Nov 15, 2016 269   High Point W 99-73 96%     2 - 0 +16.9 +19.8 -3.7
  Nov 19, 2016 324   VMI W 88-72 98%     3 - 0 +2.6 +8.3 -5.5
  Nov 24, 2016 118   New Mexico W 92-72 81%     4 - 0 +22.6 +21.9 +1.0
  Nov 25, 2016 66   Texas A&M L 65-68 63%     4 - 1 +5.4 +1.6 +3.6
  Nov 27, 2016 99   Nebraska W 66-53 76%     5 - 1 +17.4 -0.9 +18.7
  Nov 30, 2016 21   @ Michigan W 73-70 25%     6 - 1 +21.9 +13.7 +8.6
  Dec 07, 2016 325   Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-59 98%     7 - 1 +2.5 +2.4 +1.7
  Dec 11, 2016 70   Mississippi W 80-75 73%     8 - 1 +10.3 +7.6 +2.6
  Dec 17, 2016 297   The Citadel W 113-71 97%     9 - 1 +30.8 +8.6 +14.0
  Dec 20, 2016 311   Charleston Southern W 87-59 98%     10 - 1 +15.5 -3.3 +16.5
  Dec 28, 2016 197   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 87-70 93%     11 - 1 +12.4 -2.1 +12.4
  Dec 31, 2016 10   Duke W 89-75 35%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +29.8 +24.4 +5.9
  Jan 04, 2017 94   @ North Carolina St. L 78-104 67%     12 - 2 1 - 1 -18.6 -5.8 -9.1
  Jan 07, 2017 18   @ Florida St. L 78-93 23%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +4.7 +10.3 -4.9
  Jan 10, 2017 46   Syracuse W 83-73 62%     13 - 3 2 - 2 +18.6 +13.3 +5.5
  Jan 14, 2017 25   Notre Dame L 71-76 46%     13 - 4 2 - 3 +7.9 +6.2 +1.4
  Jan 18, 2017 77   Georgia Tech W 62-61 76%     14 - 4 3 - 3 +5.2 +5.0 +0.4
  Jan 22, 2017 39   @ Clemson W 82-81 41%     15 - 4 4 - 3 +15.1 +18.2 -3.0
  Jan 26, 2017 3   @ North Carolina L 72-91 15%     15 - 5 4 - 4 +4.1 +15.0 -12.5
  Jan 29, 2017 138   Boston College W 85-79 88%     16 - 5 5 - 4 +4.8 +15.6 -10.5
  Feb 01, 2017 11   @ Virginia L 48-71 21%     16 - 6 5 - 5 -2.6 -2.5 -3.9
  Feb 08, 2017 31   @ Miami (FL) L 68-74 36%     16 - 7 5 - 6 +9.4 +7.1 +2.2
  Feb 12, 2017 11   Virginia W 80-78 2OT 36%     17 - 7 6 - 6 +17.4 +11.5 +5.7
  Feb 14, 2017 73   @ Pittsburgh W 66-63 56%     18 - 7 7 - 6 +13.2 +6.3 +7.4
  Feb 18, 2017 7   @ Louisville L 90-94 17%     18 - 8 7 - 7 +17.8 +42.2 -25.0
  Feb 21, 2017 39   Clemson W 71-70 61%     19 - 8 8 - 7 +10.0 +10.7 -0.5
  Feb 25, 2017 138   @ Boston College W 91-75 77%     20 - 8 9 - 7 +19.9 +22.2 -2.0
  Feb 27, 2017 31   Miami (FL) W 66-61 56%     21 - 8 10 - 7 +15.3 +13.7 +2.6
  Mar 04, 2017 29   Wake Forest L 84-89 55%     21 - 9 10 - 8 +5.4 +13.8 -8.6
  Mar 08, 2017 29   Wake Forest W 99-90 46%     22 - 9 +21.9 +24.9 -3.2
  Mar 09, 2017 18   Florida St. L 68-74 30%     22 - 10 +11.1 +3.9 +7.1
Projected Record 22.0 - 10.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 98.7% 98.7% 8.4 0.0 1.2 16.6 38.0 29.6 11.7 1.6 1.3 98.7%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 98.7% 0.0% 98.7% 8.4 0.0 1.2 16.6 38.0 29.6 11.7 1.6 1.3 98.7%